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Iraq vs India Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-97
30-30 8-14 19-32 20-21
Position#16
Record6-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game71.5
vs
India 🏆
Position#23
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeAsia Cup· Khalifa Sport City
Other2023
Meetings · Iraq v India
21 Mar 2025
IRAQ77
INDI97
24 Feb 2020
IRAQ75
INDI94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iraq winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
India winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IraqLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraq
Date
Competition
Kuwait
#18
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H03/06
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
75-70
75
70
+5
no box
A20/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
H21/02
Asia Cup
Oman
#27
W
82-65
82
65
+17
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
58-64
58
64
-6
no box
H23/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
52avg 56
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
58-66
58
66
-8
43avg 56
A25/11
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
71-59
71
59
+12
67avg 56
H21/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
67-73
67
73
-6
62avg 56
H24/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
17-21
27-16
24-27
19-20
23-15
11-16
22-19
27-13
14-25
17-17
24-19
19-18
17-10
29-17
17-20
13-17
16-10
16-17
13-20
25-23
12-13
19-17
19-19
18-23
21-13
7-19
18-18
16-9
20-20
10-16
12-21
19-15
16-29
12-10
24-5
29-13
15-20
13-18
10-22
141.9Avg total
72.3Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.171.5144.6+1.555%
Season at home (6)75.269.2144.3+6.067%
Season away (5)70.674.4145.0-3.840%
Last 10 (10)72.369.6141.9+2.760%
Last 5 (5)67.068.6135.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.273.1139.3-6.920%
vs Similar (9)76.878.8155.6-2.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)74.474.9149.2-0.538%
This opponent (India) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IndiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIndia
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#46
L
54-85
54
85
-31
no box
A10/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
74-103
74
103
-29
no box
A13/11
World Cup
Jordan
#37
L
63-98
63
98
-35
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#46
L
60-71
60
71
-11
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
L
50-63
50
63
-13
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
53-86
53
86
-33
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
L
53-69
53
69
-16
40avg 57
H22/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
88-69
88
69
+19
88avg 57
H25/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
55-106
55
106
-51
45avg 57
A21/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
L
61-81
61
81
-20
53avg 57
A24/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
14-19
19-28
7-19
20-27
16-22
21-28
17-26
14-30
7-33
25-20
17-15
19-16
14-21
15-14
12-20
16-13
10-18
7-13
17-19
20-23
12-19
12-25
9-19
14-17
17-19
8-14
14-19
9-18
28-15
26-18
25-18
15-18
5-28
13-33
22-27
18-17
4-25
19-17
20-22
144.2Avg total
61.1Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)60.079.0139.0-19.017%
Season at home (3)64.774.7139.3-10.033%
Season away (3)55.383.3138.7-28.00%
Last 10 (10)61.183.1144.2-22.010%
Last 5 (5)62.082.2144.2-20.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)63.289.9153.1-26.611%
vs Similar (3)71.371.0142.3+0.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Iraq) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -9.2-9.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.4-4.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -9.2-9.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.4-4.4
IraqIndia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IraqLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kuwait
#18
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H03/06
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A20/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/02
Asia Cup
Oman
#27
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H22/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H23/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A25/11
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H21/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H24/02
Asia Cup
72.2Avg total
37.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)36.136.672.7-0.656%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.436.672.0-1.357%-
Last 30 away (13)36.836.673.5+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)37.934.372.2+3.690%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.673.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.334.971.2+1.470%-
vs Similar (9)36.937.774.6-0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)34.937.672.5-2.838%-
This opponent (India) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IndiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#46
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A10/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A13/11
World Cup
Jordan
#37
L
21-63
21
63
-42
H24/02
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#46
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H27/02
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A23/02
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H26/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H22/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H25/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
20-46
20
46
-26
A21/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A24/02
Asia Cup
70.3Avg total
28.6Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.145.176.3-14.017%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.046.077.0-15.020%-
Last 30 away (15)31.344.375.5-13.013%-
Last 10 (10)28.641.770.3-13.110%-
Last 5 (5)28.439.868.2-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)31.146.277.3-15.015%-
vs Similar (3)31.035.766.7-4.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Iraq) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Iraqtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraq: 64.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.7 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.217.8
46.7%
49.3%35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.35.3
23.9%
32.7%16.0
🏀 Free throws20.812.8
61.6%
70.1%12.8
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

India: 59.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.314.0
44.7%
49.3%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.3
29.4%
32.7%25.0
🏀 Free throws10.36.3
61.3%
70.1%6.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iraq
LWLLWLWWWW
India
LLWLLLLLLL
#16
League position
#23
-3.2
Net rating
-25.8
88.9
Offensive rating
82.1
92.1
Defensive rating
107.9
42.7%
Effective FG%
44.4%
42.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
19.4%
Turnover %
24.9%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.17
23.9%
3-point %
29.4%
64.7%
Assist %
68.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence88.9 · 82.1Defence92.1 · 107.9Shooting42.7% · 44.4%3-point %23.9% · 29.4%Ball care19.4% · 24.9%Off. rebounds28.0% · 25.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Iraq   ■ India
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iraq wins
2
India wins
DateGameScore
20/02/21India v Iraq81-78
24/02/20Iraq v India75-94
Iraqlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HJordan67-73
21/02/25HPalestine71-59
25/11/24ASaudi Arabia58-66
22/11/24AJordan64-73
26/02/24APalestine75-72
23/02/24HSaudi Arabia58-64
22/02/23HOman82-65
21/02/23HUnited Arab Emirates82-74
20/02/23AQatar75-70
03/06/22HKuwait91-80
Indialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25AQatar61-81
21/02/25AIran55-106
25/11/24HKazakhstan88-69
22/11/24HQatar53-69
26/02/24HIran53-86
23/02/24AKazakhstan50-63
27/02/23HSaudi Arabia60-71
24/02/23HJordan63-98
13/11/22ALebanon74-103
10/11/22ASaudi Arabia54-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iraq
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL55%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game73.175.270.6
Allowed / game71.569.274.4
Point differential+1.5+6.0-3.8
Avg total144.6144.3145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
India
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game60.064.755.3
Allowed / game79.074.783.3
Point differential-19.0-10.0-28.0
Avg total139.0139.3138.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%102.261.2+41.0
2 Lebanon660100%90.774.7+16.0
3 Jordan660100%77.265.0+12.2
4 China65183%88.361.0+27.3
5 Iran65183%75.550.8+24.7
6 New Zealand65183%87.766.0+21.7
7 Japan65183%79.376.8+2.5
8 Philippines64267%90.073.0+17.0
9 South Korea64267%84.879.3+5.5
10 Saudi Arabia64267%71.368.3+3.0
11 Qatar117464%70.566.3+4.3
12 Chinese Taipei85362%87.078.9+8.1
13 Iraq116555%73.171.5+1.5
14 Guam137654%72.778.1-5.4
15 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
16 Syria63350%77.777.2+0.5
17 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
18 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
21 Bahrain62433%75.282.0-6.8
22 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
23 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
26 India61517%60.079.0-19.0
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iraq308192077
India3014322197
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