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Jurbarkas vs Plunges Olimpas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 86-79
Projected total 165.1
Final 93-82
21-16 23-11 22-29 27-26
Position#2
Record10-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game77.6
Jurbarkas 🏆
Lithuania
Vs
74%
26%
■ JURB 74%■ PLUN 26%
Pythia win probability
Plunges Olimpas
Lithuania
Position#10
Record7-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game78.8
LithuaniaNKLRound 13· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Plunges Olimpas
12 Nov 2026
JURB93
PLUN82
21 Feb 2026
JURB102
PLUN90
30 Oct 2025
JURB83
PLUN66
14 Nov 2024
JURB74
PLUN64
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Jurbarkas, the favourite, will host Plunges Olimpas on 12 November 2026 in the NKL, with the model predicting a 74% chance of a Jurbarkas win and a projected score of 86-79, a total of 165.1 points, and a 52% probability that the home side covers the -7.0 spread; the game carries a 4% overtime probability. Jurbarkas has a 10-1 record over 11 games, averaging 90.2 points scored and 77.6 allowed, and sits second in the league; at home they are 4-1, scoring 87.8 and allowing 79.6, with four wins in the last five games, including a 102-101 victory over Telsiai, a 97-86 win at Omega-Tauras, and a 91-77 win over Taurage. Plunges Olimpas are 7-5 across 12 games, averaging 82.6 points scored and 78.8 allowed, positioned eighth; on the road they are 3-4, scoring 75.3 and allowing 79.1, with three wins in their last five, including a 101-78 win over Zalgiris Kaunas, a 76-87 loss to Alytaus Patriotai, and a 91-73 win over Vilkaviskis. In their five-meeting history Jurbarkas has won every encounter, most recently defeating Plunges Olimpas 102-90 on 21 February 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
74.5%fair 1.34
Best odds1.37
Implied72.1%
Edge+2.4pp
Plunges Olimpas winLost
25.5%fair 3.92
Best odds3.30
Implied27.9%
Edge-2.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 18:15 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#15
W
91-62
91
62
+29
87avg 80
A10/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
84-72
84
72
+12
83avg 80
A15/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
69avg 80
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#2
L
69-93
69
93
-24
59avg 80
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
88avg 80
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 80
A29/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 80
H31/10
NKL
Taurage
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
97-86
97
86
+11
no box
A05/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
102-101
102
101
+1
no box
H07/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
12-13
24-21
28-15
20-19
24-11
18-18
22-24
16-13
19-17
20-23
26-19
20-27
25-21
13-24
11-21
26-22
19-23
26-19
22-15
21-23
19-18
27-25
19-13
21-22
12-14
19-21
20-22
28-21
15-18
23-13
25-25
38-15
18-24
16-22
25-25
27-25
32-23
21-26
22-27
166.6Avg total
86.6Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.277.6167.8+12.591%
Season at home (5)87.879.6167.4+8.280%
Season away (6)92.276.0168.2+16.2100%
Last 10 (10)86.680.0166.6+6.680%
Last 5 (5)89.684.4174.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.196.0176.1-15.929%
vs Similar (7)83.475.4158.9+8.086%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.480.6172.1+10.888%
This opponent (Plunges Olimpas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Plunges OlimpasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpas
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#16
W
98-85
98
85
+13
96avg 75
H08/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
93-82
93
82
+11
77avg 75
A10/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
76-102
76
102
-26
62avg 75
A15/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
89-64
89
64
+25
89avg 75
H17/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
80-72
80
72
+8
79avg 75
A22/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
75-62
75
62
+13
49avg 75
A24/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
57-59
57
59
-2
49avg 75
A29/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
91-73
91
73
+18
92avg 75
H31/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A05/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
W
101-78
101
78
+23
no box
H07/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
21-19
27-28
28-18
23-16
26-18
21-21
23-27
17-25
16-25
21-26
22-26
29-22
15-14
24-11
21-17
22-21
17-16
24-10
17-25
16-12
19-15
18-15
22-20
17-13
19-19
11-10
10-17
21-20
22-23
21-15
27-15
12-17
18-23
24-27
22-20
20-20
29-19
23-22
29-17
160.0Avg total
83.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.678.8161.4+3.858%
Season at home (5)92.878.4171.2+14.480%
Season away (7)75.379.1154.4-3.943%
Last 10 (10)83.676.4160.0+7.270%
Last 5 (5)80.071.8151.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.592.4172.9-11.920%
vs Similar (12)84.681.8166.4+2.858%
vs Weaker (8)89.175.0164.1+14.188%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 158.5Actual: Over 158.5
Over 158.5
65.0%
Under 158.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163.75 · main lineActual: Over 163.75
Over 163.75
no forecast
@ 1.79
Under 163.75
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.79
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 168.5Actual: Over 168.5
Over 168.5
41.2%
@ 2.12-2.0pp
Under 168.5
58.8%
@ 1.62+2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.12
1xBet
1.89
Under
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61

📊 3. Team Totals

Jurbarkas total 81Actual: Jurbarkas over 81
Over 81
70.6%
Under 81
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jurbarkas total 85 · main lineActual: Jurbarkas over 85
Over 85
55.3%
@ 1.71+5.0pp
Under 85
44.7%
@ 1.73-5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.71
Under
1xBet
1.73
Jurbarkas total 89Actual: Jurbarkas over 89
Over 89
38.9%
Under 89
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plunges Olimpas total 74.5Actual: Plunges Olimpas over 74.5
Over 74.5
65.8%
@ 1.39+2.9pp
Under 74.5
34.2%
@ 2.36-2.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.36
Plunges Olimpas total 78.5 · main lineActual: Plunges Olimpas over 78.5
Over 78.5
50.7%
@ 1.80+0.7pp
Under 78.5
49.3%
@ 1.83-0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.74
Under
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.71
Plunges Olimpas total 82.5Actual: Plunges Olimpas under 82.5
Over 82.5
35.6%
@ 2.40-0.9pp
Under 82.5
64.4%
@ 1.38+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Jurbarkas -10Actual: Jurbarkas -10
JURB -10
40.7%
@ 2.20-0.6pp
PLUN +10
59.3%
@ 1.55+0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
JURB
Pinnacle
2.20
PLUN
Pinnacle
1.55
Spread Jurbarkas -7 · main lineActual: Jurbarkas -7
JURB -7
52.1%
@ 1.86+2.0pp
PLUN +7
47.9%
@ 1.87-2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
JURB
Pinnacle
1.86
SBO
1.84
PLUN
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.84
Spread Jurbarkas -4Actual: Jurbarkas -4
JURB -4
63.8%
@ 1.51+2.5pp
PLUN +4
36.2%
@ 2.39-2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
JURB
Pinnacle
1.51
PLUN
Pinnacle
2.39

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
JurbarkasPlunges Olimpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#15
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A10/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A15/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H31/10
NKL
Taurage
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A05/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H07/11
NKL
82.1Avg total
43.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.5
Last 30 (30)43.639.282.8+4.463%57%
Last 30 at home (15)44.138.983.0+5.167%53%
Last 30 away (15)43.239.582.7+3.760%60%
Last 10 (10)43.938.282.1+5.760%50%
Last 5 (5)46.240.686.8+5.660%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.447.689.0-6.129%86%
vs Similar (7)43.335.779.0+7.686%43%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.837.181.8+7.769%50%
This opponent (Plunges Olimpas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Plunges OlimpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#16
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H08/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A10/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A15/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H17/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A22/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A24/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A29/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H31/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A05/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H07/11
NKL
77.8Avg total
40.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.5
Last 30 (30)42.440.182.5+2.360%57%
Last 30 at home (17)42.840.983.6+1.959%59%
Last 30 away (13)41.939.181.0+2.862%54%
Last 10 (10)40.137.777.8+2.470%50%
Last 5 (5)38.636.274.8+2.460%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.044.784.7-4.720%70%
vs Similar (12)43.838.282.0+5.775%50%
vs Weaker (8)43.237.280.5+6.088%50%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Jurbarkas win
JURB win
no forecast
@ 1.50
PLUN win
no forecast
@ 2.77
1st half Spread Jurbarkas -3.5 · main lineActual: Jurbarkas -3.5
JURB -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
PLUN +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 81.5 · main lineActual: Under 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Jurbarkas 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Jurbarkas over 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Plunges Olimpas 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Plunges Olimpas under 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Jurbarkas -4.5Actual: Jurbarkas -4.5
JURB -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
PLUN +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Under 83.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Jurbarkas (regulation)
JURB
no forecast
@ 1.44
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.50
PLUN
no forecast
@ 2.90

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
JURB win + total 163.5
🔒 Pro
PLUN win + total 163.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: JURB leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Jurbarkas (regulation)72.0%1.34
1xBet
1.34		----+7.3ppWon
Jurbarkas over 79.574.9%1.29
1xBet
1.29		----+6.3ppWon
Jurbarkas over 80.571.7%1.34
1xBet
1.34		----+6.2ppWon
Overtime: no95.7%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+4.2ppWon
Plunges Olimpas over 72.572.7%1.28
1xBet
1.28		----+3.4ppWon
Jurbarkas win74.5%1.31
Bet365
1.37
1xBet
1.33
WilliamHill
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.29		+2.4ppWon
Plunges Olimpas under 84.571.2%1.28
1xBet
1.28		----+1.7ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.7
51.2%
54.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.2
30.0%
31.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.314.7
69.0%
67.1%14.7
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Plunges Olimpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Plunges Olimpas: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.4
53.2%
54.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.06.2
32.6%
31.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.314.5
71.4%
67.1%14.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WWWLWWLWWW
Plunges Olimpas
WLWLWWWLWW
#2
League position
#10
+8.7
Net rating
+1.7
90.6
Offensive rating
90.5
81.9
Defensive rating
88.7
48.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
14.8%
Turnover %
18.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.0%
3-point %
32.6%
69.6%
Assist %
62.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 90.5Defence81.9 · 88.7Shooting48.5% · 51.9%3-point %30.0% · 32.6%Ball care14.8% · 18.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Plunges Olimpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Jurbarkas wins
0
Plunges Olimpas wins
DateGameScore
21/02/26Jurbarkas v Plunges Olimpas102-90
04/01/26Plunges Olimpas v Jurbarkas70-84
30/10/25Jurbarkas v Plunges Olimpas83-66
21/01/25Plunges Olimpas v Jurbarkas74-83
14/11/24Jurbarkas v Plunges Olimpas74-64
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HTelsiai102-101
05/11/26AOmega-Tauras97-86
03/11/26HTaurage91-77
31/10/26HSilute72-79
29/10/26AKretinga86-79
22/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 293-79
20/10/26HNevezis69-93
17/10/26HKedainiai BC81-72
15/10/26ARytas 284-72
10/10/26AMazeikiai91-62
Plunges Olimpaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas 2101-78
05/11/26AAlytaus Patriotai76-87
31/10/26HVilkaviskis91-73
29/10/26ANeptunas 257-59
24/10/26AKedainiai BC75-62
22/10/26AMazeikiai80-72
17/10/26HRytas 289-64
15/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga76-102
10/10/26AOmega-Tauras93-82
08/10/26HKretinga98-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW91%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %91%80%100%
Points / game90.287.892.2
Allowed / game77.679.676.0
Point differential+12.5+8.2+16.2
Avg total167.8167.4168.2
Over 163.7564%60%67%
Win by 10+64%40%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Plunges Olimpas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%80%43%
Points / game82.692.875.3
Allowed / game78.878.479.1
Point differential+3.8+14.4-3.9
Avg total161.4171.2154.4
Over 163.7550%80%29%
Win by 10+50%80%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1110191%90.277.6+12.5
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1310377%94.884.9+9.9
4 Suduva-Mantinga129375%91.477.7+13.8
5 Vytis VDU118373%97.490.4+7.0
6 Neptunas 2128467%78.275.0+3.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Plunges Olimpas127558%82.678.8+3.8
9 Omega-Tauras137654%90.586.2+4.2
10 Alytaus Patriotai137654%83.785.2-1.5
11 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
12 Vilkaviskis135838%82.186.6-4.5
13 Kedainiai BC124833%77.084.7-7.7
14 Ukmerges Stekas123925%77.889.5-11.8
15 Mazeikiai1331023%78.889.2-10.5
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1321115%79.092.8-13.8
18 Rytas 2121118%77.787.2-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2123222793
Plunges Olimpas1611292682
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