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Italy W vs Sweden W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Jun 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 46-64
11-19 9-11 17-15 9-19
Position#7
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game66.7
vs
Position#15
Record4-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game60.9
EuropeEuropean Championship Women
Women2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sweden W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#11
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H14/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#29
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A17/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
W
90-68
90
68
+22
A13/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A15/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#29
W
101-55
101
55
+46
H04/02
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H06/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#1
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
A17/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#18
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H18/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#20
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H20/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
10-17
12-11
11-18
24-18
23-20
17-13
18-21
27-15
24-16
12-17
27-20
16-19
19-13
15-15
19-16
26-13
23-11
23-19
29-12
15-14
25-21
23-16
18-15
19-19
20-18
18-15
17-22
25-17
9-10
25-17
18-17
21-13
20-11
17-23
19-20
145.6Avg total
78.9Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.966.7145.6+12.278%
Season at home (5)77.662.2139.8+15.480%
Season away (4)80.572.2152.8+8.275%
Last 10 (9)78.966.7145.6+12.278%
Last 5 (5)83.467.0150.4+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.086.0167.0-5.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (8)78.664.2142.9+14.488%
This opponent (Sweden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sweden WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel W
#32
W
77-40
77
40
+37
A14/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#18
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H17/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#7
L
54-75
54
75
-21
A06/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#5
L
50-80
50
80
-30
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#6
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Israel W
#32
W
90-51
90
51
+39
H14/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#18
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A04/02
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#21
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H17/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#13
L
55-76
55
76
-21
A18/06
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#10
L
54-78
54
78
-24
H20/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-6
15-12
19-15
20-7
23-13
20-11
10-13
15-18
12-10
8-15
18-28
16-22
14-17
17-20
10-22
9-21
14-14
9-7
10-21
20-19
22-13
30-12
18-8
20-18
22-16
8-16
19-18
18-19
20-11
13-13
25-6
16-27
9-21
8-26
18-11
20-18
18-25
11-15
13-17
12-21
128.4Avg total
64.2Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.360.9130.1+8.457%
Season at home (4)71.560.2131.8+11.275%
Season away (3)66.361.7128.0+4.733%
Last 10 (10)64.264.2128.4+0.040%
Last 5 (5)68.066.2134.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)53.073.0126.0-20.00%
vs Similar (1)54.078.0132.0-24.00%
vs Weaker (5)75.254.4129.6+20.880%
This opponent (Italy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
Italy WSweden W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#11
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H14/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#29
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A17/11
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A13/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A15/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#29
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H04/02
European Championship Women
Romania W
#28
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H06/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A17/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#18
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H18/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#20
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H20/06
European Championship Women
71.8Avg total
40.6Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)40.631.271.8+9.389%-
Last 30 at home (5)38.628.667.2+10.080%-
Last 30 away (4)43.034.577.5+8.5100%-
Last 10 (9)40.631.271.8+9.389%-
Last 5 (5)40.629.470.0+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.037.076.0+2.0100%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.830.571.2+10.288%-
This opponent (Sweden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sweden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel W
#32
W
38-18
38
18
+20
A14/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#18
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H17/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#7
L
20-25
20
25
-5
A06/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#5
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#6
W
23-21
23
21
+2
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Israel W
#32
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H14/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#18
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A04/02
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#21
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H17/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#13
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A18/06
European Championship Women
Belarus W
#10
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H20/06
European Championship Women
60.9Avg total
31.6Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)31.629.360.9+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (6)35.228.563.7+6.767%-
Last 30 away (4)26.230.556.8-4.225%-
Last 10 (10)31.629.360.9+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.233.665.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)22.832.555.2-9.825%-
vs Similar (1)29.040.069.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker (5)39.224.663.8+14.680%-
This opponent (Italy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Italy W wins
0
Sweden W wins
No previous meetings.
Italy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/06/21HGreece W77-67
18/06/21HMontenegro W77-61
17/06/21ASerbia W81-86 OT
06/02/21HRomania W81-66
04/02/21HDenmark W101-55
15/11/20ACzech Republic W69-63
13/11/20ARomania W90-68
17/11/19ADenmark W82-72
14/11/19HCzech Republic W52-62
Sweden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/06/21HBelarus W54-78
18/06/21ASpain W55-76
17/06/21HSlovakia W74-57
04/02/21AMontenegro W67-69
14/11/20HIsrael W90-51
09/02/20HBelgium W53-61
08/02/20HCanada W50-80
06/02/20AJapan W54-75
17/11/19HMontenegro W68-55
14/11/19AIsrael W77-40

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy W
European Championship Women 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game78.977.680.5
Allowed / game66.762.272.2
Point differential+12.2+15.4+8.2
Avg total145.6139.8152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Sweden W
European Championship Women 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game69.371.566.3
Allowed / game60.960.261.7
Point differential+8.4+11.2+4.7
Avg total130.1131.8128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W330100%87.057.7+29.3
2 Serbia W880100%89.663.1+26.5
3 Belgium W98189%75.059.9+15.1
4 Slovenia W98189%77.866.8+11.0
5 Russia W97278%80.260.4+19.8
6 Italy W97278%78.966.7+12.2
7 Bosnia & Herzegovina W97278%74.463.3+11.1
8 Belarus W75271%68.356.6+11.7
9 Spain W32167%73.356.3+17.0
10 Ukraine W64267%77.571.5+6.0
11 Croatia W85362%76.874.5+2.2
12 Latvia W53260%78.264.2+14.0
13 Sweden W74357%69.360.9+8.4
14 Montenegro W74357%68.767.4+1.3
15 Czech Republic W95456%69.965.2+4.7
16 Germany W63350%76.869.5+7.3
17 Hungary W42250%64.262.5+1.8
18 Great Britain W42250%67.067.2-0.2
19 Netherlands W42250%62.066.0-4.0
20 Greece W94544%70.868.0+2.8
21 Slovakia W73443%62.467.6-5.1
22 Bulgaria W62433%68.268.5-0.3
23 Switzerland W62433%58.078.5-20.5
24 Turkey W72529%62.163.9-1.7
25 Poland W41325%57.272.0-14.8
26 Lithuania W51420%69.272.4-3.2
27 Portugal W61517%61.067.5-6.5
28 Romania W61517%64.879.5-14.7
29 Denmark W61517%66.782.5-15.8
30 Finland W61517%60.779.2-18.5
31 Estonia W6060%55.080.2-25.2
32 Israel W4040%52.279.5-27.2
33 Iceland W6060%58.588.7-30.2
34 North Macedonia W4040%50.089.2-39.2
35 Albania W2020%38.5123.5-85.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 35 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy W11917946
Sweden W1911151964
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