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Italy vs Puerto Rico Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 73-57
25-15 14-21 12-11 22-10
Position#17
Record11-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game82.7
Italy 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record11-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2023
Meetings · Italy v Puerto Rico
03 Sep 2023
ITAL73
PUER57
01 Jul 2021
ITAL90
PUER83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Puerto Rico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#3
W
94-86
94
86
+8
A11/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
A14/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#7
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H11/11
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
85-84
85
84
+1
A14/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H23/02
World Cup
Spain
#7
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A26/02
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A25/08
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H27/08
World Cup
Philippines
#44
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A29/08
World Cup
Serbia
#13
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A01/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
25-23
21-17
28-18
20-27
11-11
31-18
15-21
18-22
15-14
16-19
21-15
24-19
19-21
17-18
25-26
23-21
20-22
15-14
27-18
13-16
20-13
19-15
20-24
23-17
20-23
18-17
20-10
19-13
20-25
17-31
26-18
20-23
28-16
25-21
17-23
23-19
17-23
19-20
19-14
164.3Avg total
83.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.082.7168.7+3.373%
Season at home (6)85.382.3167.7+3.067%
Season away (9)86.483.0169.4+3.478%
Last 10 (10)83.680.7164.3+2.970%
Last 5 (5)80.676.2156.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.281.9163.1-0.744%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.686.8175.5+1.862%
vs Weaker (8)85.970.5156.4+15.4100%
This opponent (Puerto Rico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Puerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentina
#2
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A04/09
AmeriCup
United States Virgin Islands
#14
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A06/09
AmeriCup
Colombia
#58
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H12/11
World Cup
Uruguay
#40
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H15/11
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A23/02
World Cup
Colombia
#58
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A27/02
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
A26/08
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
77-94
77
94
-17
H28/08
World Cup
China
#20
W
107-89
107
89
+18
A30/08
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
102-97
102
97
+5
A01/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
23-28
20-28
22-24
21-7
24-26
15-19
16-21
19-18
20-17
19-24
33-20
12-23
28-11
21-14
15-20
24-24
28-20
21-26
19-20
25-20
16-16
19-24
27-20
24-29
18-23
18-15
21-14
15-27
12-30
31-18
19-19
23-16
29-21
26-32
29-20
17-12
28-33
24-29
33-23
176.0Avg total
89.5Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.481.6166.9+3.879%
Season at home (6)80.876.7157.5+4.283%
Season away (8)88.885.2174.0+3.575%
Last 10 (10)89.586.5176.0+3.080%
Last 5 (5)94.891.2186.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.784.9162.7-7.247%
vs Similar ◀ (8)90.187.0177.1+3.175%
vs Weaker (7)76.371.4147.7+4.986%
This opponent (Italy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
ItalyPuerto Rico
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A14/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H11/11
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H23/02
World Cup
Spain
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A26/02
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A25/08
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/08
World Cup
Philippines
#44
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A29/08
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A01/09
World Cup
79.4Avg total
39.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.183.2+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.538.783.2+5.879%-
Last 30 away (16)41.941.383.2+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.679.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.678.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.240.781.9+0.644%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.241.183.2+1.162%-
vs Weaker (8)46.837.984.6+8.988%-
This opponent (Puerto Rico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Puerto RicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentina
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A04/09
AmeriCup
United States Virgin Islands
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A06/09
AmeriCup
Colombia
#58
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H12/11
World Cup
Uruguay
#40
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H15/11
World Cup
Brazil
#23
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A23/02
World Cup
Colombia
#58
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A27/02
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A26/08
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
27-57
27
57
-30
H28/08
World Cup
China
#20
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A30/08
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A01/09
World Cup
84.7Avg total
42.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.179.8-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.037.475.4+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)41.242.583.7-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.084.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.486.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.141.679.7-3.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.140.986.0+4.262%-
vs Weaker (7)37.036.173.1+0.957%-
This opponent (Italy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Italy wins
0
Puerto Rico wins
DateGameScore
01/07/21Italy v Puerto Rico90-83
08/09/19Puerto Rico v Italy89-94 OT
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/23ASerbia78-76
29/08/23APhilippines90-83
27/08/23HDominican Republic82-87
25/08/23AAngola81-67
26/02/23ASpain72-68
23/02/23HUkraine85-75
14/11/22AGeorgia85-84
11/11/22HSpain84-88 OT
14/09/22AFrance85-93 OT
11/09/22ASerbia94-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/23ADominican Republic102-97
30/08/23AChina107-89
28/08/23HSerbia77-94
26/08/23ASouth Sudan101-96 OT
27/02/23AColombia87-80
23/02/23ABrazil92-90
15/11/22HUruguay76-68
12/11/22HColombia91-79
06/09/22AUnited States Virgin Islands76-73
04/09/22AArgentina86-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy
World Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %73%67%78%
Points / game86.085.386.4
Allowed / game82.782.383.0
Point differential+3.3+3.0+3.4
Avg total168.7167.7169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %13%17%11%
Puerto Rico
World Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %79%83%75%
Points / game85.480.888.8
Allowed / game81.676.785.2
Point differential+3.8+4.2+3.5
Avg total166.9157.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %14%17%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
2 Latvia2018290%84.572.5+11.9
3 Canada1614288%97.668.9+28.6
4 Germany1614288%82.971.7+11.2
5 Australia1714382%86.063.4+22.6
6 South Sudan1714382%82.370.8+11.5
7 Spain1613381%83.868.3+15.5
8 Lithuania1613381%80.970.2+10.7
9 Puerto Rico1411379%85.481.6+3.8
10 France1713476%81.166.8+14.2
11 Dominican Republic1612475%83.274.6+8.6
12 Italy1511473%86.082.7+3.3
13 New Zealand1410471%91.675.2+16.4
14 Serbia1611569%85.176.9+8.2
15 Slovenia1611569%85.379.2+6.1
16 Montenegro1913668%77.672.2+5.4
17 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
18 Argentina128467%78.772.1+6.6
19 Lebanon1711665%86.679.4+7.3
20 Angola1711665%73.966.8+7.1
21 China1711665%78.774.4+4.3
22 Ivory Coast1711665%75.172.0+3.1
23 Finland1711665%82.581.4+1.2
24 Brazil149564%86.172.4+13.7
25 Greece149564%78.176.3+1.9
26 Mexico159660%83.182.5+0.5
27 Egypt1710759%76.169.2+6.8
28 Japan1710759%78.476.7+1.7
29 Senegal127558%72.566.0+6.5
30 Nigeria127558%69.564.5+5.0
31 Iceland2112957%80.880.7+0.1
32 Georgia179853%79.179.8-0.7
33 Sweden168850%81.175.8+5.4
34 Ukraine126650%80.277.2+3.0
35 Belgium126650%72.069.4+2.6
36 Tunisia126650%64.362.5+1.8
37 Jordan168850%78.377.0+1.3
38 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
39 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
40 Uruguay105550%71.974.2-2.3
41 Bosnia & Herzegovina126650%77.282.2-5.0
42 Hungary126650%72.679.5-6.9
43 Venezuela178947%76.472.5+3.8
44 Philippines157847%80.079.1+0.9
45 Cape Verde167944%72.474.8-2.3
46 Saudi Arabia125742%68.275.0-6.8
47 Kazakhstan125742%64.972.7-7.8
48 D.R. Congo125742%57.064.9-7.9
49 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
50 Turkey114736%77.575.1+2.4
51 Iran1761135%69.273.1-3.9
52 Israel124833%78.779.0-0.3
53 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
54 Cameroon124833%64.468.2-3.8
55 Estonia124833%72.581.4-8.9
56 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
57 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
58 Colombia103730%77.091.8-14.8
59 Guinea123925%66.070.6-4.6
60 Czech Republic123925%73.280.7-7.5
61 Panama123925%68.578.7-10.2
62 Bahamas123925%77.691.9-14.3
63 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
64 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
65 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
66 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
67 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
68 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
69 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
70 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
71 Uganda1221017%61.177.8-16.7
72 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
73 Bahrain1221017%63.483.7-20.2
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain101910%69.783.2-13.5
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands110110%71.081.5-10.5
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 India100100%61.189.5-28.4
81 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy2514122273
Puerto Rico1521111057
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