Irbis Almaty vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024

Tip-off: 14:30

Final 78-76

20-19 25-19 22-22 11-16

Position#1

Record17-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.9

Allowed / game70.6

Irbis Almaty 🏆

Atyrau

Position#2

Record13-5

FormWWWWL

Points / game86.3

Allowed / game77.5

National League

Other2023-24

Meetings · Irbis Almaty v Atyrau

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Irbis Almaty winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Atyrau winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Irbis Almaty Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlmaty

Date

Competition

Aktobe

114-95

114

+19

124avg 87

A25/11

National League

Aktobe

86-64

+22

93avg 87

A26/11

National League

Astana 2

82-70

+12

86avg 87

A09/12

National League

Astana 2

71-55

+16

68avg 87

A10/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

105-58

105

+47

104avg 87

A13/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

90-63

+27

96avg 87

A14/12

National League

Aktobe

81-67

+14

77avg 87

H18/12

National League

Aktobe

77-67

+10

73avg 87

H19/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

79-57

+22

74avg 87

H15/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

89-60

+29

88avg 87

H16/01

National League

36-35

31-29

23-19

24-12

26-15

25-21

16-15

19-13

18-10

26-15

20-17

18-28

24-13

12-17

18-14

17-11

33-14

24-9

20-16

28-19

22-18

28-8

23-18

17-19

23-14

21-14

23-16

14-23

15-19

23-16

18-19

21-13

21-17

19-10

14-15

25-15

30-13

14-17

30-8

15-22

153.0Avg total

87.4Scored

65.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	87.9	70.6	158.6	+17.3	94%
Season at home (8)	86.0	67.1	153.1	+18.9	100%
Season away (10)	89.5	73.4	162.9	+16.1	90%
Last 10 (10)	87.4	65.6	153.0	+21.8	100%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	62.8	146.0	+20.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	62.2	84.4	146.6	-22.2	20%
vs Similar (7)	82.9	81.3	164.1	+1.6	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	87.9	70.6	158.6	+17.3	94%

This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Atyrau

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAtyrau

Date

Competition

Aktobe

96-89

100avg 85

A20/11

National League

Aktobe

97-98 OT

-1

no box

A21/11

National League

Almaty

80-77

73avg 85

H05/12

National League

Almaty

87-61

+26

87avg 85

H06/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

92-94

-2

95avg 85

A15/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

101-95

101

101avg 85

A16/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

102-77

102

+25

114avg 85

A25/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

97-82

+15

100avg 85

A26/12

National League

Aktobe

91-85

94avg 85

H13/01

National League

Aktobe

75-76

-1

78avg 85

H14/01

National League

26-27

28-17

22-19

20-26

29-13

23-32

15-26

21-17

24-20

20-15

20-22

16-20

26-10

22-30

19-8

20-13

15-29

33-19

22-29

22-17

27-28

16-26

24-21

34-20

26-13

28-20

30-25

18-19

22-25

27-18

24-26

24-13

30-21

16-24

26-12

19-28

22-20

15-20

26-19

12-17

175.2Avg total

91.8Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	86.3	77.5	163.8	+8.8	72%
Season at home (8)	83.2	72.0	155.2	+11.2	75%
Season away (10)	88.7	81.9	170.6	+6.8	70%
Last 10 (10)	91.8	83.4	175.2	+8.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	83.0	176.2	+10.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	68.4	77.1	145.6	-8.7	22%
vs Similar (4)	91.8	86.2	178.0	+5.5	75%
vs Weaker (17)	83.9	75.4	159.4	+8.5	82%

This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Irbis AlmatyAtyrau

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	19.9	42.2	+2.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	16.8	41.6	+8.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	16.2	38.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.4	23.8	39.2	-8.4	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	21.9	42.0	-1.7	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.9	17.8	41.8	+6.1	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.1	18.5	40.6	+3.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	20.6	45.3	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	21.4	46.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.8	19.7	39.4	+0.1	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.0	25.2	47.2	-3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.1	17.9	40.9	+5.2	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.6	40.3	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	17.5	39.4	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	19.7	41.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	15.6	37.9	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	13.0	34.0	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.6	26.0	43.6	-8.4	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.6	17.7	38.3	+2.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.3	16.9	40.2	+6.4	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	22.1	44.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	44%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.5	21.0	44.5	+2.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.6	18.9	39.6	+1.7	53%	-

Irbis AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aktobe

67-64

A25/11

National League

Aktobe

51-36

+15

A26/11

National League

Astana 2

44-25

+19

A09/12

National League

Astana 2

36-30

A10/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

57-23

+34

A13/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

50-26

+24

A14/12

National League

Aktobe

44-28

+16

H18/12

National League

Aktobe

38-35

H19/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

40-27

+13

H15/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

44-30

+14

H16/01

National League

79.5Avg total

47.1Scored

32.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	38.4	81.7	+5.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	37.1	80.0	+5.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	39.6	83.5	+4.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.1	32.4	79.5	+14.7	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	29.2	72.4	+14.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.0	49.8	82.8	-16.8	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.7	39.6	80.3	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	47.3	34.7	82.0	+12.6	89%	-

This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aktobe

54-44

+10

A20/11

National League

Aktobe

52-45

A21/11

National League

Almaty

44-35

H05/12

National League

Almaty

48-40

H06/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

48-48

A15/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

43-54

-11

A16/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

54-33

+21

A25/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

49-43

A26/12

National League

Aktobe

46-45

H13/01

National League

Aktobe

37-40

-3

H14/01

National League

90.2Avg total

47.5Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	38.3	80.4	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.5	36.8	77.2	+3.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.4	39.5	82.9	+3.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.5	42.7	90.2	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	43.0	88.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	37.6	37.7	75.2	-0.1	56%	-
vs Similar (4)	45.5	46.2	91.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	43.7	36.8	80.5	+6.9	82%	-

This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.2	37.3	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	15.7	35.9	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	15.7	36.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	15.2	36.8	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	13.2	17.6	30.8	-4.4	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.9	17.6	38.4	+3.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.6	17.0	38.6	+4.6	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	23.5	42.7	-4.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.7	43.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	20.6	46.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	15.6	20.0	35.6	-4.4	22%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	25.2	44.0	-6.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	19.8	37.2	-2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.0	17.0	33.0	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.1	18.9	37.9	+0.2	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.9	17.3	34.2	-0.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	18.6	38.6	+1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	15.3	19.4	34.8	-4.1	22%	-
vs Similar (4)	27.5	14.8	42.2	+12.8	100%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.4	35%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	36.5	75.3	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.6	35.5	73.1	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.0	37.5	77.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	33.2	73.5	+7.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	33.6	73.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	29.2	34.6	63.8	-5.4	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.9	39.6	80.4	+1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	40.7	35.9	76.6	+4.8	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	38.7	76.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.2	34.3	70.5	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.3	42.1	81.4	-2.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	39.7	83.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	40.0	87.4	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	30.9	39.4	70.3	-8.6	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	46.2	40.0	86.2	+6.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (17)	39.7	38.0	77.7	+1.7	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Irbis Almaty wins

Atyrau wins

Date	Game	Score
11/11/23	Atyrau v Irbis Almaty	82-59
10/11/23	Atyrau v Irbis Almaty	85-89
05/04/23	Irbis Almaty v Atyrau	78-88
04/04/23	Irbis Almaty v Atyrau	78-86
21/03/23	Atyrau v Irbis Almaty	46-81
20/03/23	Atyrau v Irbis Almaty	68-58
20/01/23	Atyrau v Irbis Almaty	71-64
19/01/23	Atyrau v Irbis Almaty	77-71
30/10/22	Irbis Almaty v Atyrau	79-73
29/10/22	Irbis Almaty v Atyrau	68-90

Irbis Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/01/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	89-60
15/01/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	79-57
19/12/23	H	Aktobe	77-67
18/12/23	H	Aktobe	81-67
14/12/23	A	Kaspiy Aktau	90-63
13/12/23	A	Kaspiy Aktau	105-58
10/12/23	A	Astana 2	71-55
09/12/23	A	Astana 2	82-70
26/11/23	A	Aktobe	86-64
25/11/23	A	Aktobe	114-95

Atyraulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/01/24	H	Aktobe	75-76
13/01/24	H	Aktobe	91-85
26/12/23	A	Kaspiy Aktau	97-82
25/12/23	A	Kaspiy Aktau	102-77
16/12/23	A	Tobol Kostanay	101-95
15/12/23	A	Tobol Kostanay	92-94
06/12/23	H	Almaty	87-61
05/12/23	H	Almaty	80-77
21/11/23	A	Aktobe	97-98 OT
20/11/23	A	Aktobe	96-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Irbis Almaty

National League 2023-24

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	94%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	90%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	94%	100%	90%
Points / game	87.9	86.0	89.5
Allowed / game	70.6	67.1	73.4
Point differential	+17.3	+18.9	+16.1
Avg total	158.6	153.1	162.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	83%	88%	80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Atyrau

National League 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	72%
Home	WWWWL	75%
Away	LLWWW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	72%	75%	70%
Points / game	86.3	83.2	88.7
Allowed / game	77.5	72.0	81.9
Point differential	+8.8	+11.2	+6.8
Avg total	163.8	155.2	170.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	50%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	33% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Irbis Almaty	18	17	1	94%	87.9	70.6	+17.3
2	Atyrau	18	13	5	72%	86.3	77.5	+8.8
3	Tobol Kostanay	20	14	6	70%	89.4	82.6	+6.8
4	Aktobe	20	11	9	55%	83.3	82.9	+0.4
5	Astana 2	20	10	10	50%	78.7	76.5	+2.2
6	Almaty	20	8	12	40%	82.8	84.7	-1.9
7	Kaspiy Aktau	20	4	16	20%	74.4	88.2	-13.8
8	Pavlodar	20	1	19	5%	75.7	92.8	-17.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Irbis Almaty	20	25	22	11	78
Atyrau	19	19	22	16	76

← all games of the day

Irbis Almaty vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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