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Leiden vs Trepca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-76
23-22 18-15 17-18 22-21
Position#14
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game56.8
Allowed / game49.2
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#25
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game64.2
Allowed / game75.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Vijf Meihal
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trepca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
102-58
102
58
+44
99avg 69
H30/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
54-78
54
78
-24
42avg 69
A07/10
BNXT League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
77-69
77
69
+8
78avg 69
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Feyenoord
#18
W
80-73
80
73
+7
72avg 69
A22/10
BNXT League
Trepca
#25
W
84-54
84
54
+30
87avg 69
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#12
W
74-65
74
65
+9
74avg 69
H28/10
BNXT League
Galil Elyon
#50
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
88-71
88
71
+17
82avg 69
A04/11
BNXT League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
46-74
46
74
-28
27avg 69
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
LWD Basket
#17
W
72-67
72
67
+5
69avg 69
H11/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
28-9
31-17
16-14
4-25
17-18
16-21
17-14
25-21
16-10
16-23
20-15
20-15
22-11
18-21
20-26
18-13
15-14
23-15
28-12
17-21
18-19
19-13
20-12
–
–
–
–
20-16
21-23
29-15
18-17
6-24
14-13
15-15
11-22
19-21
23-14
13-16
17-16
130.6Avg total
69.7Scored
60.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)56.849.2106.0+7.575%
Season at home (1)77.069.0146.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)50.042.792.7+7.367%
Last 10 (10)69.760.9130.6+8.880%
Last 5 (5)60.055.4115.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.073.7132.7-14.733%
vs Similar (12)72.272.5144.7-0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.369.8155.2+15.5100%
This opponent (Trepca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrepcaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrepca
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#19
W
77-69
77
69
+8
68avg 78
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#46
W
77-67
77
67
+10
77avg 78
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peja
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
79avg 78
A12/10
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
W
91-67
91
67
+24
94avg 78
H15/10
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
W
108-88
108
88
+20
106avg 78
A21/10
Superliga
Leiden
#14
L
54-84
54
84
-30
39avg 78
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bashkimi
#6
W
99-77
99
77
+22
98avg 78
A29/10
Superliga
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
49-83
49
83
-34
31avg 78
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
68-71 OT
68
71
-3
no box
H05/11
Superliga
Istogu
#8
W
112-82
112
82
+30
106avg 78
H12/11
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
18-22
16-14
27-16
11-15
21-20
26-19
19-13
16-27
16-18
24-25
24-22
23-17
19-21
18-14
31-15
14-25
34-26
30-23
30-14
13-18
14-15
15-23
12-28
33-18
23-19
20-23
23-17
12-20
9-20
13-17
15-26
13-15
11-19
17-11
20-16
23-23
25-25
37-14
27-20
159.5Avg total
81.5Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)64.275.8140.0-11.550%
Season at home (2)65.575.5141.0-10.050%
Season away (2)63.076.0139.0-13.050%
Last 10 (10)81.578.0159.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)76.479.4155.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.482.5158.9-6.140%
vs Similar (2)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker (13)93.078.2171.2+14.885%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +4.1+4.1
LeidenTrepca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H30/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A07/10
BNXT League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Feyenoord
#18
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A22/10
BNXT League
Trepca
#25
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H28/10
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#15
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/11
BNXT League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
LWD Basket
#17
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/11
BNXT League
70.6Avg total
36.7Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.035.071.0+1.059%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.734.571.2+2.257%-
Last 30 away (15)35.335.570.9-0.260%-
Last 10 (9)36.733.970.6+2.867%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.669.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.337.064.3-9.733%-
vs Similar (12)34.235.970.2-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.934.274.1+5.885%-
This opponent (Trepca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrepcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#19
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#46
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peja
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A12/10
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/10
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A21/10
Superliga
Leiden
#14
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bashkimi
#6
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A29/10
Superliga
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H05/11
Superliga
Istogu
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/11
Superliga
76.4Avg total
36.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.882.3+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.838.978.7+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)43.342.685.9+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)36.440.076.4-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.473.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.940.978.9-3.033%-
vs Similar (2)38.545.083.5-6.50%-
vs Weaker (13)46.239.986.1+6.269%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.9
52.9%
52.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.3
33.5%
33.8%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.511.4
73.5%
73.0%11.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trepcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trepca: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.1
51.7%
52.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.2
36.1%
33.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
73.0%13.9
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WLWWWWWWLW
Trepca
WLLWLWWLWW
#14
League position
#25
+14.0
Net rating
+6.7
106.7
Offensive rating
105.7
92.7
Defensive rating
99.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
52.6%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.9%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.5%
3-point %
36.1%
70.9%
Assist %
61.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 105.7Defence92.7 · 99.0Shooting52.0% · 52.6%3-point %33.5% · 36.1%Ball care16.5% · 19.9%Off. rebounds27.9% · 31.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Leiden   ■ Trepca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leiden wins
0
Trepca wins
DateGameScore
25/10/23Trepca v Leiden54-84
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HLWD Basket72-67
08/11/23AGravelines-Dunkerque46-74
04/11/23ABAL Weert88-71
01/11/23AGalil Elyon20-0
28/10/23HZwolle74-65
25/10/23ATrepca84-54
22/10/23AFeyenoord80-73
18/10/23HGravelines-Dunkerque77-69
07/10/23ADen Bosch54-78
30/09/23HQSTA Utd102-58
Trepcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HIstogu112-82
05/11/23HGolden Eagle Ylli68-71 OT
01/11/23AGravelines-Dunkerque49-83
29/10/23ABashkimi99-77
25/10/23HLeiden54-84
21/10/23APrizreni108-88
15/10/23HVellaznimi91-67
12/10/23APeja80-92
05/10/23HParnu77-67
04/10/23ATindastoll77-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game56.877.050.0
Allowed / game49.269.042.7
Point differential+7.5+8.0+7.3
Avg total106.0146.092.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trepca
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game64.265.563.0
Allowed / game75.875.576.0
Point differential-11.5-10.0-13.0
Avg total140.0141.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz550100%91.068.4+22.6
2 Bilbao550100%85.468.0+17.4
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia550100%84.873.2+11.6
5 Basket Zaragoza550100%87.076.8+10.2
6 Balkan330100%84.775.7+9.0
7 Manisa76186%83.075.3+7.7
8 Nymburk54180%90.076.6+13.4
9 Bahcesehir Kol.54180%88.879.2+9.6
10 Jonava54180%92.283.6+8.6
11 Varese54180%97.889.6+8.2
12 Gottingen54180%91.485.0+6.4
13 Leiden43175%56.849.2+7.5
14 Rostock75271%87.476.9+10.6
15 FC Porto75271%86.479.6+6.9
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque32167%75.357.3+18.0
17 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
18 CSM Oradea53260%88.882.6+6.2
19 Caledonia Gladiators53260%74.479.4-5.0
20 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
21 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%74.074.0+0.0
22 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
23 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
24 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
25 Sabah Baku84450%76.281.9-5.6
26 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
27 Peja42250%79.290.0-10.8
28 Trepca42250%64.275.8-11.5
29 Anwil Wloclawek52340%77.067.6+9.4
30 Levice52340%73.277.6-4.4
31 AEK Larnaca52340%77.682.4-4.8
32 Spojnia Stargard52340%77.083.6-6.6
33 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
34 Sporting CP31233%85.088.7-3.7
35 Keravnos72529%80.982.4-1.6
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Bakken Bears51420%83.286.0-2.8
38 TSU51420%78.285.0-6.8
39 Karhu Basket51420%82.891.8-9.0
40 Mornar Bar51420%72.681.8-9.2
41 Norrkoping51420%67.880.2-12.4
42 Kataja71614%76.385.3-9.0
43 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
44 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
45 Den Bosch4040%76.085.2-9.2
46 Brindisi3030%76.386.0-9.7
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu5050%61.683.4-21.8
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2318172280
Trepca2215182176
← all games of the day
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