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Iraklis vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 76-74
18-20 10-23 22-16 26-15
Position#8
Record7-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game81.8
Iraklis 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#2
Record15-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game77.9
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 20· Ivanofeio Sports Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Iraklis v Panathinaikos
31 Jan 2027
IRA v PAO
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
IRA76
PAO74
14 May 2022
IRA59
PAO81
20 Apr 2021
IRA66
PAO100
15 Mar 2020
IRA v PAO
upcoming
04 Dec 2010
IRA44
PAO87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iraklis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IraklisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraklis
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
W
80-66
80
66
+14
82avg 78
H27/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
73-59
73
59
+14
73avg 78
H03/01
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#2
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 78
H07/01
ENBL
Aris
#5
L
76-78
76
78
-2
69avg 78
A10/01
Basket League
Peja
#26
W
122-80
122
80
+42
120avg 78
H20/01
ENBL
Mykonos
#7
L
80-83
80
83
-3
75avg 78
A24/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
93-73
93
73
+20
86avg 78
H31/01
Basket League
Olomoucko
#16
W
109-82
109
82
+27
110avg 78
A04/02
ENBL
Peristeri
#6
L
74-92
74
92
-18
61avg 78
A07/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
70-95
70
95
-25
63avg 78
H14/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
28-10
19-20
13-24
21-11
23-14
16-19
13-15
18-26
19-14
20-16
30-19
21-22
19-23
17-22
19-11
31-20
26-24
32-20
33-16
22-26
17-19
19-10
22-28
17-22
21-16
21-14
34-21
23-20
21-22
32-18
33-22
13-21
20-21
16-25
25-25
11-23
25-19
20-32
14-21
164.7Avg total
86.4Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.481.8162.2-1.541%
Season at home (9)78.476.3154.8+2.156%
Season away (8)82.588.0170.5-5.525%
Last 10 (10)86.478.3164.7+8.160%
Last 5 (5)85.285.0170.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.087.0166.0-8.012%
vs Similar (12)82.875.2158.1+7.675%
vs Weaker (10)87.071.3158.3+15.790%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#12
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 84
H25/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
79-78
79
78
+1
73avg 84
A30/01
Euroleague
Aris
#5
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
85avg 84
A01/02
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
68avg 84
H03/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
62-78
62
78
-16
54avg 84
A05/02
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
78-53
78
53
+25
72avg 84
A08/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
74avg 84
H13/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
97-102
97
102
-5
92avg 84
H15/02
Basket League
Paris
#16
L
99-104
99
104
-5
95avg 84
H26/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
75avg 84
A06/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
29-15
23-21
21-20
15-17
20-12
20-17
24-32
23-22
19-20
14-21
31-24
16-26
20-18
24-17
22-20
19-20
14-25
9-21
20-12
16-12
16-10
31-13
15-18
19-25
23-16
20-15
21-29
23-31
26-25
19-22
29-24
29-29
16-29
25-22
29-24
13-20
16-20
27-18
24-28
169.7Avg total
84.7Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)91.077.9168.9+13.183%
Season at home (9)94.281.3175.6+12.989%
Season away (9)87.874.4162.2+13.378%
Last 10 (10)84.785.0169.7-0.340%
Last 5 (5)87.486.0173.4+1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.086.5167.5-5.50%
vs Similar (9)85.887.3173.1-1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.677.5165.2+10.174%
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
IraklisPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IraklisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H27/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H03/01
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H07/01
ENBL
Aris
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A10/01
Basket League
Peja
#26
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H20/01
ENBL
Mykonos
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A24/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/01
Basket League
Olomoucko
#16
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/02
ENBL
Peristeri
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A07/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H14/02
Basket League
80.1Avg total
41.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.480.1+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.236.177.2+5.162%-
Last 30 away (14)42.141.183.3+1.057%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.580.1+3.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.879.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.944.584.4-4.625%-
vs Similar (12)41.237.178.3+4.250%-
vs Weaker (10)43.535.278.7+8.3100%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A30/01
Euroleague
Aris
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A01/02
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H03/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A05/02
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A08/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H13/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/02
Basket League
Paris
#16
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H26/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A06/03
Euroleague
80.8Avg total
39.1Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.285.0+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.943.689.4+2.356%-
Last 30 away (14)41.438.680.0+2.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.780.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.482.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.041.577.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (9)42.245.187.3-2.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.439.484.7+6.063%-
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Iraklistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraklis: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.6
57.2%
54.1%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.2
32.4%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.116.6
68.9%
74.4%16.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.319.8
59.5%
54.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.5
35.3%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.812.2
68.5%
74.4%12.2
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iraklis
LLWWLWLWWW
Panathinaikos
LLLLWLWLWW
#8
League position
#2
+10.0
Net rating
+1.3
101.4
Offensive rating
86.3
91.4
Defensive rating
85.0
53.9%
Effective FG%
56.7%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.4%
3-point %
35.3%
64.0%
Assist %
65.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 86.3Defence91.4 · 85.0Shooting53.9% · 56.7%3-point %32.4% · 35.3%Ball care16.9% · 16.0%Off. rebounds38.9% · -Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Iraklis   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iraklis wins
8
Panathinaikos wins
Iraklislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HOlympiacos70-95
07/02/26APeristeri74-92
04/02/26AOlomoucko109-82
31/01/26HAS Karditsas93-73
24/01/26AMykonos80-83
20/01/26HPeja122-80
10/01/26AAris76-78
07/01/26HDziki Warszawa87-75
03/01/26HPeristeri73-59
27/12/25HPanionios80-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26AOlympiacos80-86
26/02/26HParis99-104
15/02/26HKolossos Rhodes97-102
13/02/26HFenerbahce83-85
08/02/26AAS Karditsas78-53
05/02/26APartizan62-78
03/02/26HReal Madrid82-81
01/02/26AAris95-102 OT
30/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-78
25/01/26HMaroussi92-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iraklis
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%56%25%
Points / game80.478.482.5
Allowed / game81.876.388.0
Point differential-1.5+2.1-5.5
Avg total162.2154.8170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL83%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWWWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%89%78%
Points / game91.094.287.8
Allowed / game77.981.374.4
Point differential+13.1+12.9+13.3
Avg total168.9175.6162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%56%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos19190100%97.978.5+19.4
2 Panathinaikos1815383%91.077.9+13.1
3 AEK Athens1814478%85.178.2+6.8
4 PAOK1711665%81.881.4+0.4
5 Aris1710759%85.382.2+3.1
6 Peristeri189950%78.280.9-2.7
7 Iraklis1771041%80.481.8-1.5
8 Mykonos1871139%77.383.9-6.6
9 Promitheas1861233%85.188.9-3.8
10 Kolossos Rhodes1851328%79.184.7-5.6
11 Panionios1851328%79.287.9-8.8
12 AS Karditsas1951426%78.585.3-6.8
13 Maroussi1941521%85.392.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iraklis1810222676
Panathinaikos2023161574
← all games of the day
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