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Michigan State vs Iowa Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-52
35-21 36-31
Position#29
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game61.6
vs
Position#81
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game61.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Michigan State v Iowa
02 Dec 2025
MICH71
IOWA52
20 Feb 2024
MICH71
IOWA78
26 Jan 2023
MICH63
IOWA61
13 Feb 2021
MICH58
IOWA88
25 Feb 2020
MICH78
IOWA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iowa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H24/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H28/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A30/03
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H04/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H09/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H13/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A18/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
89-56
89
56
+33
A25/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
42-32
31-33
42-37
24-33
40-37
37-34
43-35
36-39
33-27
46-23
33-37
44-27
39-39
41-25
43-31
47-24
42-32
33-28
41-30
140.0Avg total
76.6Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.761.6141.3+18.1100%
Season at home (5)77.261.8139.0+15.4100%
Season away (2)86.061.0147.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.663.4140.0+13.290%
Last 5 (5)81.859.2141.0+22.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.965.4137.3+6.575%
vs Weaker (18)79.766.4146.1+13.289%
This opponent (Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#158
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A09/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A12/03
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
94-106
94
106
-12
A13/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
W
101-69
101
69
+32
H05/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H15/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H19/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
93-54
93
54
+39
H21/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H26/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-35
43-33
37-37
40-33
45-49
49-57
49-26
52-43
41-33
36-25
45-29
36-33
49-25
50-45
40-24
53-30
31-31
43-38
30-23
29-23
151.0Avg total
83.8Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.461.1144.6+22.3100%
Season at home (6)87.563.7151.2+23.8100%
Season away (1)59.046.0105.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.867.2151.0+16.690%
Last 5 (5)81.260.2141.4+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.694.1170.8-17.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.574.2154.7+6.269%
vs Weaker (9)88.065.7153.7+22.389%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: +9.5+9.52nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +7.1+7.1
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: +9.5+9.52nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +7.1+7.1
Michigan StateIowa
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H24/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A30/03
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H09/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H13/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A18/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H21/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
47-24
47
24
+23
A25/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H27/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
36.8Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.031.367.3+4.750%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.930.867.7+6.158%-
Last 30 away (11)34.532.166.5+2.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.829.766.5+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.225.467.6+16.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.233.064.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker (18)39.230.269.3+9.067%-
This opponent (Iowa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#158
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A09/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A12/03
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A13/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H15/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H19/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H21/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H26/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A27/11
NCAA
71.9Avg total
40.7Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.535.974.4+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.932.773.7+8.261%-
Last 30 away (12)34.840.875.5-6.025%-
Last 10 (10)40.731.271.9+9.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.026.465.4+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.143.481.5-5.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.635.571.1+0.238%-
vs Weaker (9)42.930.072.9+12.967%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Michigan State wins
5
Iowa wins
DateGameScore
07/03/25Iowa v Michigan State84-91
21/02/24Michigan State v Iowa71-78
25/02/23Iowa v Michigan State112-106 OT
27/01/23Michigan State v Iowa63-61
23/02/22Iowa v Michigan State86-60
13/02/21Michigan State v Iowa58-88
03/02/21Iowa v Michigan State84-78
26/02/20Michigan State v Iowa78-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HNorth Carolina74-58
25/11/25AEast Carolina89-56
21/11/25HDetroit84-56
18/11/25AKentucky83-66
13/11/25HSan Jose State79-60
09/11/25HArkansas69-66
04/11/25HColgate80-69
30/03/25AAuburn64-70
28/03/25HOle Miss73-70
24/03/25HNew Mexico71-63
Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25AGrand Canyon59-46
26/11/25HOle Miss74-69
21/11/25HChicago State93-54
19/11/25HSoutheast Missouri State99-70
15/11/25HXavier81-62
08/11/25HWestern Illinois77-58
05/11/25HRobert Morris101-69
13/03/25AIllinois94-106
12/03/25AOhio State77-70
09/03/25ANebraska83-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.777.286.0
Allowed / game61.661.861.0
Point differential+18.1+15.4+25.0
Avg total141.3139.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%80%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iowa
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.487.559.0
Allowed / game61.163.746.0
Point differential+22.3+23.8+13.0
Avg total144.6151.2105.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%83%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana770100%89.662.4+27.1
2 Michigan770100%93.767.6+26.1
3 Iowa770100%83.461.1+22.3
4 Purdue770100%89.768.0+21.7
5 Michigan State770100%79.761.6+18.1
6 Nebraska880100%84.870.1+14.6
7 USC770100%91.977.6+14.3
8 Penn State98189%83.170.0+13.1
9 Ohio State76186%88.767.3+21.4
10 Illinois86275%90.470.2+20.1
11 UCLA75271%77.063.1+13.9
12 Wisconsin75271%87.173.6+13.6
13 Northwestern75271%82.169.6+12.6
14 Washington75271%82.672.4+10.1
15 Rutgers85362%71.867.6+4.1
16 Maryland85362%77.279.9-2.6
17 Oregon74357%73.774.7-1.0
18 Minnesota84450%73.568.4+5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State353671
Iowa213152
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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