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Poland U20 vs Italy U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jul 2019
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 61-77
8-20 14-20 19-21 20-16
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#9
Record2-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game72.5
EuropeEuroBasket U20EuroBasket U20 - 13th place
Other2019
Meetings · Poland U20 v Italy U20
21 Jul 2019
POLA61
ITAL77
20 Jul 2014
POLA79
ITAL75
15 Jul 2014
POLA52
ITAL61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland U20 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy U20 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Poland U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kosovo U20
#18
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H18/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Czech Republic U20
#6
W
91-70
91
70
+21
H20/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Latvia U20
#3
W
66-62 OT
66
62
+4
A21/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Slovenia U20
#2
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H22/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Lithuania U20
#3
L
71-101
71
101
-30
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#5
L
46-88
46
88
-42
H14/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#11
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Croatia U20
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#12
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A18/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#16
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
18-9
20-17
18-15
23-17
27-18
16-25
25-10
14-7
15-11
17-14
8-22
19-19
14-13
22-15
16-13
22-19
13-27
15-26
21-29
9-22
16-28
13-21
8-17
18-26
23-14
15-10
24-27
10-23
15-23
23-18
27-25
13-23
11-16
19-19
28-18
20-12
23-22
20-19
19-15
146.8Avg total
72.4Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.883.2154.0-12.333%
Season at home (2)64.078.0142.0-14.050%
Season away (4)74.285.8160.0-11.525%
Last 10 (10)72.474.4146.8-2.060%
Last 5 (5)70.879.6150.4-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)65.975.1141.0-9.147%
vs Similar (5)76.059.2135.2+16.8100%
vs Weaker (10)74.359.2133.5+15.180%
This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece U20
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Croatia U20
#3
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A19/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#6
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A21/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#11
L
60-85
60
85
-25
H22/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#12
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#2
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A14/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#10
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#8
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#11
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#10
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
20-17
13-17
22-20
13-23
28-18
17-15
10-23
20-22
20-21
17-19
23-29
9-24
19-18
13-23
19-20
20-12
29-19
21-13
15-14
19-18
15-30
21-10
20-27
19-20
17-21
19-17
14-15
27-22
12-21
28-13
13-26
14-16
16-19
14-17
20-22
27-11
22-24
15-13
22-15
150.3Avg total
74.3Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.572.5149.0+4.033%
Season at home (3)78.365.0143.3+13.367%
Season away (3)74.780.0154.7-5.30%
Last 10 (10)74.376.0150.3-1.730%
Last 5 (5)74.875.4150.2-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.882.1154.9-9.30%
vs Similar (11)72.873.4146.2-0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)74.465.2139.7+9.278%
This opponent (Poland U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
Poland U20Italy U20
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Poland U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kosovo U20
#18
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H18/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Czech Republic U20
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H20/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Latvia U20
#3
W
29-18
29
18
+11
A21/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Slovenia U20
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H22/07
EuroBasket U20 B
Lithuania U20
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#5
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H14/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Croatia U20
#7
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#12
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A18/07
EuroBasket U20
Latvia U20
#16
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
69.9Avg total
33.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.933.168.9+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.932.171.0+6.871%-
Last 30 away (13)31.934.366.2-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)33.836.169.9-2.360%-
Last 5 (5)31.641.873.4-10.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.336.568.8-4.133%-
vs Similar (5)41.229.871.0+11.4100%-
vs Weaker (10)38.529.668.1+8.970%-
This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece U20
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Croatia U20
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A19/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A21/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#11
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H22/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#8
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#11
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#10
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
77.9Avg total
38.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.873.5-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.334.772.0+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)36.238.774.9-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.277.9-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.478.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.041.477.4-5.422%-
vs Similar (11)36.238.274.4-2.045%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)37.932.170.0+5.867%-
This opponent (Poland U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Poland U20 wins
1
Italy U20 wins
DateGameScore
20/07/14Poland U20 v Italy U2079-75
15/07/14Poland U20 v Italy U2052-61
Poland U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/07/19HLatvia U2082-68
18/07/19AUkraine U2071-76
17/07/19ACroatia U2075-89
15/07/19ASlovenia U2080-77
14/07/19HGreece U2046-88
13/07/19ALithuania U2071-101
22/07/18HSlovenia U2071-60
21/07/18ALatvia U2066-62 OT
20/07/18HCzech Republic U2091-70
18/07/18HKosovo U2071-53
Italy U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/07/19HSerbia U2086-63
18/07/19HSlovenia U2064-74
17/07/19ATurkey U2080-82
15/07/19ASerbia U2069-73
14/07/19AIsrael U2075-85
13/07/19HUkraine U2085-58
22/07/18HSpain U2060-85
21/07/18ATurkey U2080-91
19/07/18ACroatia U2068-79
18/07/18HGreece U2076-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland U20
EuroBasket U20 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game70.864.074.2
Allowed / game83.278.085.8
Point differential-12.3-14.0-11.5
Avg total154.0142.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy U20
EuroBasket U20 2019
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game76.578.374.7
Allowed / game72.565.080.0
Point differential+4.0+13.3-5.3
Avg total149.0143.3154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spain U20660100%77.063.0+14.0
2 Israel U2065183%87.076.3+10.7
3 France U2065183%70.560.3+10.2
4 Lithuania U2075271%90.982.3+8.6
5 Greece U2064267%80.874.5+6.3
6 Croatia U2074357%81.476.4+5.0
7 Turkey U2074357%75.072.7+2.3
8 Germany U2063350%75.369.0+6.3
9 Ukraine U2063350%64.773.0-8.3
10 Serbia U2073443%72.372.7-0.4
11 Italy U2062433%76.572.5+4.0
12 Slovenia U2062433%74.577.7-3.2
13 Montenegro U2062433%66.272.0-5.8
14 Poland U2062433%70.883.2-12.3
15 Great Britain U2071614%66.779.1-12.4
16 Latvia U207070%64.986.6-21.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland U20814192061
Italy U202020211677
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