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Italy U18 vs Russia U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Aug 2015
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 67-82
12-19 17-17 14-26 24-20
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game63.6
vs
Position#9
Record2-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game67.1
EuropeEuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - Semi-finals
Other2015
Meetings · Italy U18 v Russia U18
01 Aug 2015
ITAL67
RUSS82
21 Jul 2011
ITAL89
RUSS48
24 Jul 2010
ITAL86
RUSS87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Russia U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece U18
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
W
80-57
80
57
+23
A02/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#2
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#9
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H25/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#1
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#11
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#15
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
22-19
20-19
15-27
21-10
20-10
17-16
22-21
18-17
16-15
14-21
17-15
11-14
13-16
12-12
12-7
15-4
13-21
24-13
11-16
19-13
10-16
19-22
24-17
11-24
11-8
11-20
19-11
20-19
18-20
22-11
17-20
11-23
19-22
16-9
13-18
21-20
25-14
16-22
25-13
132.6Avg total
67.1Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)65.463.6129.0+1.957%
Season at home (5)68.665.6134.2+3.060%
Season away (2)57.558.5116.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)67.165.5132.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)69.468.4137.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.064.0127.0-1.040%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.572.8146.3+0.760%
vs Weaker (15)75.865.7141.5+10.173%
This opponent (Russia U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Russia U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland U18
#15
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#6
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A02/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#4
L
52-77
52
77
-25
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#6
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H24/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#2
L
58-80
58
80
-22
H25/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#5
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#11
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#1
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
19-12
16-19
25-27
20-15
22-18
17-12
13-17
11-15
13-17
7-25
21-20
20-12
30-17
25-14
14-19
4-15
21-13
13-24
16-11
16-20
19-10
5-35
18-15
14-13
13-16
14-24
24-20
19-13
7-24
18-20
17-10
11-11
19-11
16-21
11-18
27-21
22-16
18-8
20-19
136.3Avg total
68.0Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)67.367.1134.4+0.129%
Season at home (4)66.070.0136.0-4.025%
Season away (3)69.063.3132.3+5.733%
Last 10 (10)68.068.3136.3-0.340%
Last 5 (5)65.669.0134.6-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)61.173.6134.7-12.421%
vs Similar ◀ (9)64.464.2128.7+0.256%
vs Weaker (7)76.162.1138.3+14.086%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
Italy U18Russia U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece U18
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H01/08
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#10
W
41-20
41
20
+21
A02/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#9
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A03/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#2
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#9
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#1
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#11
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#15
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
65.0Avg total
32.5Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.669.3+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.433.269.5+3.259%-
Last 30 away (13)34.834.168.9+0.846%-
Last 10 (10)32.532.565.0+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)33.035.868.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.032.663.6-1.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.435.672.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker (15)36.832.569.3+4.360%-
This opponent (Russia U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Russia U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland U18
#15
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A01/08
EuroBasket U18
Montenegro U18
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A02/08
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#4
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H03/08
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A23/07
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#6
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H24/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#2
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H25/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#5
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Bosnia & Herzegovina U18
#11
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#1
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
65.7Avg total
35.2Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.532.865.3-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.833.465.2-1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)33.132.265.4+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)35.230.565.7+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)33.431.064.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.132.964.0-1.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)30.133.663.7-3.433%-
vs Weaker (7)38.331.770.0+6.671%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Italy U18 wins
1
Russia U18 wins
DateGameScore
24/07/15Russia U18 v Italy U1854-63
21/07/11Italy U18 v Russia U1889-48
24/07/10Italy U18 v Russia U1886-87
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/15HUkraine U1887-69
29/07/15HBosnia & Herzegovina U1859-72
28/07/15HLithuania U1877-70
27/07/15AGreece U1852-63
25/07/15HFinland U1872-68
24/07/15ARussia U1863-54
23/07/15HTurkey U1848-49
03/08/14ASpain U1865-68
02/08/14ALithuania U1880-57
01/08/14HGreece U1868-85
Russia U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/15HFinland U1887-64
29/07/15AGreece U1857-61
28/07/15ABosnia & Herzegovina U1861-67
27/07/15HLithuania U1865-73
25/07/15HTurkey U1858-80
24/07/15HItaly U1854-63
23/07/15AFinland U1889-62
03/08/14HFrance U1852-77
02/08/14AMontenegro U1872-62
01/08/14APoland U1885-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2015
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%60%50%
Points / game65.468.657.5
Allowed / game63.665.658.5
Point differential+1.9+3.0-1.0
Avg total129.0134.2116.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Russia U18
EuroBasket U18 2015
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game67.366.069.0
Allowed / game67.170.063.3
Point differential+0.1-4.0+5.7
Avg total134.4136.0132.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turkey U1887188%73.565.8+7.8
2 France U1886275%72.559.5+13.0
3 Greece U1875271%65.056.1+8.9
4 Lithuania U1875271%71.166.6+4.6
5 Serbia U1885362%73.268.2+5.0
6 Latvia U1885362%73.171.4+1.8
7 Italy U1874357%65.463.6+1.9
8 Spain U1884450%69.068.9+0.1
9 Bosnia & Herzegovina U1884450%66.169.4-3.2
10 Croatia U1884450%72.175.4-3.2
11 Montenegro U1883538%66.064.4+1.6
12 Germany U1883538%68.967.9+1.0
13 Finland U1883538%70.978.5-7.6
14 Russia U1872529%67.367.1+0.1
15 Ukraine U1881712%69.278.6-9.4
16 Czech Republic U1881712%56.076.2-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U181217142467
Russia U181917262082
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