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Ipswich Force vs South West Metro Pirates Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 93-86
20-18 29-30 23-19 21-19
Position#7
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game91.5
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Ipswich Force v South West Metro Pirates
17 May 2025
IPSW93
SOUT86
25 May 2024
IPSW96
SOUT104
16 Apr 2023
IPSW91
SOUT89
31 Jul 2022
IPSW108
SOUT65
11 Jul 2021
IPSW89
SOUT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ipswich Force winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South West Metro Pirates winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ipswich ForceAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A01/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
89-110
89
110
-21
H07/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
111-82
111
82
+29
H21/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A22/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H29/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A06/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A12/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
85-113
85
113
-28
A13/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A01/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H10/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
20-17
13-17
20-19
21-33
22-34
23-20
23-23
29-18
30-24
20-26
32-14
24-26
19-22
26-23
21-24
23-26
23-11
24-23
20-11
14-30
27-15
17-19
22-12
21-30
15-34
14-16
37-15
23-27
18-21
29-30
15-35
25-25
20-28
28-16
15-29
19-18
24-16
20-18
13-21
175.5Avg total
86.6Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.085.5167.5-3.550%
Season at home (1)76.073.0149.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)88.098.0186.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)86.688.9175.5-2.340%
Last 5 (5)83.291.0174.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)91.695.9187.6-4.339%
vs Similar ◀ (7)95.398.1193.4-2.929%
vs Weaker (5)95.892.8188.6+3.080%
This opponent (South West Metro Pirates) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South West Metro PiratesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H08/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
91-95
91
95
-4
H15/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
L
85-98
85
98
-13
A21/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
91-92
91
92
-1
A22/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
L
103-117
103
117
-14
A29/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H05/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
93-95
93
95
-2
A06/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
L
77-113
77
113
-36
A13/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H03/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
101-93
101
93
+8
H10/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
23-30
16-24
29-26
23-20
28-27
20-21
20-27
20-30
23-28
13-22
29-18
26-27
22-21
23-24
20-20
20-22
28-33
33-30
22-32
27-15
28-18
23-19
22-29
27-31
23-26
25-13
18-25
20-28
15-26
17-32
25-27
16-24
21-24
17-15
23-27
20-20
23-16
25-32
33-25
188.4Avg total
90.7Scored
97.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.091.5180.5-2.550%
Season at home (2)89.091.5180.5-2.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.797.7188.4-7.020%
Last 5 (5)89.694.4184.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)88.298.8187.0-10.618%
vs Similar ◀ (15)93.395.2188.5-1.953%
vs Weaker (4)90.083.8173.8+6.275%
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
Ipswich ForceSouth West Metro Pirates
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ipswich ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A01/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H07/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H21/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A22/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H29/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
L
36-64
36
64
-28
A12/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A13/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A01/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/05
NBL1 North
91.2Avg total
43.4Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.948.895.8-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.647.096.6+2.669%-
Last 30 away (17)44.950.295.1-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)43.447.891.2-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.248.890.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)48.149.597.6-1.444%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.349.094.3-3.743%-
vs Weaker (5)45.246.291.4-1.060%-
This opponent (South West Metro Pirates) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South West Metro PiratesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H08/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H15/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A21/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A22/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A29/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H05/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A06/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A13/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H03/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H10/05
NBL1 North
94.3Avg total
45.4Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.346.790.0-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.643.287.8+1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)41.850.892.6-9.07%-
Last 10 (10)45.448.994.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.045.689.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.449.592.8-6.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.846.691.4-1.827%-
vs Weaker (4)37.239.877.0-2.550%-
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HSunshine Coast Phoenix76-73
01/05/25AGold Coast Rollers88-98
13/07/24ATownsville Heat85-113
12/07/24ACairns Marlins87-95
06/07/24ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks80-76
29/06/24HLogan Thunder90-71
22/06/24ASunshine Coast Phoenix90-95
21/06/24HNorthside Wizards111-82
07/06/24HMackay Meteors89-110
01/06/24AGold Coast Rollers70-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HNorthside Wizards101-93
03/05/25HLogan Thunder77-90
13/07/24ADarwin Salties77-113
06/07/24ALogan Thunder93-95
05/07/24HSunshine Coast Phoenix100-81
29/06/24ANorthside Wizards103-117
22/06/24ATownsville Heat91-92
21/06/24ACairns Marlins85-98
15/06/24HLogan Thunder91-95
08/06/24HMackay Meteors89-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ipswich Force
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.076.088.0
Allowed / game85.573.098.0
Point differential-3.5+3.0-10.0
Avg total167.5149.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
South West Metro Pirates
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game91.591.5-
Point differential-2.5-2.5-
Avg total180.5180.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mackay Meteors220100%100.589.5+11.0
2 Brisbane Capitals32167%78.379.0-0.7
3 Cairns Marlins32167%91.398.3-7.0
4 Townsville Heat42250%92.883.8+9.0
5 Sunshine Coast Phoenix21150%84.078.0+6.0
6 Northside Wizards21150%88.082.5+5.5
7 Gold Coast Rollers21150%98.594.5+4.0
8 South West Metro Pirates21150%89.091.5-2.5
9 Ipswich Force21150%82.085.5-3.5
10 Logan Thunder31233%94.792.0+2.7
11 Southern District31233%91.097.7-6.7
12 Rockhampton Rockets2020%73.094.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ipswich Force2029232193
South West Metro Pirates1830191986
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