PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Italy vs Australia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 08:20
Final 83-86
25-25 20-19 17-21 21-21
Position#7
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game67.0
EuropeOlympic Games
Other2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H18/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
H19/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A21/02
EuroBasket
Tunisia
#32
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H18/06
Friendly International
Czech Republic
#16
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A19/06
Friendly International
Germany
#3
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A20/06
Friendly International
Puerto Rico
#24
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H01/07
Olympic Games
Dominican Republic
#14
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H03/07
Olympic Games
Serbia
#6
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A04/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
A25/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
16-20
22-21
29-20
21-20
23-34
22-28
28-12
30-20
22-21
13-26
13-20
21-9
24-12
13-11
24-24
22-22
27-13
20-11
14-25
18-22
28-20
12-29
21-20
18-24
19-20
27-14
26-25
22-14
20-16
24-8
13-21
28-22
29-23
23-18
22-32
22-32
21-14
25-26
24-10
169.1Avg total
87.8Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.879.8170.5+11.0100%
Season at home (2)84.571.0155.5+13.5100%
Season away (2)97.088.5185.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)87.881.3169.1+6.570%
Last 5 (5)88.482.0170.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.883.5158.2-8.825%
vs Similar (5)79.075.8154.8+3.260%
vs Weaker (21)85.373.0158.3+12.376%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#6
W
100-98
100
98
+2
A09/09
World Cup
Czech Republic
#20
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H11/09
World Cup
Spain
#1
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
A13/09
World Cup
France
#6
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A15/09
World Cup
New Zealand
#8
L
98-108
98
108
-10
H20/02
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#22
W
115-52
115
52
+63
H23/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#8
W
81-52
81
52
+29
A20/02
Asia Cup
Argentina
#37
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A11/07
Friendly International
Nigeria
#28
W
108-69
108
69
+39
H14/07
Friendly International
Nigeria
#22
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H25/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
23-22
25-29
29-23
17-17
16-13
30-18
19-22
21-22
16-10
18-19
16-20
16-11
14-10
16-21
13-25
31-27
15-25
27-30
25-26
18-12
33-16
36-13
28-11
23-12
10-11
22-20
26-9
20-21
22-26
20-12
25-25
26-13
23-16
35-17
24-23
23-23
20-17
15-12
26-15
166.4Avg total
90.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.067.0151.0+17.0100%
Season at home (1)84.067.0151.0+17.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.276.2166.4+14.070%
Last 5 (5)95.064.8159.8+30.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)97.587.0184.5+10.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)89.067.5156.5+21.582%
This opponent (Italy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
ItalyAustralia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Macedonia
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H18/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H19/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A21/02
EuroBasket
Tunisia
#32
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H18/06
Friendly International
Czech Republic
#16
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A19/06
Friendly International
Germany
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A20/06
Friendly International
Puerto Rico
#24
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H01/07
Olympic Games
Dominican Republic
#14
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/07
Olympic Games
Serbia
#6
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A04/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A25/07
Olympic Games
85.7Avg total
45.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.779.6+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.737.078.7+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)41.938.580.4+3.560%-
Last 10 (10)45.640.185.7+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.041.486.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.843.583.2-3.850%-
vs Similar (5)41.037.478.4+3.680%-
vs Weaker (21)42.436.779.1+5.757%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A09/09
World Cup
Czech Republic
#20
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H11/09
World Cup
Spain
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A13/09
World Cup
France
#6
W
30-21
30
21
+9
A15/09
World Cup
New Zealand
#8
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H20/02
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#22
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H23/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#8
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A20/02
Asia Cup
Argentina
#37
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A11/07
Friendly International
Nigeria
#28
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H14/07
Friendly International
Nigeria
#22
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/07
Olympic Games
75.8Avg total
41.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.433.075.4+9.483%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.132.675.8+10.593%-
Last 30 away (16)41.833.275.0+8.575%-
Last 10 (10)41.034.875.8+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.633.477.0+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)52.040.592.5+11.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.732.474.1+9.382%-
This opponent (Italy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Italy wins
0
Australia wins
No previous meetings.
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/07/21AGermany92-82
04/07/21ASerbia102-95
03/07/21HDominican Republic79-59
01/07/21HPuerto Rico90-83
20/06/21AGermany79-91
19/06/21ACzech Republic83-71
18/06/21HTunisia82-56
21/02/21ANorth Macedonia78-87
19/02/21HEstonia101-105 OT
18/02/21HNorth Macedonia92-84
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/07/21HNigeria84-67
14/07/21HNigeria108-69
11/07/21AArgentina87-84
20/02/21ANew Zealand81-52
23/02/20HHong Kong115-52
20/02/20HNew Zealand98-108
15/09/19AFrance59-67
13/09/19ASpain88-95 OT
11/09/19HCzech Republic82-70
09/09/19AFrance100-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy
Olympic Games 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.884.597.0
Allowed / game79.871.088.5
Point differential+11.0+13.5+8.5
Avg total170.5155.5185.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Australia
Olympic Games 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential+17.0+17.0-
Avg total151.0151.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slovenia550100%108.480.0+28.4
2 Australia110100%84.067.0+17.0
3 Italy440100%90.879.8+11.0
4 Spain110100%88.077.0+11.0
5 Germany65183%82.277.8+4.3
6 Czech Republic54180%86.883.4+3.4
7 Brazil43175%85.868.2+17.5
8 Lithuania43175%86.271.8+14.5
9 Serbia43175%93.584.5+9.0
10 Canada32167%102.391.0+11.3
11 Turkey32167%81.779.0+2.7
12 Greece42250%87.284.2+3.0
13 Dominican Republic31233%76.380.0-3.7
14 Venezuela31233%76.384.7-8.3
15 Mexico31233%74.082.7-8.7
16 Croatia31233%72.783.3-10.7
17 Poland31233%76.388.0-11.7
18 Russia2020%65.570.5-5.0
19 Uruguay2020%82.587.5-5.0
20 Iran1010%78.084.0-6.0
21 Japan1010%77.088.0-11.0
22 Nigeria2020%79.591.5-12.0
23 Puerto Rico2020%83.596.0-12.5
24 Tunisia2020%63.579.0-15.5
25 Philippines2020%71.588.5-17.0
26 Argentina1010%100.0118.0-18.0
27 South Korea2020%68.595.0-26.5
28 China2020%79.5107.0-27.5
29 Angola2020%66.0100.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy2520172183
Australia2519212186
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.