PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Italy vs Dominican Republic Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 79-59
22-14 20-16 24-8 13-21
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game83.0
Italy 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeOlympic GamesOlympic Games - Semi-finals
Other2020
Meetings · Italy v Dominican Republic
27 Aug 2023
ITAL82
DOMI87
03 Jul 2021
ITAL79
DOMI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dominican Republic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#18
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H04/09
World Cup
Spain
#1
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A06/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#13
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
A08/09
World Cup
Russia
#6
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H20/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Russia
#6
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A30/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H18/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
H19/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A21/02
EuroBasket
Puerto Rico
#24
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H01/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
19-22
15-20
20-22
18-18
13-12
17-20
12-17
13-24
13-22
24-18
33-19
26-24
15-9
21-18
21-13
18-18
23-29
18-14
28-20
15-15
21-16
14-13
20-22
25-23
16-20
22-21
29-20
21-20
23-34
22-28
28-12
30-20
22-21
13-26
13-20
18-24
19-20
27-14
26-25
165.0Avg total
83.2Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.083.0173.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)90.083.0173.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.281.8165.0+1.460%
Last 5 (5)86.285.0171.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.381.0154.3-7.733%
vs Similar (6)70.268.0138.2+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.073.1157.0+10.971%
This opponent (Dominican Republic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dominican RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#6
L
56-90
56
90
-34
H05/09
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H09/09
World Cup
Canada
#5
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A22/02
AmeriCup
Canada
#5
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
H25/02
AmeriCup
United States Virgin Islands
#14
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A29/11
AmeriCup
Cuba
#11
W
96-60
96
60
+36
A01/12
AmeriCup
United States Virgin Islands
#14
W
103-99 OT
103
99
+4
H19/02
AmeriCup
Serbia
#6
L
76-94
76
94
-18
H29/06
Olympic Games
Philippines
#26
W
94-67
94
67
+27
A01/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-18
13-25
19-25
16-22
19-24
19-16
14-17
24-25
14-19
10-19
15-14
16-22
22-17
18-18
18-30
14-24
22-16
17-17
11-19
25-23
24-17
25-14
27-27
13-17
23-16
18-13
23-26
32-5
22-27
26-14
28-22
18-31
23-31
24-16
19-20
10-27
23-22
16-19
26-10
29-16
161.9Avg total
80.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.080.5165.5+4.550%
Season at home (1)76.094.0170.0-18.00%
Season away (1)94.067.0161.0+27.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.581.4161.9-0.950%
Last 5 (5)91.679.0170.6+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.485.4157.8-13.020%
vs Similar (6)74.576.8151.3-2.350%
vs Weaker (14)86.769.9156.6+16.886%
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
ItalyDominican Republic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#18
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H04/09
World Cup
Spain
#1
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A06/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#13
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A08/09
World Cup
Russia
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Russia
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A30/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H18/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H19/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A21/02
EuroBasket
Puerto Rico
#24
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H01/07
Olympic Games
81.0Avg total
39.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.676.2+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.136.677.8+4.557%-
Last 30 away (16)38.336.574.8+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.981.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.684.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.744.081.7-6.333%-
vs Similar (6)36.333.069.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.936.577.4+4.352%-
This opponent (Dominican Republic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dominican RepublicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#6
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H05/09
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H09/09
World Cup
Canada
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A22/02
AmeriCup
Canada
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H25/02
AmeriCup
United States Virgin Islands
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A29/11
AmeriCup
Cuba
#11
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A01/12
AmeriCup
United States Virgin Islands
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H19/02
AmeriCup
Serbia
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H29/06
Olympic Games
Philippines
#26
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A01/07
Olympic Games
76.4Avg total
38.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.036.474.4+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.736.773.4+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)39.136.175.2+3.062%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.876.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.882.6+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.242.177.3-6.910%-
vs Similar (6)38.333.571.8+4.883%-
vs Weaker (14)39.933.673.4+6.379%-
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Italy wins
0
Dominican Republic wins
No previous meetings.
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/21HPuerto Rico90-83
21/02/21ANorth Macedonia78-87
19/02/21HEstonia101-105 OT
18/02/21HNorth Macedonia92-84
30/11/20ARussia70-66
23/02/20AEstonia87-81
20/02/20HRussia83-64
08/09/19APuerto Rico94-89 OT
06/09/19ASpain60-67
04/09/19HSerbia77-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/21APhilippines94-67
29/06/21HSerbia76-94
19/02/21HUnited States Virgin Islands103-99 OT
01/12/20ACuba96-60
29/11/20AUnited States Virgin Islands89-75
25/02/20HCanada88-84 OT
22/02/20ACanada72-89
09/09/19HLithuania55-74
07/09/19AAustralia76-82
05/09/19HFrance56-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy
Olympic Games 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game83.083.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total173.0173.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Dominican Republic
Olympic Games 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game85.076.094.0
Allowed / game80.594.067.0
Point differential+4.5-18.0+27.0
Avg total165.5170.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slovenia220100%115.072.5+42.5
2 Brazil330100%93.066.0+27.0
3 Lithuania220100%86.061.0+25.0
4 Canada220100%103.085.0+18.0
5 Turkey220100%91.078.0+13.0
6 Serbia220100%88.576.0+12.5
7 Italy110100%90.083.0+7.0
8 Germany220100%75.571.5+4.0
9 Greece21150%98.088.5+9.5
10 Dominican Republic21150%85.080.5+4.5
11 Venezuela21150%79.578.0+1.5
12 Czech Republic21150%75.083.0-8.0
13 Poland21150%80.088.0-8.0
14 Croatia21150%71.082.0-11.0
15 Mexico31233%74.082.7-8.7
16 Russia2020%65.570.5-5.0
17 Uruguay2020%82.587.5-5.0
18 Puerto Rico1010%83.090.0-7.0
19 Tunisia2020%63.579.0-15.5
20 Philippines2020%71.588.5-17.0
21 South Korea2020%68.595.0-26.5
22 China2020%79.5107.0-27.5
23 Angola2020%66.0100.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 23 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy2220241379
Dominican Republic141682159
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.