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Italy U20 vs Croatia U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 16:45
Final 72-88
20-32 12-14 15-25 25-17
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#10
Record1-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game75.3
EuropeEuroBasket U20
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U20 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia U20 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine U20
#12
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#2
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A14/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#10
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#8
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#11
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#10
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Poland U20
#14
W
77-61
77
61
+16
A21/07
EuroBasket U20
Portugal U20
#15
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#13
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#6
L
82-83 OT
82
83
-1
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
29-19
21-13
15-14
19-18
15-30
21-10
20-27
19-20
17-21
19-17
14-15
27-22
12-21
28-13
13-26
14-16
16-19
14-17
20-22
27-11
22-24
15-13
22-15
20-8
20-14
21-19
16-20
22-10
15-17
20-21
14-19
15-21
23-20
25-19
26-18
18-15
25-26
13-15
17-17
150.2Avg total
77.8Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.776.0156.7+4.767%
Season at home (2)85.580.5166.0+5.050%
Season away (1)71.067.0138.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.872.4150.2+5.450%
Last 5 (5)81.070.4151.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.182.0155.1-8.90%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.274.3148.6-0.150%
vs Weaker (10)75.863.5139.3+12.380%
This opponent (Croatia U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Croatia U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain U20
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#6
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H14/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Poland U20
#14
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#4
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A18/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#3
L
93-94
93
94
-1
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Great Britain U20
#15
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Belgium U20
#12
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
14-16
21-22
27-21
17-11
30-13
16-20
17-25
17-22
28-12
21-21
24-23
23-10
23-15
18-23
25-27
10-23
12-12
25-12
16-24
27-16
18-19
23-31
25-28
16-20
26-11
16-17
24-15
11-23
12-16
23-18
19-19
17-12
15-24
21-13
24-25
23-17
17-20
14-17
21-22
154.8Avg total
78.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.375.3147.7-3.033%
Season at home (2)70.076.0146.0-6.00%
Season away (1)77.074.0151.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.776.1154.8+2.650%
Last 5 (5)78.476.6155.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.080.8149.8-11.80%
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.373.0148.3+2.357%
vs Weaker (18)86.662.9149.5+23.694%
This opponent (Italy U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
Italy U20Croatia U20
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine U20
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#8
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#11
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#10
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Poland U20
#14
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A21/07
EuroBasket U20
Portugal U20
#15
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A16/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#13
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
75.9Avg total
39.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.436.373.7+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.636.173.7+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)37.236.573.7+0.744%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.475.9+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.433.274.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.942.678.5-6.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.237.474.6-0.258%-
vs Weaker (10)38.929.968.8+9.080%-
This opponent (Croatia U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Croatia U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain U20
#1
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#6
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H14/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#16
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Poland U20
#14
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#4
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A18/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Great Britain U20
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#2
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Belgium U20
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
70.5Avg total
36.7Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.832.472.2+7.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.832.373.1+8.575%-
Last 30 away (14)38.632.571.1+6.164%-
Last 10 (10)36.733.870.5+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.672.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.038.469.4-7.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.733.669.3+2.157%-
vs Weaker (18)43.830.374.1+13.589%-
This opponent (Italy U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Italy U20 wins
3
Croatia U20 wins
DateGameScore
19/07/18Croatia U20 v Italy U2079-68
07/07/15Croatia U20 v Italy U2050-53
10/07/14Croatia U20 v Italy U2080-67
14/07/10Croatia U20 v Italy U2077-63
Italy U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/07/22HIsrael U2082-83 OT
17/07/22HGreece U2089-78
16/07/22APortugal U2071-67
21/07/19APoland U2077-61
20/07/19HSerbia U2086-63
18/07/19HSlovenia U2064-74
17/07/19ATurkey U2080-82
15/07/19ASerbia U2069-73
14/07/19AIsrael U2075-85
13/07/19HUkraine U2085-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/07/22HBelgium U2075-76
17/07/22ASlovenia U2077-74
16/07/22HFrance U2065-76
21/07/19HGreat Britain U2082-63
20/07/19HLithuania U2093-94
18/07/19AFrance U2063-71
17/07/19HPoland U2089-75
15/07/19ALatvia U2090-78
14/07/19HGermany U2080-69
13/07/19ASpain U2073-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U20
EuroBasket U20 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game80.785.571.0
Allowed / game76.080.567.0
Point differential+4.7+5.0+4.0
Avg total156.7166.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%50%0%
Croatia U20
EuroBasket U20 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game72.370.077.0
Allowed / game75.376.074.0
Point differential-3.0-6.0+3.0
Avg total147.7146.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spain U20440100%83.863.5+20.2
2 Israel U2043175%78.874.2+4.5
3 Turkey U2043175%65.562.8+2.8
4 Belgium U2043175%76.074.2+1.8
5 France U2032167%75.068.0+7.0
6 Italy U2032167%80.776.0+4.7
7 Montenegro U2032167%71.775.0-3.3
8 Lithuania U2031233%80.770.7+10.0
9 Germany U2031233%71.070.3+0.7
10 Croatia U2031233%72.375.3-3.0
11 Portugal U2031233%71.082.7-11.7
12 Czech Republic U2031233%78.394.0-15.7
13 Greece U2041325%76.575.2+1.2
14 Poland U2041325%66.268.8-2.5
15 Slovenia U2041325%68.073.2-5.2
16 Ukraine U2041325%67.882.0-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U202012152572
Croatia U203214251788
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