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Istogu vs Trepca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 65-106
10-31 24-16 15-26 16-33
Position#8
Record1-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game99.2
Istogu
Kosovo
vs
Trepca 🏆
Kosovo
Position#1
Record12-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game73.6
KosovoSuperligaRound 15· Palestra sportive Sezai Surroi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Istogu v Trepca
27 Dec 2023
ISTO65
TRE106
23 Sep 2023
ISTO65
TRE112
26 Apr 2021
ISTO70
TRE99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Istogu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trepca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IstoguKosovoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIstogu
Date
Competition
Peja
#3
L
69-84
69
84
-15
58avg 50
A22/10
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
L
65-102
65
102
-37
48avg 50
H29/10
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
L
73-94
73
94
-21
55avg 50
A04/11
Superliga
Trepca
#1
L
82-112
82
112
-30
75avg 50
A12/11
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
53-89
53
89
-36
32avg 50
H18/11
Superliga
Bashkimi
#6
L
53-93
53
93
-40
40avg 50
A25/11
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
63-117
63
117
-54
39avg 50
A03/12
Superliga
Peja
#3
L
63-113
63
113
-50
26avg 50
H10/12
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
L
67-82
67
82
-15
54avg 50
A17/12
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
L
83-96
83
96
-13
67avg 50
H24/12
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
17-25
19-19
21-19
18-33
18-20
11-22
18-27
19-23
15-23
22-22
17-26
23-23
25-25
14-37
20-27
8-17
18-27
13-26
14-19
14-23
18-22
17-20
4-28
17-27
13-28
19-30
14-32
18-25
21-26
13-29
11-33
17-27
24-15
14-16
12-24
25-23
10-21
21-24
27-28
165.3Avg total
67.1Scored
98.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)68.999.2168.1-30.37%
Season at home (7)68.997.3166.1-28.414%
Season away (7)69.0101.1170.1-32.10%
Last 10 (10)67.198.2165.3-31.10%
Last 5 (5)65.8100.2166.0-34.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.098.9168.9-28.96%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trepca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrepcaKosovoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrepca
Date
Competition
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
68-71 OT
68
71
-3
no box
H05/11
Superliga
Istogu
#8
W
112-82
112
82
+30
106avg 79
H12/11
Superliga
Leiden
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
69avg 79
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 79
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Peja
#3
W
91-71
91
71
+20
79avg 79
H25/11
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 79
A29/11
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
84avg 79
A02/12
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
W
104-76
104
76
+28
104avg 79
H10/12
Superliga
Bashkimi
#6
W
84-67
84
67
+17
84avg 79
H16/12
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
W
80-61
80
61
+19
75avg 79
A23/12
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
11-19
17-11
20-16
23-23
25-25
37-14
27-20
22-23
15-18
18-17
21-22
27-14
9-14
19-17
21-23
21-17
15-14
29-21
26-19
22-13
15-14
19-19
20-20
28-21
28-21
20-16
13-24
22-17
20-21
22-25
40-13
20-11
18-19
24-14
22-23
16-25
19-6
27-15
18-15
158.0Avg total
85.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.973.6164.5+17.286%
Season at home (7)89.771.4161.1+18.386%
Season away (7)92.075.9167.9+16.186%
Last 10 (10)85.672.4158.0+13.280%
Last 5 (5)86.670.4157.0+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.982.3159.2-5.547%
vs Similar (1)77.067.0144.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.973.6164.5+17.286%
This opponent (Istogu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -10.5-10.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -10.5-10.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
IstoguTrepca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IstoguLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peja
#3
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A22/10
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H29/10
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A04/11
Superliga
Trepca
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/11
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H18/11
Superliga
Bashkimi
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A25/11
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A03/12
Superliga
Peja
#3
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H10/12
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/12
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H24/12
Superliga
82.4Avg total
35.0Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)35.547.983.4-12.40%-
Last 30 at home (8)35.247.182.4-11.90%-
Last 30 away (8)35.848.884.5-13.00%-
Last 10 (10)35.047.482.4-12.40%-
Last 5 (5)35.447.482.8-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.547.983.4-12.40%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trepca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrepcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H05/11
Superliga
Istogu
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/11
Superliga
Leiden
#14
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Peja
#3
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H25/11
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A29/11
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A02/12
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/12
Superliga
Bashkimi
#6
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H16/12
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A23/12
Superliga
73.9Avg total
38.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.078.8+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.136.975.0+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.541.182.6+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)38.935.073.9+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.633.675.2+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.540.678.1-3.133%-
vs Similar (1)32.035.067.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.837.680.4+5.271%-
This opponent (Istogu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Istogutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Istogu: 65.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.917.0
40.6%
52.5%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.97.3
26.2%
32.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.910.0
62.9%
70.2%10.0
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trepcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trepca: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.6
52.8%
52.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.9
34.6%
32.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.212.0
74.1%
70.2%12.0
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Istogu
LLLLLLLLLL
Trepca
WWWWWWWLWL
#8
League position
#1
-38.7
Net rating
+13.7
79.8
Offensive rating
112.2
118.5
Defensive rating
98.5
40.0%
Effective FG%
52.4%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
18.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
26.2%
3-point %
34.6%
55.6%
Assist %
61.3%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence79.8 · 112.2Defence118.5 · 98.5Shooting40.0% · 52.4%3-point %26.2% · 34.6%Ball care18.4% · 16.5%Off. rebounds20.4% · 33.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)0% · 80%
■ Istogu   ■ Trepca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Istogu wins
4
Trepca wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Trepca v Istogu112-82
23/09/23Istogu v Trepca65-112
29/04/21Trepca v Istogu94-85
26/04/21Istogu v Trepca70-99
Istogulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HPrizreni83-96
17/12/23AVellaznimi67-82
10/12/23HPeja63-113
03/12/23ASigal Prishtina63-117
25/11/23ABashkimi53-93
18/11/23HGolden Eagle Ylli53-89
12/11/23ATrepca82-112
04/11/23APrizreni73-94
29/10/23HVellaznimi65-102
22/10/23APeja69-84
Trepcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23AGolden Eagle Ylli80-61
16/12/23HBashkimi84-67
10/12/23HPrizreni104-76
02/12/23AVellaznimi89-82
29/11/23ASigal Prishtina76-66
25/11/23HPeja91-71
22/11/23HGravelines-Dunkerque76-68
15/11/23ALeiden76-80
12/11/23HIstogu112-82
05/11/23HGolden Eagle Ylli68-71 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Istogu
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %7%14%0%
Points / game68.968.969.0
Allowed / game99.297.3101.1
Point differential-30.3-28.4-32.1
Avg total168.1166.1170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trepca
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%86%86%
Points / game90.989.792.0
Allowed / game73.671.475.9
Point differential+17.2+18.3+16.1
Avg total164.5161.1167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%86%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trepca1412286%90.973.6+17.2
2 Peja1410471%93.182.5+10.6
3 Sigal Prishtina149564%88.782.5+6.2
4 Golden Eagle Ylli148657%83.976.6+7.3
5 Vellaznimi147750%83.982.9+1.0
6 Prizreni145936%85.193.8-8.7
7 Bashkimi1441029%82.085.3-3.3
8 Istogu141137%68.999.2-30.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Istogu1024151665
Trepca31162633106
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