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Iran vs Kazakhstan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 20-0
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game63.5
Iran 🏆
vs
Position#21
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game59.0
EuropeAsia Cup· Azadi Basketball Hall
Other2023
Meetings · Iran v Kazakhstan
22 Nov 2024
IRAN20
KAZA0
30 Sep 2023
IRAN86
KAZA60
24 Feb 2022
IRAN69
KAZA73
02 Jul 2018
IRAN88
KAZA56
01 Oct 2014
IRAN80
KAZA78
07 Aug 2013
IRAN85
KAZA53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iran winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kazakhstan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIran
Date
Competition
France
#8
L
55-82
55
82
-27
no box
A31/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
73-81
73
81
-8
no box
H02/09
World Cup
United Arab Emirates
#13
W
81-57
81
57
+24
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
W
81-66
81
66
+15
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
Kazakhstan
#10
W
86-60
86
60
+26
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
H03/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
H04/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
W
92-60
92
60
+32
no box
H06/10
Asian Games
Qatar
#13
W
76-74 OT
76
74
+2
no box
H23/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
86-53
86
53
+33
83avg 83
A26/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-9
15-26
9-19
19-28
13-20
23-28
13-14
24-19
23-24
18-20
22-9
18-4
21-11
17-17
23-10
20-28
20-16
15-9
30-19
21-16
22-28
14-20
18-23
29-13
21-20
19-28
26-15
23-19
23-11
22-23
31-10
16-16
20-13
15-19
12-16
20-19
23-20
19-12
25-12
19-9
150.1Avg total
80.2Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.063.5144.5+17.5100%
Season at home (1)76.074.0150.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)86.053.0139.0+33.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.269.9150.1+10.370%
Last 5 (5)85.270.6155.8+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.177.2140.3-14.217%
vs Similar (3)72.372.3144.7+0.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.367.2152.5+18.187%
This opponent (Kazakhstan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKazakhstan
Date
Competition
Australia
#5
L
50-97
50
97
-47
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Japan
#28
L
61-81
61
81
-20
no box
H14/11
World Cup
China
#20
L
59-71
59
71
-12
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
53-98
53
98
-45
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
62-86
62
86
-24
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
United Arab Emirates
#13
W
59-49
59
49
+10
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
60-86
60
86
-26
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
62-83
62
83
-21
no box
A02/10
Asian Games
India
#23
W
63-50
63
50
+13
58avg 63
H23/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
73-68
73
68
+5
69avg 63
A26/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-39
17-19
12-20
13-19
14-16
13-29
19-28
15-8
12-21
10-22
18-16
19-12
13-21
14-25
11-33
15-19
13-20
15-21
17-25
17-20
16-14
14-14
14-15
15-6
16-20
9-15
19-30
16-21
11-20
15-24
18-22
18-17
13-16
18-10
13-7
19-17
19-12
14-25
15-13
25-18
137.1Avg total
60.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.059.0127.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)63.050.0113.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)73.068.0141.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)60.276.9137.1-16.730%
Last 5 (5)63.467.2130.6-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)61.184.5145.6-23.37%
vs Similar (8)70.865.5136.2+5.275%
vs Weaker (7)86.158.3144.4+27.971%
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
IranKazakhstan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IranLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#8
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A31/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H02/09
World Cup
United Arab Emirates
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H26/09
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A28/09
Asian Games
Kazakhstan
#10
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H03/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H04/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H06/10
Asian Games
Qatar
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H23/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A26/02
Asia Cup
74.9Avg total
37.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.638.776.3-1.252%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.539.877.3-2.350%-
Last 30 away (11)37.637.074.6+0.655%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.474.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.878.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.543.577.0-9.918%-
vs Similar (3)40.337.077.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.935.675.5+4.373%-
This opponent (Kazakhstan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KazakhstanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia
#5
L
25-58
25
58
-33
H11/11
World Cup
Japan
#28
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H14/11
World Cup
China
#20
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A23/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A26/02
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H26/09
Asian Games
United Arab Emirates
#13
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A28/09
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A02/10
Asian Games
India
#23
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H23/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A26/02
Asia Cup
67.7Avg total
27.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.236.770.9-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.837.771.5-3.927%-
Last 30 away (15)34.635.770.3-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)27.440.367.7-12.920%-
Last 5 (5)29.034.063.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.741.571.2-11.77%-
vs Similar (8)35.133.268.4+1.975%-
vs Weaker (7)42.730.473.1+12.357%-
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Irantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iran: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.024.0
51.1%
49.3%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.0
36.4%
32.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.012.0
66.7%
70.1%12.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kazakhstantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kazakhstan: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.513.0
36.6%
49.3%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.0
36.7%
32.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws11.58.0
69.6%
70.1%8.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/2 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iran
WWWWLWWWLL
Kazakhstan
WWLLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#21
+44.6
Net rating
+10.5
120.8
Offensive rating
88.0
76.2
Defensive rating
77.5
52.2%
Effective FG%
45.0%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
37.6%
18.6%
Turnover %
28.9%
54.1%
Off. rebound %
38.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.18
36.4%
3-point %
36.7%
59.4%
Assist %
75.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence120.8 · 88.0Defence76.2 · 77.5Shooting52.2% · 45.0%3-point %36.4% · 36.7%Ball care18.6% · 28.9%Off. rebounds54.1% · 38.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Iran   ■ Kazakhstan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Iran wins
2
Kazakhstan wins
DateGameScore
30/09/23Iran v Kazakhstan86-60
15/07/22Kazakhstan v Iran60-96
01/07/22Kazakhstan v Iran68-60
24/02/22Iran v Kazakhstan69-73
02/07/18Iran v Kazakhstan88-56
22/02/18Kazakhstan v Iran54-75
01/10/14Iran v Kazakhstan80-78
07/08/13Iran v Kazakhstan85-53
Iranlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/24AIndia86-53
23/02/24HQatar76-74 OT
06/10/23HSaudi Arabia92-60
04/10/23HSouth Korea89-82
03/10/23HPhilippines83-84
30/09/23HKazakhstan86-60
28/09/23ASaudi Arabia81-66
26/09/23HUnited Arab Emirates81-57
02/09/23HLebanon73-81
31/08/23AFrance55-82
Kazakhstanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/24AQatar73-68
23/02/24HIndia63-50
02/10/23AChinese Taipei62-83
30/09/23AIran60-86
28/09/23AUnited Arab Emirates59-49
26/09/23HSaudi Arabia62-86
26/02/23AAustralia53-98
23/02/23AChina59-71
14/11/22HJapan61-81
11/11/22HAustralia50-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iran
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.076.086.0
Allowed / game63.574.053.0
Point differential+17.5+2.0+33.0
Avg total144.5150.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %50%100%0%
Kazakhstan
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game68.063.073.0
Allowed / game59.050.068.0
Point differential+9.0+13.0+5.0
Avg total127.0113.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia330100%97.356.7+40.7
2 Philippines330100%97.768.7+29.0
3 Jordan220100%76.055.0+21.0
4 Lebanon220100%90.570.5+20.0
5 Iran220100%81.063.5+17.5
6 Japan330100%82.068.0+14.0
7 Kazakhstan220100%68.059.0+9.0
8 Guam86275%70.572.2-1.8
9 Iraq75271%77.773.7+4.0
10 Thailand107370%83.876.0+7.8
11 China32167%84.759.3+25.3
12 New Zealand32167%88.770.3+18.3
13 South Korea32167%84.375.0+9.3
14 Syria21150%78.075.0+3.0
15 Mongolia105550%79.578.7+0.8
16 Qatar84450%65.665.0+0.6
17 Saudi Arabia21150%64.068.5-4.5
18 Bahrain21150%66.579.0-12.5
19 United Arab Emirates73443%66.466.7-0.3
20 Palestine73443%68.969.6-0.7
21 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
22 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
23 Chinese Taipei31233%69.083.3-14.3
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Hong Kong82625%66.878.4-11.6
26 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
27 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
28 India3030%52.072.7-20.7
29 Indonesia3030%61.788.3-26.7
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

No period scores for this game.
← all games of the day
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