PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Northern Illinois vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 75-85
26-42 49-43
Position#271
Record12-17
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Buffalo 🏆
USA
Position#231
Record13-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game77.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Northern Illinois v Buffalo
31 Dec 2025
NORT67
BUFF81
11 Feb 2025
NORT67
BUFF73
13 Feb 2024
NORT72
BUFF68
28 Feb 2023
NORT75
BUFF85
24 Feb 2022
NORT68
BUFF79
23 Feb 2021
NORT74
BUFF102
23 Jan 2021
NORT v BUFF
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#17
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
69-87
69
87
-18
H28/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
73-59
73
59
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H08/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H11/02
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
65-66 OT
65
66
-1
H18/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A22/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-40
49-36
33-49
36-38
36-24
37-35
44-37
42-41
39-46
37-36
35-27
46-26
33-43
44-44
32-22
26-36
37-37
31-40
47-29
37-51
151.0Avg total
76.5Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.075.0146.9-3.041%
Season at home (11)75.075.4150.4-0.436%
Season away (18)70.174.7144.8-4.644%
Last 10 (10)76.574.5151.0+2.050%
Last 5 (5)75.072.6147.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.377.0143.3-10.727%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.671.9142.5-1.250%
vs Weaker (6)84.769.7154.3+15.083%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#103
W
91-65
91
65
+26
A25/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
64-81
64
81
-17
H01/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A04/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
102-97
102
97
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H10/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A15/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
66-86
66
86
-20
A19/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
63-35
63
35
+28
H22/02
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
71-101
71
101
-30
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-27
46-38
31-42
37-32
25-42
39-39
39-27
46-49
44-48
58-49
35-29
30-43
22-34
39-51
34-46
32-40
36-14
27-21
36-56
35-45
150.8Avg total
73.6Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.677.4155.1+0.245%
Season at home (15)81.973.0154.9+8.967%
Season away (14)73.182.2155.3-9.121%
Last 10 (10)73.677.2150.8-3.640%
Last 5 (5)65.275.8141.0-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.683.3154.9-11.721%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.272.1150.3+6.155%
vs Weaker (4)82.073.8155.8+8.275%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -1.8-1.8
Northern IllinoisBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#17
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H28/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A04/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H11/02
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H18/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A25/02
NCAA
72.7Avg total
37.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.335.569.9-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.835.869.5-2.050%-
Last 30 away (18)34.735.470.1-0.739%-
Last 10 (10)37.335.472.7+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.831.668.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.137.268.3-6.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.534.967.4-2.450%-
vs Weaker (6)44.332.076.3+12.383%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#103
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A25/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A28/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H01/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A04/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/02
NCAA
Kent State
#17
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H10/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A19/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
36-14
36
14
+22
H22/02
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A25/02
NCAA
71.2Avg total
34.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.872.6+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.734.273.9+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)33.837.571.3-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)34.736.571.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)32.635.868.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.939.973.9-6.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.532.569.9+5.064%-
vs Weaker (4)37.232.269.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Northern Illinois wins
4
Buffalo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23ACentral Michigan84-80
22/02/23AOhio68-77
18/02/23HMiami (FL)65-66 OT
15/02/23ABall State77-87
11/02/23HWestern Michigan81-53
08/02/23HOhio76-82
04/02/23ABowling Green86-78
01/02/23AWestern Michigan73-59
28/01/23HBall State69-87
25/01/23HKent State86-76
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23AToledo71-101
22/02/23HCentral Michigan63-35
19/02/23AAkron66-86
15/02/23AOhio61-85
10/02/23HKent State65-72
08/02/23HEastern Michigan102-97
04/02/23AWestern Michigan85-76
01/02/23HAkron64-81
28/01/23AKent State68-74
25/01/23ABall State91-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW41%
HomeWLLWL36%
AwayWWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291118
Win %41%36%44%
Points / game72.075.070.1
Allowed / game75.075.474.7
Point differential-3.0-0.4-4.6
Avg total146.9150.4144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%36%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %3%9%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeLLWLW67%
AwayLWLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%67%21%
Points / game77.681.973.1
Allowed / game77.473.082.2
Point differential+0.2+8.9-9.1
Avg total155.1154.9155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%47%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State3024680%75.664.7+10.9
2 Toledo3024680%85.775.9+9.8
3 Akron3022873%74.164.8+9.3
4 Ball State30201067%76.570.5+6.0
5 Ohio30171357%78.273.4+4.7
6 UMass28141450%70.571.2-0.7
7 Buffalo29131645%77.677.4+0.2
8 Northern Illinois29121741%72.075.0-3.0
9 Bowling Green30111937%76.678.1-1.5
10 Central Michigan30102033%65.872.7-7.0
11 Eastern Michigan3082227%72.480.7-8.2
12 Western Michigan3072323%69.574.3-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois264975
Buffalo424385
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.