Irbis Almaty vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 May 2024

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 88-90 (OT)

16-17 32-34 23-11 11-20 6-8

Position#1

Record34-3

FormLLWWW

Points / game88.2

Allowed / game72.2

Irbis Almaty

Atyrau 🏆

Position#2

Record26-11

FormLWWWL

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game73.4

National LeagueNational League - Final

Other2023-24

Meetings · Irbis Almaty v Atyrau

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Irbis Almaty winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Atyrau winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Irbis Almaty Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlmaty

Date

Competition

Almaty

105-103

105

103

95avg 85

H17/03

National League

Pavlodar

94-65

+29

88avg 85

H25/03

National League

Pavlodar

88-59

+29

85avg 85

H26/03

National League

Pavlodar

93-54

+39

92avg 85

A27/03

National League

Aktobe

87-69

+18

82avg 85

H19/04

National League

Aktobe

78-93

-15

70avg 85

H20/04

National League

Aktobe

73-75

-2

65avg 85

A27/04

National League

Aktobe

91-86

91avg 85

A28/04

National League

Aktobe

81-78

70avg 85

H04/05

National League

Atyrau

82-74

74avg 85

H13/05

National League

24-23

20-32

29-20

32-28

27-15

20-14

31-15

16-21

32-19

21-6

19-12

16-22

26-15

27-18

25-14

15-7

28-19

23-14

19-14

17-22

20-17

14-37

25-16

19-23

23-22

23-15

21-15

6-23

15-13

33-24

16-21

27-28

20-25

22-16

16-19

23-18

30-19

21-16

12-19

19-20

162.8Avg total

87.2Scored

75.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	88.2	72.2	160.4	+16.0	92%
Season at home (20)	86.0	71.2	157.2	+14.9	95%
Season away (17)	90.7	73.5	164.2	+17.2	88%
Last 10 (10)	87.2	75.6	162.8	+11.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	81.2	162.2	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	88.4	70.5	158.9	+17.9	93%

This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Atyrau

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAtyrau

Date

Competition

Astana 2

83-60

+23

78avg 82

H14/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

102-69

102

+33

113avg 82

H04/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

95-80

+15

98avg 82

H05/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

89-66

+23

86avg 82

A07/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

78-82

-4

80avg 82

H20/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

81-86

-5

80avg 82

H21/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

91-87

88avg 82

A30/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

78-67

+11

77avg 82

A01/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

75-71

79avg 82

H06/05

National League

Irbis Almaty

74-82

-8

65avg 82

A13/05

National League

19-10

17-27

26-8

21-15

30-13

23-9

27-26

22-21

23-11

22-32

24-21

26-16

22-14

21-16

20-16

26-20

21-25

19-18

26-13

12-26

19-30

15-24

24-19

23-13

19-22

27-24

17-22

28-19

25-16

14-12

14-22

25-17

21-25

22-12

20-21

12-13

19-30

16-21

19-12

20-19

159.6Avg total

84.6Scored

75.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	81.8	73.4	155.2	+8.4	70%
Season at home (17)	81.9	72.1	154.0	+9.9	71%
Season away (20)	81.7	74.5	156.2	+7.2	70%
Last 10 (10)	84.6	75.0	159.6	+9.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	78.6	158.4	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	73.2	73.0	146.2	+0.2	25%
vs Similar (9)	82.0	81.2	163.2	+0.8	56%
vs Weaker (17)	84.9	70.1	154.9	+14.8	88%

This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Irbis AlmatyAtyrau

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	17.3	41.6	+7.0	87%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.4	17.1	40.4	+6.3	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	25.5	17.6	43.2	+7.9	92%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	18.7	43.2	+5.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	24.3	17.3	41.6	+7.0	87%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.8	18.8	41.5	+4.0	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	20.4	42.9	+2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.6	45.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.9	22.8	43.7	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	24.8	16.6	41.4	+8.1	81%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	17.9	40.7	+4.9	80%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	17.5	38.5	+3.6	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	25.1	18.4	43.5	+6.7	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	22.8	17.9	40.7	+4.9	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.8	19.7	40.4	+1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.9	21.2	43.1	+0.8	44%	-

Irbis AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Almaty

44-55

-11

H17/03

National League

Pavlodar

47-29

+18

H25/03

National League

Pavlodar

53-25

+28

H26/03

National League

Pavlodar

53-33

+20

A27/03

National League

Aktobe

51-33

+18

H19/04

National League

Aktobe

34-54

-20

H20/04

National League

Aktobe

46-37

A27/04

National League

Aktobe

48-37

+11

A28/04

National League

Aktobe

42-41

H04/05

National League

Atyrau

51-35

+16

H13/05

National League

84.8Avg total

46.9Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.1	35.2	82.3	+11.9	90%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.4	34.5	78.9	+9.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	50.6	36.0	86.6	+14.6	92%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.9	37.9	84.8	+9.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	40.8	85.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	47.1	35.2	82.3	+11.9	90%	-

This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana 2

36-37

-1

H14/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

53-22

+31

H04/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

45-43

H05/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

43-30

+13

A07/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

40-43

-3

H20/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

34-54

-20

H21/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

46-46

A30/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

39-28

+11

A01/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

43-37

H06/05

National League

Irbis Almaty

35-51

-16

A13/05

National League

80.5Avg total

41.4Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.7	39.5	83.2	+4.1	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	37.5	79.6	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.1	41.4	86.5	+3.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	39.1	80.5	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	43.2	82.6	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	36.0	39.8	75.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.7	42.4	84.1	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (16)	46.7	37.8	84.5	+8.9	88%	-

This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	16.7	38.8	+5.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.2	16.8	39.1	+5.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.9	16.6	38.5	+5.3	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	16.5	37.8	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	22.1	16.7	38.8	+5.4	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	17.2	39.1	+4.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	22.4	42.9	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.0	39.7	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.3	19.3	41.6	+3.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	18.2	37.5	+1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.4	41.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.9	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	17.2	34.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	16.0	37.3	+5.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	17.9	39.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.2	37.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.8	14.2	32.0	+3.5	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	17.4	37.9	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.4	16.7	36.1	+2.7	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	35.3	76.6	+5.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.2	35.8	77.0	+5.5	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.3	34.8	76.1	+6.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	37.7	78.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	40.4	77.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	41.3	35.3	76.6	+5.9	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.7	36.5	77.1	+4.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	34.4	73.9	+5.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.8	38.4	80.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	35.9	79.1	+7.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	35.4	75.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	37.2	33.2	70.5	+4.0	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.3	38.8	79.1	+1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	41.7	36.0	77.7	+5.7	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Irbis Almaty wins

Atyrau wins

Date	Game	Score
13/05/24	Irbis Almaty v Atyrau	82-74
26/01/24	Irbis Almaty v Atyrau	73-61
25/01/24	Irbis Almaty v Atyrau	78-76
11/11/23	Atyrau v Irbis Almaty	82-59
10/11/23	Atyrau v Irbis Almaty	85-89
05/04/23	Irbis Almaty v Atyrau	78-88
04/04/23	Irbis Almaty v Atyrau	78-86
21/03/23	Atyrau v Irbis Almaty	46-81
20/03/23	Atyrau v Irbis Almaty	68-58
20/01/23	Atyrau v Irbis Almaty	71-64

Irbis Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/05/24	H	Atyrau	82-74
04/05/24	H	Aktobe	81-78
28/04/24	A	Aktobe	91-86
27/04/24	A	Aktobe	73-75
20/04/24	H	Aktobe	78-93
19/04/24	H	Aktobe	87-69
27/03/24	A	Pavlodar	93-54
26/03/24	H	Pavlodar	88-59
25/03/24	H	Pavlodar	94-65
17/03/24	H	Almaty	105-103

Atyraulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/05/24	A	Irbis Almaty	74-82
06/05/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	75-71
01/05/24	A	Tobol Kostanay	78-67
30/04/24	A	Tobol Kostanay	91-87
21/04/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	81-86
20/04/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	78-82
07/04/24	A	Kaspiy Aktau	89-66
05/04/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	95-80
04/04/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	102-69
14/03/24	H	Astana 2	83-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Irbis Almaty

National League 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	92%
Home	WWLWW	95%
Away	WWWLW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	20	17
Win %	92%	95%	88%
Points / game	88.2	86.0	90.7
Allowed / game	72.2	71.2	73.5
Point differential	+16.0	+14.9	+17.2
Avg total	160.4	157.2	164.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	73%	70%	76%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Atyrau

National League 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	70%
Home	WWLLW	71%
Away	WWWWL	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	17	20
Win %	70%	71%	70%
Points / game	81.8	81.9	81.7
Allowed / game	73.4	72.1	74.5
Point differential	+8.4	+9.9	+7.2
Avg total	155.2	154.0	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	47%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	42% (12)	43% (7)	40% (5)
Overtime %	3%	0%	5%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Irbis Almaty	37	34	3	92%	88.2	72.2	+16.0
2	Atyrau	37	26	11	70%	81.8	73.4	+8.4
3	Tobol Kostanay	37	23	14	62%	89.2	82.6	+6.6
4	Aktobe	38	23	15	61%	84.6	81.3	+3.3
5	Astana 2	32	14	18	44%	76.4	76.6	-0.2
6	Almaty	31	10	21	32%	81.8	87.0	-5.2
7	Kaspiy Aktau	31	6	25	19%	72.6	89.3	-16.7
8	Pavlodar	31	1	30	3%	73.4	92.4	-19.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Irbis Almaty	16	32	23	11	6	88
Atyrau	17	34	11	20	8	90

← all games of the day

Irbis Almaty vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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