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Italy W vs Slovakia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-60
19-9 23-15 24-18 15-18
Position#8
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game47.7
Italy W 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game58.7
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 4
Women2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Slovakia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A15/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#29
W
101-55
101
55
+46
H04/02
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H06/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#1
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
A17/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#18
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H18/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#20
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H20/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#15
L
46-64
46
64
-18
H21/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A11/11
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#29
W
82-48
82
48
+34
H14/11
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#30
W
78-29
78
29
+49
H24/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
19-13
15-15
19-16
26-13
23-11
23-19
29-12
15-14
25-21
23-16
18-15
19-19
20-18
18-15
17-22
25-17
9-10
25-17
18-17
21-13
20-11
17-23
19-20
11-19
9-11
17-15
9-19
23-26
10-7
10-23
26-10
23-14
17-12
18-15
24-7
25-10
26-12
19-4
8-3
136.6Avg total
76.1Scored
60.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.347.7124.0+28.7100%
Season at home (2)80.038.5118.5+41.5100%
Season away (1)69.066.0135.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.160.5136.6+15.680%
Last 5 (5)70.454.8125.2+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.086.0167.0-5.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (12)75.360.1135.4+15.283%
This opponent (Slovakia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Slovakia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary W
#16
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A17/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#19
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H04/02
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#19
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A06/02
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#15
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A17/06
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#10
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H18/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#13
L
61-93
61
93
-32
A20/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#8
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H11/11
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#30
W
65-50
65
50
+15
A14/11
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#29
W
77-57
77
57
+20
A24/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
13-23
11-24
16-13
19-22
17-21
25-11
23-10
22-19
9-23
11-3
15-20
15-10
14-11
12-16
20-13
11-20
13-13
6-25
27-16
13-14
15-12
11-11
19-17
13-21
19-18
13-25
16-29
26-23
7-10
23-10
10-26
16-14
12-12
18-11
19-13
10-19
26-11
28-14
13-13
129.4Avg total
64.5Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.358.7128.0+10.767%
Season at home (1)66.069.0135.0-3.00%
Season away (2)71.053.5124.5+17.5100%
Last 10 (10)64.564.9129.4-0.450%
Last 5 (5)65.464.6130.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)59.771.3131.0-11.717%
vs Similar (2)72.557.0129.5+15.5100%
vs Weaker (2)71.053.5124.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Italy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
Italy WSlovakia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A15/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#29
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H04/02
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H06/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A17/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#18
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H18/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#20
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H20/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#15
L
20-30
20
30
-10
H21/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A11/11
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#29
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/11
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#30
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H24/11
European Championship Women
67.2Avg total
38.2Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)39.230.269.3+9.077%-
Last 30 at home (8)38.027.665.6+10.475%-
Last 30 away (5)41.034.275.2+6.880%-
Last 10 (10)38.229.067.2+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)37.027.064.0+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.037.076.0+2.0100%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.229.668.8+9.675%-
This opponent (Slovakia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Slovakia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary W
#16
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#19
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H04/02
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#19
W
29-21
29
21
+8
A06/02
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#15
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A17/06
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#10
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H18/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#13
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A20/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H11/11
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#30
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A14/11
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#29
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A24/11
European Championship Women
63.8Avg total
30.9Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)30.932.963.8-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (4)32.036.068.0-4.025%-
Last 30 away (6)30.230.861.0-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)30.932.963.8-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.430.862.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)30.034.864.8-4.817%-
vs Similar (2)32.532.064.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (2)32.028.060.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Italy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Italy W wins
0
Slovakia W wins
DateGameScore
11/11/21Slovakia W v Italy W66-69
Italy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/22HSwitzerland W78-29
14/11/21HLuxembourg W82-48
11/11/21ASlovakia W69-66
21/06/21HSweden W46-64
20/06/21HGreece W77-67
18/06/21HMontenegro W77-61
17/06/21ASerbia W81-86 OT
06/02/21HRomania W81-66
04/02/21HDenmark W101-55
15/11/20ACzech Republic W69-63
Slovakia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/22ALuxembourg W77-57
14/11/21ASwitzerland W65-50
11/11/21HItaly W66-69
20/06/21ASpain W61-93
18/06/21HBelarus W58-54
17/06/21ASweden W57-74
06/02/21ANetherlands W61-50
04/02/21HHungary W57-65
12/11/20HNetherlands W84-64
17/11/19AHungary W59-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy W
European Championship Women 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.380.069.0
Allowed / game47.738.566.0
Point differential+28.7+41.5+3.0
Avg total124.0118.5135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Slovakia W
European Championship Women 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game69.366.071.0
Allowed / game58.769.053.5
Point differential+10.7-3.0+17.5
Avg total128.0135.0124.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spain W440100%92.558.5+34.0
2 Turkey W440100%87.555.2+32.2
3 Italy W330100%76.347.7+28.7
4 Serbia W220100%81.558.5+23.0
5 Russia W220100%81.060.5+20.5
6 Greece W440100%73.862.2+11.5
7 Latvia W330100%76.766.3+10.3
8 Belarus W220100%74.566.0+8.5
9 Belgium W43175%94.260.8+33.5
10 France W43175%91.577.8+13.8
11 Lithuania W43175%67.865.0+2.8
12 Germany W32167%75.061.0+14.0
13 Slovakia W32167%69.358.7+10.7
14 Czech Republic W32167%67.062.0+5.0
15 Montenegro W32167%67.068.3-1.3
16 Poland W42250%93.249.8+43.5
17 Hungary W42250%85.560.2+25.2
18 Slovenia W42250%85.264.2+21.0
19 Portugal W42250%66.058.8+7.2
20 Netherlands W42250%69.867.5+2.2
21 Croatia W21150%75.078.5-3.5
22 Ukraine W42250%79.283.0-3.8
23 Bosnia & Herzegovina W42250%71.285.5-14.2
24 Israel W31233%68.069.7-1.7
25 Austria W31233%58.071.7-13.7
26 Denmark W41325%65.564.5+1.0
27 Great Britain W41325%69.071.5-2.5
28 Luxembourg W41325%60.065.0-5.0
29 Estonia W41325%57.073.2-16.2
30 Switzerland W41325%45.069.5-24.5
31 Romania W41325%53.883.2-29.5
32 Iceland W41325%59.889.5-29.8
33 Finland W4040%65.878.5-12.8
34 Sweden W2020%69.082.0-13.0
35 Ireland W3030%56.770.3-13.7
36 Bulgaria W2020%62.081.5-19.5
37 North Macedonia W3030%48.788.3-39.7
38 Albania W4040%35.2132.0-96.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 38 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy W1923241581
Slovakia W915181860
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