Jena vs Paderborn Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 18:00

Scheduled

Position#3

Record18-9

FormWWWWL

Points / game83.3

Allowed / game83.1

Jena

Paderborn

Position#7

Record14-13

FormWLWWL

Points / game88.2

Allowed / game87.3

Pro ARound 33

Other2019-20

Meetings · Jena v Paderborn

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jena win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Paderborn win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chemnitz

68-97

-29

H10/01

Pro A

Schalke

#16

88-77

+11

H18/01

Pro A

Bremerhaven

91-108

108

-17

A25/01

Pro A

Artland

#14

66-77

-11

A01/02

Pro A

Rostock

#12

74-63

+11

H05/02

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#15

89-82

A08/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

94-83

+11

H15/02

Pro A

Trier

85-84

H01/03

Pro A

Leverkusen

80-64

+16

A06/03

Pro A

Panthers Schwenningen

89-97

-8

H08/03

Pro A

26-20

16-21

15-18

11-38

24-15

19-22

23-15

22-25

32-23

21-22

20-28

18-35

13-19

15-17

17-23

21-18

21-17

20-19

20-15

13-12

21-16

26-21

17-22

25-23

24-14

22-24

18-24

30-21

20-23

18-15

22-26

25-20

24-19

20-13

22-15

14-17

21-30

22-27

22-16

24-24

165.6Avg total

82.4Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	83.3	83.1	166.4	+0.1	67%
Season at home (15)	83.5	82.5	166.1	+1.0	73%
Season away (12)	82.9	83.8	166.8	-0.9	58%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	83.2	165.6	-0.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	82.0	169.4	+5.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	83.4	96.0	179.4	-12.6	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	84.0	81.3	165.3	+2.6	75%
vs Weaker (3)	84.0	74.0	158.0	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Paderborn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paderborn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Schalke

#16

94-81

+13

H10/01

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#15

114-95

114

+19

A12/01

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

87-91

-4

A18/01

Pro A

Leverkusen

82-103

103

-21

A25/01

Pro A

Heidelberg

94-96

-2

H01/02

Pro A

Trier

101-74

101

+27

H15/02

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

#10

74-77

-3

A22/02

Pro A

Rostock

#12

101-95 OT

101

A01/03

Pro A

Chemnitz

92-91

H06/03

Pro A

Artland

#14

84-94

-10

A08/03

Pro A

28-18

24-24

25-19

17-20

29-15

29-21

39-25

17-34

22-24

23-22

16-25

26-20

23-21

20-27

22-31

17-24

24-15

24-27

16-27

30-27

29-16

23-19

22-18

27-21

23-24

13-21

11-13

27-19

14-20

16-21

21-21

34-23

26-31

20-19

20-20

26-21

18-26

15-25

21-17

30-26

182.0Avg total

92.3Scored

89.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	88.2	87.3	175.5	+0.9	52%
Season at home (13)	93.4	85.6	179.0	+7.8	69%
Season away (14)	83.4	88.9	172.3	-5.6	36%
Last 10 (10)	92.3	89.7	182.0	+2.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	86.2	176.6	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	75.6	90.2	165.8	-14.6	20%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	86.2	85.8	172.0	+0.4	41%
vs Weaker (8)	94.2	84.6	178.9	+9.6	88%

This opponent (Jena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

JenaPaderborn

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	23.0	23.7	46.7	-0.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.4	19.1	40.5	+2.3	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.7	18.0	34.7	-1.3	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.3	42.8	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	21.2	44.3	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	21.0	44.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.4	45.4	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.4	25.8	45.2	-6.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.9	19.6	43.5	+4.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.9	21.8	41.6	-1.9	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	19.5	41.1	+2.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.9	23.3	46.1	-0.4	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.7	21.7	39.3	-4.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.4	41.6	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	21.5	43.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	21.4	40.1	-2.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.6	43.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	35%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.0	22.9	44.9	-0.9	50%	-

JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chemnitz

42-41

H10/01

Pro A

Schalke

#16

43-37

H18/01

Pro A

Bremerhaven

53-45

A25/01

Pro A

Artland

#14

28-36

-8

A01/02

Pro A

Rostock

#12

41-36

H05/02

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#15

47-37

+10

A08/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

46-38

H15/02

Pro A

Trier

38-38

H01/03

Pro A

Leverkusen

44-32

+12

A06/03

Pro A

Panthers Schwenningen

43-57

-14

H08/03

Pro A

82.2Avg total

42.5Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	40.9	82.8	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.7	41.2	82.9	+0.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.2	40.5	82.6	+1.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	39.7	82.2	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	40.4	84.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	45.9	47.0	92.9	-1.1	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	41.6	38.9	80.5	+2.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	34.3	39.7	74.0	-5.3	33%	-

This opponent (Paderborn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Schalke

#16

52-42

+10

H10/01

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#15

58-36

+22

A12/01

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

45-46

-1

A18/01

Pro A

Leverkusen

43-48

-5

A25/01

Pro A

Heidelberg

48-42

H01/02

Pro A

Trier

52-35

+17

H15/02

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

#10

36-45

-9

A22/02

Pro A

Rostock

#12

30-41

-11

A01/03

Pro A

Chemnitz

46-50

-4

H06/03

Pro A

Artland

#14

33-51

-18

A08/03

Pro A

87.9Avg total

44.3Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	42.7	84.4	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	42.7	87.6	+2.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	42.7	81.6	-3.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	43.6	87.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	44.4	83.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.4	46.4	83.8	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	40.9	41.7	82.6	-0.8	41%	-
vs Weaker (8)	45.9	42.5	88.4	+3.4	75%	-

This opponent (Jena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	22.0	42.5	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	22.4	42.1	-2.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	23.7	43.1	-4.3	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.4	22.1	42.6	-1.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	17.3	40.0	+5.3	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.8	20.5	44.3	+3.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	20.6	40.9	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.5	21.1	41.6	-0.5	41%	-
vs Weaker (8)	27.5	19.4	46.9	+8.1	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.8	41.8	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.1	19.5	41.5	+2.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	22.5	42.2	-2.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	23.3	43.6	-3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.0	44.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.1	25.3	43.4	-7.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	65%	-
vs Weaker (3)	27.0	17.0	44.0	+10.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.6	45.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	22.4	45.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	23.5	48.6	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	22.0	50.8	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.6	23.0	43.6	-2.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	23.8	22.5	46.2	+1.3	59%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.9	22.8	43.6	-1.9	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	42.8	84.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.8	41.8	83.6	+0.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.1	44.1	85.2	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	43.5	83.4	-3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	41.6	85.4	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.6	49.0	86.6	-11.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	41.6	41.9	83.5	-0.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	49.7	34.3	84.0	+15.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	43.2	87.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.0	42.9	89.9	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.1	43.4	85.5	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	45.1	91.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	39.8	87.6	+8.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.2	43.8	82.0	-5.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	44.3	43.5	87.8	+0.8	59%	-
vs Weaker (8)	48.4	42.1	90.5	+6.2	88%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Jena wins

Paderborn wins

Date	Game	Score
09/11/19	Paderborn v Jena	88-98
13/03/16	Paderborn v Jena	57-87
19/12/15	Jena v Paderborn	71-63
11/01/15	Jena v Paderborn	79-74
03/10/14	Paderborn v Jena	77-85
23/03/14	Paderborn v Jena	101-97
26/10/13	Jena v Paderborn	106-69
03/02/13	Jena v Paderborn	73-83
20/10/12	Paderborn v Jena	98-92
23/03/12	Paderborn v Jena	83-87

Jenalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	H	Panthers Schwenningen	89-97
06/03/20	A	Leverkusen	80-64
01/03/20	H	Trier	85-84
15/02/20	H	Kirchheim	94-83
08/02/20	A	PS Karlsruhe	89-82
05/02/20	H	Rostock	74-63
01/02/20	A	Artland	66-77
25/01/20	A	Bremerhaven	91-108
18/01/20	H	Schalke	88-77
10/01/20	H	Chemnitz	68-97

Paderbornlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	A	Artland	84-94
06/03/20	H	Chemnitz	92-91
01/03/20	A	Rostock	101-95 OT
22/02/20	A	Phoenix Hagen	74-77
15/02/20	H	Trier	101-74
01/02/20	H	Heidelberg	94-96
25/01/20	A	Leverkusen	82-103
18/01/20	A	Kirchheim	87-91
12/01/20	A	PS Karlsruhe	114-95
10/01/20	H	Schalke	94-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jena

Pro A 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	67%
Home	WWWWL	73%
Away	LLLWW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	15	12
Win %	67%	73%	58%
Points / game	83.3	83.5	82.9
Allowed / game	83.1	82.5	83.8
Point differential	+0.1	+1.0	-0.9
Avg total	166.4	166.1	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	33%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (4)	-
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

Paderborn

Pro A 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	52%
Home	WWLWW	69%
Away	LLLWL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	52%	69%	36%
Points / game	88.2	93.4	83.4
Allowed / game	87.3	85.6	88.9
Point differential	+0.9	+7.8	-5.6
Avg total	175.5	179.0	172.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	46%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	33% (3)	50% (6)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Chemnitz	27	25	2	93%	95.9	81.1	+14.8
2	Bremerhaven	27	20	7	74%	88.6	78.6	+10.0
3	Jena	27	18	9	67%	83.3	83.1	+0.1
4	Heidelberg	28	16	12	57%	81.3	79.2	+2.1
5	Nurnberger	28	16	12	57%	82.6	82.7	-0.1
6	Trier	27	14	13	52%	83.6	80.9	+2.7
7	Paderborn	27	14	13	52%	88.2	87.3	+0.9
8	Leverkusen	27	14	13	52%	81.1	83.5	-2.4
9	Panthers Schwenningen	28	14	14	50%	79.6	79.4	+0.2
10	Phoenix Hagen	27	13	14	48%	84.5	82.6	+1.9
11	Kirchheim	28	13	15	46%	83.4	85.6	-2.2
12	Rostock	27	12	15	44%	80.0	81.1	-1.0
13	Tubingen	28	12	16	43%	81.0	82.4	-1.4
14	Artland	27	10	17	37%	79.6	83.3	-3.7
15	PS Karlsruhe	27	9	18	33%	80.7	84.1	-3.4
16	Schalke	27	8	19	30%	77.3	82.0	-4.7
17	Ehingen	27	4	23	15%	74.1	87.9	-13.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Jena vs Paderborn Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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