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Aris vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 102-95 (OT)
22-23 20-19 21-14 24-31 15-8
Position#5
Record7-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game82.3
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#2
Record14-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game76.3
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 17· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Aris v Panathinaikos
01 Nov 2026
ARI101
PAO91
01 Feb 2026
ARI102
PAO95
17 Mar 2025
ARI73
PAO83
02 Jun 2024
ARI65
PAO80
13 May 2024
ARI68
PAO80
12 Nov 2023
ARI65
PAO75
09 Oct 2022
ARI69
PAO65
24 May 2022
ARI65
PAO85
03 Oct 2021
ARI81
PAO71
17 Jan 2021
ARI75
PAO93
15 Feb 2020
ARI81
PAO88
13 Oct 2018
ARI70
PAO84
10 Dec 2017
ARI70
PAO88
21 Nov 2016
ARI59
PAO71
28 Apr 2015
ARI56
PAO72
24 Nov 2013
ARI59
PAO75
15 Oct 2012
ARI56
PAO71
21 Apr 2012
ARI65
PAO88
14 Jan 2012
ARI68
PAO72
18 Mar 2011
ARI69
PAO75
09 Feb 2011
ARI74
PAO70
08 Nov 2009
ARI62
PAO70
13 May 2009
ARI53
PAO66
21 Mar 2009
ARI69
PAO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
71avg 76
H20/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 76
A27/12
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
60-89
60
89
-29
43avg 76
H30/12
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
79avg 76
H04/01
Basket League
Manresa
#10
L
99-113
99
113
-14
83avg 76
A06/01
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
78-76
78
76
+2
68avg 76
H10/01
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
77-96
77
96
-19
no box
H14/01
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
113-107 OT
113
107
+6
104avg 76
A20/01
Eurocup
Promitheas
#9
W
103-97
103
97
+6
101avg 76
A24/01
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
76avg 76
A28/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
23-15
19-15
13-21
18-18
18-19
24-25
16-20
15-19
16-25
11-22
18-23
21-25
22-20
20-28
21-22
18-35
20-28
28-24
33-26
22-21
23-19
22-17
11-19
16-27
21-19
15-27
25-23
24-19
24-31
24-21
17-18
29-25
33-29
18-18
23-25
23-19
19-20
22-17
15-25
176.2Avg total
85.0Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.182.3165.4+0.850%
Season at home (7)79.377.0156.3+2.357%
Season away (7)86.987.6174.4-0.743%
Last 10 (10)85.091.2176.2-6.240%
Last 5 (5)90.091.4181.4-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.290.5169.6-11.315%
vs Similar (4)80.880.8161.5+0.050%
vs Weaker (13)89.283.8173.0+5.577%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
W
92-85
92
85
+7
95avg 86
H04/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
74-87
74
87
-13
70avg 86
H06/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
84-71
84
71
+13
80avg 86
H08/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
88avg 86
H11/01
Basket League
Bayern
#14
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A18/01
Basket League
Baskonia
#18
W
93-74
93
74
+19
88avg 86
H20/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
71-75
71
75
-4
61avg 86
A22/01
Euroleague
Maroussi
#12
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 86
H25/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
79-78
79
78
+1
73avg 86
A30/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
32-28
26-21
12-15
20-15
23-23
15-23
16-26
23-15
16-18
17-15
28-23
22-23
24-27
28-17
20-19
24-25
19-15
21-18
14-27
28-9
15-18
12-31
19-11
26-14
22-17
25-23
20-20
21-20
18-22
21-17
11-16
19-25
29-15
23-21
21-20
15-17
20-12
20-17
24-32
162.2Avg total
83.1Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)91.276.3167.5+14.993%
Season at home (8)93.978.8172.6+15.1100%
Season away (7)88.173.6161.7+14.686%
Last 10 (10)83.179.1162.2+4.070%
Last 5 (5)81.875.4157.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.087.0169.0-5.00%
vs Similar (11)86.586.2172.6+0.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.176.2165.3+12.889%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
ArisPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H20/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/12
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H30/12
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/01
Basket League
Manresa
#10
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A06/01
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H10/01
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H14/01
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A20/01
Eurocup
Promitheas
#9
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A24/01
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A28/01
Eurocup
87.4Avg total
42.1Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.684.6+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.780.5+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)44.144.588.7-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)42.145.387.4-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.845.892.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)42.544.987.5-2.438%-
vs Similar (4)39.539.879.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (13)44.538.883.4+5.785%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H04/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H06/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H08/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H11/01
Basket League
Bayern
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/01
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A18/01
Basket League
Baskonia
#18
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H20/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/01
Euroleague
Maroussi
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A30/01
Euroleague
81.7Avg total
43.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.541.987.4+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.343.189.4+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)44.640.785.3+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)43.837.981.7+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.633.876.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (11)43.544.487.9-0.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.840.387.1+6.467%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.2
47.0%
54.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.1
37.0%
34.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.419.2
82.1%
74.4%19.2
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.9
55.7%
54.1%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.7
35.4%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.515.9
77.6%
74.4%15.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LWWLWLLLLW
Panathinaikos
WWLWWLWWLW
#5
League position
#2
-4.8
Net rating
+6.1
102.3
Offensive rating
106.4
107.0
Defensive rating
100.3
50.5%
Effective FG%
54.7%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.3%
Turnover %
14.3%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.0%
3-point %
35.4%
61.1%
Assist %
64.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 106.4Defence107.0 · 100.3Shooting50.5% · 54.7%3-point %37.0% · 35.4%Ball care17.3% · 14.3%Off. rebounds27.2% · 27.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Aris   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aris wins
9
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
16/11/25Panathinaikos v Aris82-77
17/03/25Aris v Panathinaikos73-83
22/12/24Panathinaikos v Aris126-74
28/09/24Panathinaikos v Aris81-68
02/06/24Aris v Panathinaikos65-80
31/05/24Panathinaikos v Aris89-71
13/05/24Aris v Panathinaikos68-80
17/02/24Panathinaikos v Aris76-65
05/02/24Panathinaikos v Aris70-73
12/11/23Aris v Panathinaikos65-75
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26ABahcesehir Kol.79-81
24/01/26APromitheas103-97
20/01/26ASlask Wroclaw113-107 OT
14/01/26HHapoel Jerusalem77-96
10/01/26HIraklis78-76
06/01/26AManresa99-113
04/01/26HOlympiacos84-95
30/12/25HCedevita Olimpija60-89
27/12/25AAEK Athens76-82
20/12/25HPeristeri81-76 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-78
25/01/26HMaroussi92-81
22/01/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv71-75
20/01/26HBaskonia93-74
18/01/26APAOK74-69
15/01/26ABayern78-85
11/01/26HPeristeri94-86
08/01/26HVirtus Bologna84-71
06/01/26HOlimpia Milano74-87
04/01/26HAS Karditsas92-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game83.179.386.9
Allowed / game82.377.087.6
Point differential+0.8+2.3-0.7
Avg total165.4156.3174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %14%14%14%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game91.293.988.1
Allowed / game76.378.873.6
Point differential+14.9+15.1+14.6
Avg total167.5172.6161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%62%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos16160100%97.778.9+18.8
2 Panathinaikos1514193%91.276.3+14.9
3 AEK Athens1511473%83.978.5+5.3
4 PAOK1410471%82.679.8+2.8
5 Aris147750%83.182.3+0.8
6 Iraklis157847%81.580.3+1.2
7 Mykonos157847%77.682.5-4.9
8 Promitheas156940%85.587.5-2.0
9 Peristeri156940%76.782.1-5.5
10 Kolossos Rhodes1641225%77.783.6-5.9
11 AS Karditsas1641225%78.786.8-8.1
12 Panionios1641225%79.089.1-10.1
13 Maroussi1631319%87.193.5-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Aris2220212415102
Panathinaikos23191431895
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