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Istogu vs Vellaznimi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 57-90
7-19 17-11 18-26 15-34
Position#8
Record1-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game96.4
Istogu
Kosovo
vs
Vellaznimi 🏆
Kosovo
Position#5
Record8-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game80.9
KosovoSuperligaRound 20· Palestra Shani Nushi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Istogu v Vellaznimi
04 Feb 2024
ISTO57
VELL90
29 Oct 2023
ISTO65
VELL102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Istogu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vellaznimi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IstoguKosovoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIstogu
Date
Competition
Bashkimi
#6
L
53-93
53
93
-40
40avg 50
A25/11
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
63-117
63
117
-54
39avg 50
A03/12
Superliga
Peja
#3
L
63-113
63
113
-50
26avg 50
H10/12
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
L
67-82
67
82
-15
54avg 50
A17/12
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
L
83-96
83
96
-13
67avg 50
H24/12
Superliga
Trepca
#1
L
65-106
65
106
-41
44avg 50
H27/12
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
64-84
64
84
-20
48avg 50
A07/01
Superliga
Bashkimi
#6
L
73-90
73
90
-17
64avg 50
H14/01
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
68-83
68
83
-15
54avg 50
H21/01
Superliga
Peja
#3
L
53-80
53
80
-27
42avg 50
A28/01
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
18-22
17-20
4-28
17-27
13-28
19-30
14-32
18-25
21-26
13-29
11-33
17-27
24-15
14-16
12-24
25-23
10-21
21-24
27-28
10-31
24-16
15-26
16-33
17-25
11-17
18-19
18-23
28-27
20-22
3-22
22-19
22-21
13-21
18-16
15-25
14-26
11-19
8-21
20-14
159.6Avg total
65.2Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)67.896.4164.2-28.65%
Season at home (10)68.896.0164.8-27.210%
Season away (9)66.796.9163.6-30.20%
Last 10 (10)65.294.4159.6-29.20%
Last 5 (5)64.688.6153.2-24.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.796.4165.1-27.75%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vellaznimi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VellaznimiKosovoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVellaznimi
Date
Competition
Prizreni
#7
W
97-93
97
93
+4
86avg 67
A26/11
Superliga
Trepca
#1
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 67
H02/12
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
58avg 67
A09/12
Superliga
Istogu
#8
W
82-67
82
67
+15
78avg 67
H17/12
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
A24/12
Superliga
Peja
#3
L
61-79
61
79
-18
46avg 67
A28/12
Superliga
Bashkimi
#6
L
64-78
64
78
-14
56avg 67
A06/01
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
W
86-70
86
70
+16
79avg 67
H14/01
Superliga
Trepca
#1
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 67
A21/01
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
56-63
56
63
-7
43avg 67
H27/01
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
24-28
26-23
18-19
21-28
21-28
16-20
24-13
21-26
17-18
25-18
12-21
27-17
15-24
16-14
24-12
25-23
14-29
31-26
23-19
13-13
14-24
16-23
18-19
20-13
15-26
13-22
16-17
22-21
20-13
26-19
18-17
16-24
31-19
17-20
15-25
16-17
5-15
15-19
20-12
158.2Avg total
77.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.080.9160.9-0.942%
Season at home (9)81.276.0157.2+5.267%
Season away (10)78.985.4164.3-6.520%
Last 10 (10)77.580.7158.2-3.230%
Last 5 (5)69.275.6144.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)75.689.9165.5-14.224%
vs Similar (4)84.886.0170.8-1.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)88.674.6163.2+14.080%
This opponent (Istogu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -10.0-10.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -10.0-10.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
IstoguVellaznimi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IstoguLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bashkimi
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A25/11
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A03/12
Superliga
Peja
#3
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H10/12
Superliga
Vellaznimi
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/12
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H24/12
Superliga
Trepca
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H27/12
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A07/01
Superliga
Bashkimi
#6
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H14/01
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H21/01
Superliga
Peja
#3
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A28/01
Superliga
80.9Avg total
34.7Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)35.147.282.4-12.10%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.346.883.1-10.50%-
Last 30 away (10)33.947.781.6-13.80%-
Last 10 (10)34.746.280.9-11.50%-
Last 5 (5)34.045.079.0-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)35.147.282.4-12.10%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vellaznimi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VellaznimiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prizreni
#7
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A26/11
Superliga
Trepca
#1
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H02/12
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/12
Superliga
Istogu
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/12
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A24/12
Superliga
Peja
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A28/12
Superliga
Bashkimi
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A06/01
Superliga
Prizreni
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H14/01
Superliga
Trepca
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A21/01
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
21-32
21
32
-11
H27/01
Superliga
81.5Avg total
38.6Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.644.182.7-5.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.444.581.9-7.127%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.783.5-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.981.5-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.071.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)36.145.982.0-9.814%-
vs Similar (4)43.037.280.2+5.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.842.288.0+3.680%-
This opponent (Istogu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Istogutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Istogu: 64.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.915.3
40.4%
52.5%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.5
26.8%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.011.2
70.0%
70.2%11.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vellaznimitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vellaznimi: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.8
48.7%
52.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.9
34.5%
32.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws13.19.6
73.3%
70.2%9.6
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Istogu
LLLLLLLLLL
Vellaznimi
LLWLLLWLLW
#8
League position
#5
-37.3
Net rating
-4.5
80.3
Offensive rating
104.0
117.6
Defensive rating
108.5
40.3%
Effective FG%
50.0%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.1%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.19
26.8%
3-point %
34.5%
57.0%
Assist %
55.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence80.3 · 104.0Defence117.6 · 108.5Shooting40.3% · 50.0%3-point %26.8% · 34.5%Ball care19.7% · 18.1%Off. rebounds20.0% · 31.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)0% · 30%
■ Istogu   ■ Vellaznimi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Istogu wins
2
Vellaznimi wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23Vellaznimi v Istogu82-67
29/10/23Istogu v Vellaznimi65-102
Istogulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24APeja53-80
21/01/24HSigal Prishtina68-83
14/01/24HBashkimi73-90
07/01/24AGolden Eagle Ylli64-84
27/12/23HTrepca65-106
24/12/23HPrizreni83-96
17/12/23AVellaznimi67-82
10/12/23HPeja63-113
03/12/23ASigal Prishtina63-117
25/11/23ABashkimi53-93
Vellaznimilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HGolden Eagle Ylli56-63
21/01/24ATrepca79-88
14/01/24HPrizreni86-70
06/01/24ABashkimi64-78
28/12/23APeja61-79
24/12/23ASigal Prishtina93-97
17/12/23HIstogu82-67
09/12/23AGolden Eagle Ylli75-83
02/12/23HTrepca82-89
26/11/23APrizreni97-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Istogu
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL5%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %5%10%0%
Points / game67.868.866.7
Allowed / game96.496.096.9
Point differential-28.6-27.2-30.2
Avg total164.2164.8163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vellaznimi
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%67%20%
Points / game80.081.278.9
Allowed / game80.976.085.4
Point differential-0.9+5.2-6.5
Avg total160.9157.2164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trepca2018290%89.473.2+16.1
2 Peja2015575%89.479.2+10.2
3 Sigal Prishtina2013765%85.580.0+5.5
4 Golden Eagle Ylli1911858%80.774.2+6.6
5 Vellaznimi1981142%80.080.9-0.9
6 Bashkimi2071335%80.481.3-0.9
7 Prizreni1951426%81.691.2-9.5
8 Istogu191185%67.896.4-28.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Istogu717181557
Vellaznimi1911263490
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