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Fresno State vs James Madison Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 64-95
23-51 41-44
Position#304
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#6
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game83.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
James Madison winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A22/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H25/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A01/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
108-69
108
69
+39
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A12/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H16/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-27
33-33
28-29
46-40
30-34
26-26
42-50
38-44
51-38
57-31
29-36
36-31
33-24
44-42
22-31
47-48
43-26
44-42
28-32
41-37
146.2Avg total
75.4Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.572.2150.8+6.275%
Season at home (2)82.067.0149.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)75.077.5152.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)75.470.8146.2+4.650%
Last 5 (5)75.871.2147.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)65.269.2134.4-3.933%
vs Similar (17)66.865.8132.6+1.047%
vs Weaker (1)77.066.0143.0+11.0100%
This opponent (James Madison) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H19/02
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
83-92
83
92
-9
H23/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H25/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H04/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H05/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
A07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
113-108 OT
113
108
+5
A10/11
NCAA
Howard
#204
W
107-86
107
86
+21
H12/11
NCAA
Radford
#220
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H18/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
45-39
51-52
32-40
34-40
56-29
40-35
35-37
31-38
35-37
37-33
31-35
43-38
46-51
59-40
48-46
35-39
41-34
40-39
42-37
164.0Avg total
84.5Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.483.8175.2+7.6100%
Season at home (2)91.579.5171.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)91.386.7178.0+4.7100%
Last 10 (10)84.579.5164.0+5.080%
Last 5 (5)91.483.8175.2+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)75.080.3155.3-5.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)79.571.2150.7+8.374%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +2.6+2.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +2.6+2.6
Fresno StateJames Madison
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H25/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H16/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A22/11
NCAA
65.7Avg total
33.0Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.932.163.0-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.328.460.6+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)29.835.465.1-5.612%-
Last 10 (10)33.032.765.7+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)31.029.860.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.234.266.5-2.042%-
vs Similar (17)29.931.160.9-1.229%-
vs Weaker (1)33.024.057.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (James Madison) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H19/02
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H23/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H04/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H05/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A10/11
NCAA
Howard
#204
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H12/11
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H18/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A21/11
NCAA
78.2Avg total
39.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.734.070.7+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.033.873.8+6.250%-
Last 30 away (14)32.934.267.1-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.378.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.880.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)42.341.383.7+1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)36.133.169.2+2.952%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
0
James Madison wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23ANew Mexico State81-76 OT
16/11/23HMorgan State87-68
12/11/23AKent State69-79
07/11/23HFresno Pacific77-66
08/03/23AColorado State65-67
05/03/23HChicago State108-69
01/03/23ANew Mexico80-94
25/02/23HNevada56-60
22/02/23AAir Force74-69
18/02/23HColorado State57-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23ASouthern Illinois82-76
18/11/23HRadford76-73
12/11/23HHoward107-86
10/11/23AKent State113-108 OT
07/11/23AMichigan State79-76 OT
05/03/23HSouth Alabama66-75
04/03/23HTroy75-72
25/02/23HGeorgia State90-69
23/02/23HMarshall83-92
19/02/23HLouisiana Lafayette74-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game78.582.075.0
Allowed / game72.267.077.5
Point differential+6.2+15.0-2.5
Avg total150.8149.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
James Madison
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.491.591.3
Allowed / game83.879.586.7
Point differential+7.6+12.0+4.7
Avg total175.2171.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %40%0%67%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nevada440100%89.065.2+23.8
2 Colorado State550100%87.869.8+18.0
3 Utah State65183%81.262.5+18.7
4 Wyoming54180%79.666.4+13.2
5 San Diego State54180%83.071.6+11.4
6 Grand Canyon43175%80.267.2+13.0
7 New Mexico43175%81.072.8+8.2
8 Fresno State43175%78.572.2+6.2
9 Air Force75271%67.461.9+5.6
10 San Jose State64267%75.062.3+12.7
11 Boise State32167%73.366.0+7.3
12 UNLV52340%72.874.6-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison550100%91.483.8+7.6
2 Louisiana Lafayette64267%83.773.0+10.7
3 Appalachian State53260%77.866.8+11.0
4 Georgia State53260%81.879.2+2.6
5 South Alabama74357%75.679.1-3.6
6 Louisiana Monroe42250%67.873.8-6.0
7 Troy52340%87.870.0+17.8
8 Marshall52340%72.473.8-1.4
9 Southern Miss62433%63.360.8+2.5
10 Texas State62433%63.770.7-7.0
11 Old Dominion41325%68.073.0-5.0
12 Coastal Carolina41325%79.285.2-6.0
13 Arkansas State41325%81.290.0-8.8
14 Georgia Southern6060%70.385.0-14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State234164
James Madison514495
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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