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James Madison vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-66
37-24 44-42
Position#6
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game80.5
James Madison 🏆
USA
vs
Buffalo
USA
Position#362
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game84.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

James Madison winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

James MadisonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#38
L
83-92
83
92
-9
H23/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H25/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H04/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H05/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
A07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
113-108 OT
113
108
+5
A10/11
NCAA
Howard
#204
W
107-86
107
86
+21
H12/11
NCAA
Radford
#220
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H18/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A21/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
95-64
95
64
+31
A23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
51-52
32-40
34-40
56-29
40-35
35-37
31-38
35-37
37-33
31-35
43-38
46-51
59-40
48-46
35-39
41-34
40-39
42-37
51-23
44-41
165.7Avg total
86.6Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.080.5172.5+11.5100%
Season at home (2)91.579.5171.0+12.0100%
Season away (4)92.281.0173.2+11.2100%
Last 10 (10)86.679.1165.7+7.580%
Last 5 (5)94.681.4176.0+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)75.080.3155.3-5.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)79.470.6150.0+8.974%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#18
L
71-101
71
101
-30
A25/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A01/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
77-101
77
101
-24
A09/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H07/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H11/11
NCAA
Roberts Wesleyan
#380
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H16/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
68-102
68
102
-34
H21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A21/11
NCAA
Iona
#218
L
64-89
64
89
-25
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-56
35-45
42-26
43-49
29-38
39-25
31-45
46-56
44-54
42-38
29-33
27-37
51-42
38-41
26-59
42-43
21-33
39-35
24-47
40-42
156.8Avg total
72.4Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.584.0154.5-13.517%
Season at home (4)74.886.8161.5-12.025%
Season away (2)62.078.5140.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)72.484.4156.8-12.030%
Last 5 (5)67.482.4149.8-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.483.8154.2-13.312%
vs Similar (8)79.474.0153.4+5.462%
vs Weaker (4)82.073.8155.8+8.275%
This opponent (James Madison) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -10.0-10.02nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -2.0-2.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -10.0-10.02nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -2.0-2.0
James MadisonBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
James MadisonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#38
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H23/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H04/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H05/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A10/11
NCAA
Howard
#204
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H12/11
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H18/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A21/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
51-23
51
23
+28
A23/11
NCAA
79.8Avg total
42.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.833.670.4+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.533.773.2+5.747%-
Last 30 away (15)34.133.567.6+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.779.8+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.635.881.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)42.341.383.7+1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)36.232.768.9+3.452%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#18
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A25/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A01/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H04/03
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A09/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H07/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H11/11
NCAA
Roberts Wesleyan
#380
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
26-59
26
59
-33
H21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A21/11
NCAA
Iona
#218
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A22/11
NCAA
76.6Avg total
33.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.374.7-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.837.577.2+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)32.739.171.9-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)33.343.376.6-10.020%-
Last 5 (5)30.242.873.0-12.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.542.074.5-9.519%-
vs Similar (8)38.534.472.9+4.150%-
vs Weaker (4)37.232.269.5+5.050%-
This opponent (James Madison) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
James Madison wins
0
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
12/11/22Buffalo v James Madison62-97
James Madisonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23AFresno State95-64
21/11/23ASouthern Illinois82-76
18/11/23HRadford76-73
12/11/23HHoward107-86
10/11/23AKent State113-108 OT
07/11/23AMichigan State79-76 OT
05/03/23HSouth Alabama66-75
04/03/23HTroy75-72
25/02/23HGeorgia State90-69
23/02/23HMarshall83-92
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23AIona64-89
21/11/23ALouisiana Lafayette60-68
21/11/23HHofstra68-102
16/11/23HRoberts Wesleyan89-83
11/11/23HSouth Alabama56-70
07/11/23HFairleigh Dickinson86-92
09/03/23AAkron77-101
04/03/23HMiami (FL)68-63
01/03/23ANorthern Illinois85-75
25/02/23AToledo71-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

James Madison
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.091.592.2
Allowed / game80.579.581.0
Point differential+11.5+12.0+11.2
Avg total172.5171.0173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Buffalo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game70.574.862.0
Allowed / game84.086.878.5
Point differential-13.5-12.0-16.5
Avg total154.5161.5140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison660100%92.080.5+11.5
2 Louisiana Lafayette75271%82.970.3+12.6
3 Appalachian State75271%77.064.7+12.3
4 Georgia State63350%77.776.8+0.8
5 South Alabama84450%73.077.8-4.8
6 Louisiana Monroe63350%67.072.5-5.5
7 Troy73443%85.070.6+14.4
8 Southern Miss73443%67.164.1+3.0
9 Texas State73443%65.070.0-5.0
10 Old Dominion52340%68.070.6-2.6
11 Marshall62433%74.081.2-7.2
12 Arkansas State72529%75.480.6-5.1
13 Coastal Carolina51420%75.082.2-7.2
14 Georgia Southern7070%68.185.1-17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass43175%89.572.5+17.0
2 Ball State75271%78.165.0+13.1
3 Northern Illinois75271%84.678.6+6.0
4 Ohio64267%82.274.7+7.5
5 Miami (Ohio)53260%71.864.0+7.8
6 Akron74357%76.467.4+9.0
7 Kent State74357%82.173.4+8.7
8 Bowling Green74357%72.069.7+2.3
9 Eastern Michigan74357%67.375.9-8.6
10 Toledo63350%81.376.7+4.7
11 Western Michigan62433%66.871.0-4.2
12 Central Michigan62433%64.874.5-9.7
13 Buffalo61517%70.584.0-13.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
James Madison374481
Buffalo244266
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