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Italy U18 vs Lithuania U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-87 (OT)
20-19 15-20 24-20 20-20 10-8
Position#6
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#9
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeEuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - Semi-finals
Other2023
Meetings · Italy U18 v Lithuania U18
31 Jul 2024
ITAL85
LITH94
29 Jul 2023
ITAL89
LITH87
31 Jul 2022
ITAL61
LITH79
04 Aug 2017
ITAL67
LITH73
28 Jul 2015
ITAL77
LITH70
29 Jul 2014
ITAL64
LITH61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro U18
#16
W
76-41
76
41
+35
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#11
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#2
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A07/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#7
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A22/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#13
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-8
24-11
14-6
20-16
16-16
17-9
18-8
13-22
21-20
14-21
11-14
13-17
14-11
21-20
18-19
22-17
12-17
14-13
9-16
21-20
26-15
12-23
16-20
29-30
26-12
22-18
24-19
21-28
24-18
12-18
12-21
24-21
21-20
18-24
23-14
11-28
16-25
21-17
24-19
32-22
145.7Avg total
74.4Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.882.4165.2+0.440%
Season at home (1)93.077.0170.0+16.0100%
Season away (4)80.283.8164.0-3.525%
Last 10 (10)74.471.3145.7+3.150%
Last 5 (5)82.882.4165.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)64.376.1140.4-11.810%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.270.4144.6+3.962%
vs Weaker (12)76.265.3141.5+10.883%
This opponent (Lithuania U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia U18
#9
W
83-54
83
54
+29
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Czech Republic U18
#13
W
88-57
88
57
+31
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#4
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#2
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#10
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H07/08
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#8
L
98-101
98
101
-3
A22/07
EuroBasket U18
Sweden U18
#14
W
99-80
99
80
+19
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#4
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#5
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Czech Republic U18
#16
W
95-59
95
59
+36
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
20-17
24-13
17-7
27-16
24-13
21-13
16-15
17-22
10-10
21-13
13-19
22-18
8-24
16-21
14-17
23-19
27-19
21-17
18-9
24-16
19-28
24-33
31-24
23-15
28-17
25-26
23-22
15-20
14-24
16-19
24-29
23-17
14-20
14-16
21-23
29-15
21-25
20-14
25-5
154.1Avg total
81.4Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.681.6168.2+5.040%
Season at home (2)97.069.5166.5+27.5100%
Season away (3)79.789.7169.3-10.00%
Last 10 (10)81.472.7154.1+8.750%
Last 5 (5)86.681.6168.2+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.586.0150.5-21.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.977.5153.5-1.636%
vs Weaker (17)85.565.6151.1+19.888%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
Italy U18Lithuania U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro U18
#16
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#11
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#10
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#2
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A07/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A22/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#13
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
70.5Avg total
36.9Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.069.5+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.732.767.4+2.054%-
Last 30 away (17)36.235.071.2+1.235%-
Last 10 (10)36.933.670.5+3.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.077.6+1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.837.470.2-4.610%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.236.173.4+1.150%-
vs Weaker (12)36.729.866.4+6.967%-
This opponent (Lithuania U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia U18
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Czech Republic U18
#13
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#4
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A04/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A06/08
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H07/08
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A22/07
EuroBasket U18
Sweden U18
#14
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Czech Republic U18
#16
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
78.2Avg total
41.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.576.0+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.934.778.5+9.287%-
Last 30 away (15)37.136.373.4+0.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.278.2+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.481.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.543.072.5-13.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.137.174.2+0.036%-
vs Weaker (17)43.933.677.5+10.482%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Italy U18 wins
4
Lithuania U18 wins
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/23APoland U1893-83
26/07/23ASlovenia U1873-86
24/07/23ASpain U1872-78
23/07/23HDenmark U1893-77
22/07/23AGreece U1883-88
07/08/22AFrance U1856-66
06/08/22AIsrael U1875-67
04/08/22ASpain U1859-72
03/08/22HGreece U1864-55
01/08/22HMontenegro U1876-41
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/23HCzech Republic U1895-59
26/07/23ATurkey U1872-76
24/07/23AFrance U1869-92
23/07/23HSweden U1899-80
22/07/23AIsrael U1898-101
07/08/22HIsrael U1889-64
06/08/22AFrance U1860-80
04/08/22ATurkey U1861-64
03/08/22HCzech Republic U1888-57
01/08/22HCroatia U1883-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game82.893.080.2
Allowed / game82.477.083.8
Point differential+0.4+16.0-3.5
Avg total165.2170.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lithuania U18
EuroBasket U18 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game86.697.079.7
Allowed / game81.669.589.7
Point differential+5.0+27.5-10.0
Avg total168.2166.5169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia U18550100%94.863.8+31.0
2 France U18550100%87.260.6+26.6
3 Germany U18550100%82.065.8+16.2
4 Spain U18550100%80.265.2+15.0
5 Turkey U1864267%75.571.0+4.5
6 Israel U1864267%82.379.8+2.5
7 Slovenia U1863350%75.372.7+2.7
8 Greece U1863350%81.579.5+2.0
9 Lithuania U1852340%86.681.6+5.0
10 Italy U1852340%82.882.4+0.4
11 Croatia U1852340%70.273.6-3.4
12 Sweden U1851420%69.884.4-14.6
13 Finland U1861517%67.881.7-13.8
14 Poland U1861517%64.578.7-14.2
15 Denmark U1861517%72.792.5-19.8
16 Czech Republic U186060%58.886.2-27.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Italy U18201524201089
Lithuania U1819202020887
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