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Serbia vs Italy Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 95-102
22-28 23-29 18-23 32-22
Position#6
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Italy 🏆
Position#7
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game71.0
EuropeOlympic GamesOlympic Games - Final
Other2020
Meetings · Serbia v Italy
29 Nov 2026
SERB v ITAL
upcoming
01 Sep 2023
SERB76
ITAL78
11 Sep 2022
SERB86
ITAL94
04 Jul 2021
SERB95
ITAL102
23 Aug 2017
SERB73
ITAL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Serbia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#20
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H14/09
World Cup
Finland
#16
W
80-58
80
58
+22
A20/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#26
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H23/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A28/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H30/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#26
W
92-66
92
66
+26
A19/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H21/02
EuroBasket
Dominican Republic
#14
W
94-76
94
76
+18
A29/06
Olympic Games
Philippines
#26
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H30/06
Olympic Games
Puerto Rico
#24
W
102-84
102
84
+18
H03/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
21-30
28-12
21-19
19-10
18-14
23-13
20-21
28-18
20-23
19-24
23-29
25-28
19-21
28-24
18-19
17-7
18-18
20-20
20-21
13-10
24-21
28-20
27-15
21-21
18-20
19-28
30-12
31-23
16-24
20-19
27-10
22-16
23-18
22-28
16-14
28-26
23-14
28-28
23-16
165.8Avg total
88.4Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.078.7171.7+14.3100%
Season at home (2)92.580.0172.5+12.5100%
Season away (1)94.076.0170.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.477.4165.8+11.080%
Last 5 (5)91.876.6168.4+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.882.8160.5-5.025%
vs Weaker (26)87.372.3159.7+15.073%
This opponent (Italy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#1
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A06/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#13
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
A08/09
World Cup
Russia
#6
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H20/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Russia
#6
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A30/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H18/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
H19/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A21/02
EuroBasket
Puerto Rico
#24
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H01/07
Olympic Games
Dominican Republic
#14
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H03/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
13-12
17-20
12-17
13-24
13-22
24-18
33-19
26-24
15-9
21-18
21-13
18-18
23-29
18-14
28-20
15-15
21-16
14-13
20-22
25-23
16-20
22-21
29-20
21-20
23-34
22-28
28-12
30-20
22-21
13-26
13-20
18-24
19-20
27-14
26-25
22-14
20-16
24-8
13-21
161.9Avg total
83.4Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.571.0155.5+13.5100%
Season at home (2)84.571.0155.5+13.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.478.5161.9+4.970%
Last 5 (5)88.083.6171.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.381.0154.3-7.733%
vs Similar ◀ (6)70.268.0138.2+2.250%
vs Weaker (21)84.573.0157.6+11.571%
This opponent (Serbia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +3.4+3.4
SerbiaItaly
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#20
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H14/09
World Cup
Finland
#16
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A20/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#26
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H23/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A28/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H30/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#26
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A19/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H21/02
EuroBasket
Dominican Republic
#14
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A29/06
Olympic Games
Philippines
#26
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H30/06
Olympic Games
Puerto Rico
#24
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H03/07
Olympic Games
80.6Avg total
42.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.136.879.8+6.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.535.681.1+9.979%-
Last 30 away (16)40.937.878.8+3.156%-
Last 10 (10)42.438.280.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.682.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.241.083.2+1.275%-
vs Weaker (26)43.236.179.3+7.165%-
This opponent (Italy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#1
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A06/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#13
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A08/09
World Cup
Russia
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Russia
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A30/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H18/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H19/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A21/02
EuroBasket
Puerto Rico
#24
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H01/07
Olympic Games
Dominican Republic
#14
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/07
Olympic Games
79.0Avg total
39.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.476.3+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.836.378.1+5.564%-
Last 30 away (16)38.336.574.8+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.979.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.485.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.744.081.7-6.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.333.069.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker (21)41.336.377.6+5.057%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Serbia wins
0
Italy wins
DateGameScore
04/09/19Italy v Serbia77-92
23/08/17Serbia v Italy73-65
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/21HPuerto Rico102-84
30/06/21HPhilippines83-76
29/06/21ADominican Republic94-76
21/02/21HSwitzerland88-81
19/02/21AGeorgia92-66
30/11/20HFinland75-66
28/11/20ASwitzerland90-92
23/02/20HGeorgia90-94
20/02/20AFinland80-58
14/09/19HCzech Republic90-81
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/21HDominican Republic79-59
01/07/21HPuerto Rico90-83
21/02/21ANorth Macedonia78-87
19/02/21HEstonia101-105 OT
18/02/21HNorth Macedonia92-84
30/11/20ARussia70-66
23/02/20AEstonia87-81
20/02/20HRussia83-64
08/09/19APuerto Rico94-89 OT
06/09/19ASpain60-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Serbia
Olympic Games 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.092.594.0
Allowed / game78.780.076.0
Point differential+14.3+12.5+18.0
Avg total171.7172.5170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy
Olympic Games 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.584.5-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+13.5+13.5-
Avg total155.5155.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slovenia440100%106.075.0+31.0
2 Serbia330100%93.078.7+14.3
3 Italy220100%84.571.0+13.5
4 Germany440100%78.070.8+7.2
5 Brazil43175%85.868.2+17.5
6 Lithuania43175%86.271.8+14.5
7 Greece32167%92.380.0+12.3
8 Canada32167%102.391.0+11.3
9 Turkey32167%81.779.0+2.7
10 Czech Republic32167%84.389.0-4.7
11 Dominican Republic31233%76.380.0-3.7
12 Venezuela31233%76.384.7-8.3
13 Mexico31233%74.082.7-8.7
14 Croatia31233%72.783.3-10.7
15 Poland31233%76.388.0-11.7
16 Russia2020%65.570.5-5.0
17 Uruguay2020%82.587.5-5.0
18 Puerto Rico2020%83.596.0-12.5
19 Tunisia2020%63.579.0-15.5
20 Philippines2020%71.588.5-17.0
21 South Korea2020%68.595.0-26.5
22 China2020%79.5107.0-27.5
23 Angola2020%66.0100.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 23 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Serbia2223183295
Italy28292322102
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