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Japan W vs Philippines W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 96-59
35-14 15-12 16-13 30-20
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game38.0
Japan W 🏆
vs
Philippines W
Position#5
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game61.0
EuropeAsian Games Women
Women2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Japan W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Philippines W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Japan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canada W
#6
L
56-70
56
70
-14
no box
H25/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
53-67
53
67
-14
no box
A26/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
54-71
54
71
-17
no box
A27/09
World Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
94-53
94
53
+41
98avg 85
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
95-57
95
57
+38
99avg 85
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
91-66
91
66
+25
87avg 85
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
88-52
88
52
+36
83avg 85
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
71-73
71
73
-2
58avg 85
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
118-46
118
46
+72
no box
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
92-30
92
30
+62
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
13-21
14-20
17-9
5-16
21-13
18-19
9-19
18-16
16-20
9-20
11-15
21-14
19-17
26-12
28-10
28-14
21-17
17-17
29-9
15-21
29-11
26-19
21-15
24-11
23-14
19-13
22-14
17-17
18-9
16-22
20-25
32-12
39-16
29-8
18-10
25-12
26-9
25-3
16-6
139.7Avg total
81.2Scored
58.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)105.038.0143.0+67.0100%
Season at home (1)118.046.0164.0+72.0100%
Season away (1)92.030.0122.0+62.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.258.5139.7+22.760%
Last 5 (5)92.053.4145.4+38.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.377.9152.2-3.645%
vs Similar (2)58.568.0126.5-9.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.859.5146.4+27.388%
This opponent (Philippines W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Philippines WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Vietnam W
#4
W
116-58
116
58
+58
113avg 68
A13/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Thailand W
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
75avg 68
H14/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Malaysia W
#3
W
77-63
77
63
+14
67avg 68
A15/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
34-105
34
105
-71
5avg 68
A26/06
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#2
L
57-95
57
95
-38
41avg 68
H27/06
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
92-81
92
81
+11
88avg 68
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
L
78-83
78
83
-5
63avg 68
A30/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
L
71-80
71
80
-9
57avg 68
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
83-59
83
59
+24
no box
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
99-63
99
63
+36
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-25
33-9
27-10
21-14
19-13
27-25
18-15
18-17
21-10
27-19
12-19
17-15
7-30
16-26
5-22
6-27
14-28
17-21
17-17
9-29
29-20
22-18
21-24
20-19
15-21
26-24
28-23
9-15
19-18
15-26
21-22
16-14
17-17
23-9
20-15
23-18
19-20
23-14
23-12
34-17
154.6Avg total
78.9Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.061.0152.0+30.0100%
Season at home (1)83.059.0142.0+24.0100%
Season away (1)99.063.0162.0+36.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.975.7154.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)84.673.2157.8+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)57.1102.1159.2-45.00%
vs Similar (3)78.080.0158.0-2.067%
vs Weaker (17)94.168.0162.1+26.194%
This opponent (Japan W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +7.8+7.8Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +7.8+7.8Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
Japan WPhilippines W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Japan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada W
#6
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H25/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A26/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A27/09
World Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
71-28
71
28
+43
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A29/09
Asian Games Women
72.2Avg total
42.2Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.333.873.1+5.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.632.872.4+6.856%-
Last 30 away (14)38.935.073.9+3.950%-
Last 10 (10)42.230.072.2+12.270%-
Last 5 (5)49.626.476.0+23.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.339.874.1-5.59%-
vs Similar (2)30.033.563.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.630.073.6+13.688%-
This opponent (Philippines W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Philippines WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vietnam W
#4
W
68-34
68
34
+34
A13/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Thailand W
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H14/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Malaysia W
#3
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A15/05
Southeast Asian Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
23-56
23
56
-33
A26/06
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H27/06
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A30/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/09
Asian Games Women
81.7Avg total
42.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.082.4+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.439.277.6-0.858%-
Last 30 away (18)43.442.285.6+1.256%-
Last 10 (10)42.439.381.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.479.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.351.983.2-20.60%-
vs Similar (3)40.737.378.0+3.367%-
vs Weaker (17)47.535.282.6+12.388%-
This opponent (Japan W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Japan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan W: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 10% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.2
52.3%
-36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.813.8
40.8%
-41.4
🏀 Free throws10.28.8
86.3%
-8.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Philippines Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philippines W: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.1 pts a game · 11% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.520.4
43.9%
-40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.0
33.6%
-27.0
🏀 Free throws12.48.1
65.3%
-8.1
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Japan W
WWLWWWWLLL
Philippines W
WWLLWLLWWW
#2
League position
#5
+36.5
Net rating
-2.6
120.8
Offensive rating
97.2
84.2
Defensive rating
99.8
56.7%
Effective FG%
46.2%
44.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
13.9%
Turnover %
18.6%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.15
Free-throw rate
0.17
40.8%
3-point %
33.6%
69.4%
Assist %
47.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Japan W   ■ Philippines W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Japan W wins
0
Philippines W wins
DateGameScore
27/06/23Philippines W v Japan W57-95
23/07/17Philippines W v Japan W55-106
Japan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/23AKazakhstan W92-30
27/09/23HHong Kong W118-46
02/07/23AChina W71-73
01/07/23HNew Zealand W88-52
28/06/23AAustralia W91-66
27/06/23APhilippines W95-57
26/06/23HChinese Taipei W94-53
27/09/22AAustralia W54-71
26/09/22AFrance W53-67
25/09/22HCanada W56-70
Philippines Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/23AHong Kong W99-63
27/09/23HKazakhstan W83-59
01/07/23HSouth Korea W71-80
30/06/23ANew Zealand W78-83
28/06/23AChinese Taipei W92-81
27/06/23HJapan W57-95
26/06/23AAustralia W34-105
15/05/23AMalaysia W77-63
14/05/23HThailand W82-70
13/05/23AVietnam W116-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Japan W
Asian Games Women 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game105.0118.092.0
Allowed / game38.046.030.0
Point differential+67.0+72.0+62.0
Avg total143.0164.0122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Philippines W
Asian Games Women 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.083.099.0
Allowed / game61.059.063.0
Point differential+30.0+24.0+36.0
Avg total152.0142.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Japan W220100%105.038.0+67.0
2 China W220100%101.049.0+52.0
3 Philippines W220100%91.061.0+30.0
4 South Korea W330100%86.059.0+27.0
5 India W220100%67.054.0+13.0
6 North Korea W32167%86.069.0+17.0
7 Chinese Taipei W31233%64.777.3-12.7
8 Mongolia W2020%54.084.5-30.5
9 Thailand W3030%53.084.3-31.3
10 Indonesia W2020%49.083.5-34.5
11 Kazakhstan W2020%44.587.5-43.0
12 Hong Kong W2020%54.5108.5-54.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Japan W3515163096
Philippines W1412132059
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