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Illinois vs Iowa Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 106-94
49-45 57-49
Position#100
Record20-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game73.5
Illinois 🏆
USA
vs
Iowa
USA
Position#192
Record17-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game78.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illinois v Iowa
28 Mar 2026
ILLI71
IOWA59
13 Mar 2025
ILLI106
IOWA94
25 Feb 2025
ILLI81
IOWA61
24 Feb 2024
ILLI95
IOWA85
06 Mar 2022
ILLI74
IOWA72
13 Mar 2021
ILLI82
IOWA71
29 Jan 2021
ILLI80
IOWA75
08 Mar 2020
ILLI78
IOWA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iowa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#172
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H02/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A06/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
95-74
95
74
+21
A08/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H16/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
67-110
67
110
-43
H23/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
93-73
93
73
+20
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-42
51-37
29-37
44-45
46-35
49-39
31-25
52-53
41-37
24-42
41-47
33-48
37-54
30-56
37-30
44-31
31-30
62-43
40-42
48-38
161.7Avg total
80.6Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.773.5157.3+10.265%
Season at home (20)83.971.3155.2+12.670%
Season away (11)83.477.6161.0+5.755%
Last 10 (10)80.681.1161.7-0.560%
Last 5 (5)80.683.8164.4-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.5100.5169.0-32.00%
vs Similar (15)84.376.7161.1+7.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.266.2149.4+16.969%
This opponent (Iowa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#43
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H08/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A12/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
75-101
75
101
-26
A16/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
61-81
61
81
-20
A26/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A01/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H07/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A09/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
24-37
33-42
51-31
51-47
24-54
37-45
41-35
33-34
52-45
30-37
31-44
26-30
31-38
37-30
47-61
40-35
43-33
37-37
40-33
153.2Avg total
74.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.178.9161.0+3.253%
Season at home (21)85.775.6161.2+10.167%
Season away (11)75.485.2160.5-9.827%
Last 10 (10)74.778.5153.2-3.840%
Last 5 (5)72.475.6148.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.290.3164.6-16.10%
vs Similar (15)81.477.1158.5+4.367%
vs Weaker (6)93.568.8162.3+24.783%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -2.7-2.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -2.7-2.7
IllinoisIowa
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#172
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H02/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A08/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H23/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H08/03
NCAA
74.8Avg total
36.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.733.172.9+6.667%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.432.272.6+8.268%-
Last 30 away (11)38.634.773.4+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)36.937.974.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.677.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.046.082.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (15)39.035.374.3+3.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.228.669.8+12.585%-
This opponent (Iowa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#43
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A16/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H20/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A26/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A09/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A12/03
NCAA
73.7Avg total
36.3Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.636.975.5+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.934.375.2+6.763%-
Last 30 away (11)34.541.576.0-7.118%-
Last 10 (10)36.337.473.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.033.867.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.940.978.8-3.056%-
vs Similar (15)36.137.273.3-1.133%-
vs Weaker (6)45.830.376.2+15.567%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Illinois wins
2
Iowa wins
DateGameScore
26/02/25Illinois v Iowa81-61
10/03/24Iowa v Illinois61-73
24/02/24Illinois v Iowa95-85
04/02/23Iowa v Illinois81-79
07/03/22Illinois v Iowa74-72
07/12/21Iowa v Illinois83-87
13/03/21Illinois v Iowa82-71
30/01/21Illinois v Iowa80-75
08/03/20Illinois v Iowa78-76
02/02/20Iowa v Illinois72-65
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HPurdue88-80
02/03/25AMichigan93-73
26/02/25HIowa81-61
23/02/25HDuke67-110
19/02/25AWisconsin74-95
16/02/25HMichigan State65-79
12/02/25HUCLA83-78
08/02/25AMinnesota95-74
06/02/25ARutgers73-82
02/02/25HOhio State87-79
Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25AOhio State77-70
09/03/25ANebraska83-68
07/03/25HMichigan State84-91
01/03/25ANorthwestern57-68
26/02/25AIllinois61-81
22/02/25HWashington85-79
20/02/25HOregon78-80
16/02/25AMaryland75-101
12/02/25ARutgers84-73
08/02/25HWisconsin63-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeWLLWW70%
AwayLLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312011
Win %65%70%55%
Points / game83.783.983.4
Allowed / game73.571.377.6
Point differential+10.2+12.6+5.7
Avg total157.3155.2161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%45%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%18%
Iowa
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW53%
HomeLLLWL67%
AwayLLLWW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322111
Win %53%67%27%
Points / game82.185.775.4
Allowed / game78.975.685.2
Point differential+3.2+10.1-9.8
Avg total161.0161.2160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%48%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State3126584%78.467.0+11.4
2 Maryland3124777%81.566.6+14.9
3 Wisconsin3224875%80.470.7+9.8
4 Oregon3224875%76.670.8+5.8
5 UCLA3122971%74.965.1+9.8
6 Michigan3122971%78.571.6+6.9
7 Purdue31211068%78.370.6+7.6
8 Illinois31201165%83.773.5+10.2
9 Indiana32191359%74.772.0+2.6
10 Nebraska31171455%75.472.9+2.5
11 Ohio State32171553%78.873.5+5.3
12 Iowa32171553%82.178.9+3.2
13 Penn State31161552%79.173.2+5.9
14 Northwestern33171652%72.469.2+3.3
15 USC32161650%77.175.5+1.6
16 Rutgers32151747%77.077.6-0.5
17 Minnesota32151747%68.169.7-1.7
18 Washington30121840%71.475.9-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois4957106
Iowa454994
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