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Ipswich Force vs South West Metro Pirates Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 91-89
20-25 28-20 19-27 24-17
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#4
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game87.7
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2023
Meetings · Ipswich Force v South West Metro Pirates
17 May 2025
IPSW93
SOUT86
25 May 2024
IPSW96
SOUT104
16 Apr 2023
IPSW91
SOUT89
31 Jul 2022
IPSW108
SOUT65
11 Jul 2021
IPSW89
SOUT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ipswich Force winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South West Metro Pirates winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ipswich ForceAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Logan Thunder
#7
L
84-104
84
104
-20
H03/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#8
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A09/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#7
W
98-76
98
76
+22
A15/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H24/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A30/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#16
W
108-65
108
65
+43
H31/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
W
118-113
118
113
+5
H06/08
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#4
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
A13/08
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#16
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H26/03
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
W
108-88
108
88
+20
A01/04
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
18-21
17-27
27-29
23-31
23-21
26-21
23-17
19-11
27-22
22-25
30-18
19-26
24-26
25-10
27-24
18-25
22-19
25-14
22-14
26-15
24-22
29-11
29-17
28-31
27-27
36-23
27-32
23-16
23-31
24-17
11-17
17-24
23-14
19-9
20-26
22-28
30-21
33-18
23-21
182.4Avg total
96.3Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.580.5174.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)108.088.0196.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)96.386.1182.4+10.280%
Last 5 (5)100.886.6187.4+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)92.294.0186.2-1.840%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.086.5174.5+1.554%
vs Weaker (12)92.680.1172.7+12.583%
This opponent (South West Metro Pirates) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South West Metro PiratesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Capitals
#11
L
83-107
83
107
-24
H16/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#15
L
71-102
71
102
-31
A17/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H23/07
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#14
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H30/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#5
L
65-108
65
108
-43
A31/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#7
L
91-125
91
125
-34
A06/08
NBL1 North
Suncoast Clippers
#9
L
82-111
82
111
-29
H07/08
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
L
77-95
77
95
-18
A24/03
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#16
L
85-91
85
91
-6
H01/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H15/04
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
18-30
20-26
21-29
14-23
18-25
18-29
21-25
26-16
23-26
25-28
15-21
14-26
21-20
15-22
13-18
15-26
22-24
11-29
17-29
26-28
31-30
21-31
13-36
22-32
21-20
24-34
15-25
26-11
21-28
10-29
20-27
27-21
13-21
24-29
21-20
–
–
–
–
177.4Avg total
78.1Scored
99.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.087.7166.7-8.70%
Season at home (2)80.084.0164.0-4.00%
Season away (1)77.095.0172.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)78.199.3177.4-21.20%
Last 5 (5)82.099.8181.8-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)81.297.4178.5-16.217%
vs Similar ◀ (2)82.586.0168.5-3.550%
vs Weaker (4)89.288.5177.8+0.825%
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +8.1+8.1Q3: -9.9-9.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -8.2-8.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +8.1+8.1Q3: -9.9-9.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -8.2-8.2
Ipswich ForceSouth West Metro Pirates
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ipswich ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Logan Thunder
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H03/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#8
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A09/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A15/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#10
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H24/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A30/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#16
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H31/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H06/08
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/08
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#16
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H26/03
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A01/04
NBL1 North
91.6Avg total
45.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.386.5-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.044.486.4-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)44.342.286.6+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.845.891.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)48.645.894.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)45.848.294.0-2.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.845.184.8-5.38%-
vs Weaker (12)45.939.285.2+6.783%-
This opponent (South West Metro Pirates) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South West Metro PiratesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Capitals
#11
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H16/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#15
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A17/07
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H23/07
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#14
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H30/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#5
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A31/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#7
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A06/08
NBL1 North
Suncoast Clippers
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H07/08
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/03
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#16
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H01/04
NBL1 North
90.1Avg total
42.4Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.748.488.1-8.714%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.748.788.3-9.013%-
Last 30 away (14)39.748.187.8-8.414%-
Last 10 (9)42.447.790.1-5.222%-
Last 5 (5)44.848.293.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)39.549.188.5-9.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)41.042.083.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (3)40.747.087.7-6.30%-
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ipswich Force wins
1
South West Metro Pirates wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23AGold Coast Rollers108-88
26/03/23HRed City Roar79-73
13/08/22ACairns Marlins91-94 OT
06/08/22HGold Coast Rollers118-113
31/07/22HSouth West Metro Pirates108-65
30/07/22AUSC Rip City87-72
24/07/22HRockhampton Rockets95-86
15/07/22ALogan Thunder98-76
09/07/22ADarwin Salties95-90
03/07/22HLogan Thunder84-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23HNorth Gold Coast Seahawks75-77
01/04/23HRed City Roar85-91
24/03/23ALogan Thunder77-95
07/08/22HSuncoast Clippers82-111
06/08/22ALogan Thunder91-125
31/07/22AIpswich Force65-108
30/07/22HRed City Roar63-86
23/07/22HUSC Rip City89-91
17/07/22ASouthern District71-102
16/07/22HBrisbane Capitals83-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ipswich Force
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.579.0108.0
Allowed / game80.573.088.0
Point differential+13.0+6.0+20.0
Avg total174.0152.0196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
South West Metro Pirates
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.080.077.0
Allowed / game87.784.095.0
Point differential-8.7-4.0-18.0
Avg total166.7164.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mackay Meteors220100%94.077.0+17.0
2 Ipswich Force220100%93.580.5+13.0
3 Townsville Heat43175%92.086.8+5.2
4 Northside Wizards43175%89.590.2-0.8
5 Darwin Salties32167%101.391.3+10.0
6 USC Rip City32167%92.784.7+8.0
7 Logan Thunder32167%93.789.0+4.7
8 Sunshine Coast Phoenix32167%84.780.0+4.7
9 North Gold Coast Seahawks32167%80.078.7+1.3
10 Cairns Marlins32167%83.790.7-7.0
11 Gold Coast Rollers31233%93.796.7-3.0
12 Red City Roar31233%76.387.0-10.7
13 Southern District41325%83.085.5-2.5
14 Brisbane Capitals4040%94.0101.2-7.2
15 South West Metro Pirates3030%79.087.7-8.7
16 Rockhampton Rockets3030%95.7108.0-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ipswich Force2028192491
South West Metro Pirates2520271789
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