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Mazeikiai vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:05
Final 62-91
13-27 13-12 21-24 15-28
Position#16
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#2
Record3-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game95.3
Allowed / game74.7
LithuaniaNKLRound 4· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Jurbarkas
10 Oct 2026
MAZ62
JURB91
20 Mar 2026
MAZ87
JURB92
31 Jan 2026
MAZ84
JURB83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
67-91
67
91
-24
62avg 74
A28/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
74-86
74
86
-12
62avg 74
H05/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
90-94
90
94
-4
82avg 74
A07/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
70-99
70
99
-29
54avg 74
A12/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
113-99
113
99
+14
106avg 74
H14/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 74
H20/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 74
A23/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
70-86
70
86
-16
60avg 74
A01/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 74
H03/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
67avg 74
A08/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
23-23
10-26
13-19
22-26
23-14
18-27
11-19
28-21
21-24
29-27
12-22
18-29
10-34
19-19
23-17
23-24
26-26
32-23
32-26
24-32
21-25
22-23
20-12
22-22
10-24
20-15
20-24
21-30
18-20
16-16
15-20
18-18
16-13
23-16
18-25
16-24
17-21
14-19
25-19
167.7Avg total
79.0Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.380.3152.7-8.033%
Season at home (1)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)71.084.5155.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)79.088.7167.7-9.720%
Last 5 (5)75.283.6158.8-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)70.890.5161.2-19.80%
vs Similar (22)82.884.4167.2-1.641%
vs Weaker (4)89.273.8163.0+15.5100%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#11
W
92-87
92
87
+5
91avg 78
A20/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
76avg 78
H23/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
64-101
64
101
-37
49avg 78
A28/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
105-98 OT
105
98
+7
90avg 78
H01/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
82-94
82
94
-12
68avg 78
A03/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
64-106
64
106
-42
49avg 78
H07/04
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#9
W
96-68
96
68
+28
93avg 78
H01/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
102-78
102
78
+24
98avg 78
A03/10
NKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
78avg 78
A06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
88-78
88
78
+10
85avg 78
H08/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
25-21
23-22
12-20
22-22
24-10
15-20
24-20
14-29
12-27
12-27
26-18
23-17
18-20
15-22
21-18
19-22
16-26
26-17
21-29
19-26
24-25
13-28
8-27
26-10
19-18
29-18
22-22
21-20
22-16
29-19
30-23
20-16
21-29
24-18
10-16
21-16
24-23
28-26
15-13
171.4Avg total
85.3Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.374.7170.0+20.7100%
Season at home (2)92.073.0165.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)102.078.0180.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.386.1171.4-0.860%
Last 5 (5)85.081.8166.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.095.6173.6-17.620%
vs Similar (13)83.576.9160.4+6.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.281.8174.0+10.383%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
MazeikiaiJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A28/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H05/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A07/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
28-63
28
63
-35
A12/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H14/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H20/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A23/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A01/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A08/10
NKL
87.1Avg total
39.8Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.984.4-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.141.685.8+2.564%-
Last 30 away (16)39.144.183.1-5.025%-
Last 10 (10)39.847.387.1-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.645.882.4-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.251.286.5-16.00%-
vs Similar (22)42.342.684.9-0.450%-
vs Weaker (4)43.036.279.2+6.850%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#11
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A20/03
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H23/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A28/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H01/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A03/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H07/04
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#9
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H01/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A03/10
NKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H08/10
NKL
83.9Avg total
42.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.538.882.3+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.137.181.3+7.073%-
Last 30 away (15)42.940.583.4+2.367%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.783.9+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.883.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.247.484.6-10.220%-
vs Similar (13)42.837.280.0+5.577%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.937.083.9+9.983%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.9
57.0%
54.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.1
32.6%
31.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.311.9
73.0%
67.1%11.9
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.8
56.3%
54.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.9
33.7%
31.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.012.3
64.7%
67.1%12.3
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LWLLLWLLLL
Jurbarkas
WLWWLLWLWW
#16
League position
#2
-10.6
Net rating
+1.0
92.9
Offensive rating
94.5
103.4
Defensive rating
93.5
53.4%
Effective FG%
53.8%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.6%
3-point %
33.7%
50.0%
Assist %
59.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.9 · 94.5Defence103.4 · 93.5Shooting53.4% · 53.8%3-point %32.6% · 33.7%Ball care16.3% · 14.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mazeikiai wins
3
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
23/03/26Jurbarkas v Mazeikiai85-72
20/03/26Mazeikiai v Jurbarkas87-92
31/01/26Mazeikiai v Jurbarkas84-83
04/10/25Jurbarkas v Mazeikiai80-73
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26ATelsiai72-83
03/10/26HRytas 275-72
01/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga70-86
23/03/26AJurbarkas72-85
20/03/26HJurbarkas87-92
14/03/26HVytis VDU113-99
12/03/26ASuduva-Mantinga70-99
07/03/26ARytas 290-94
05/03/26HTelsiai74-86
28/02/26AVilkaviskis67-91
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga88-78
06/10/26AGargzdai75-79
03/10/26AKauno Atletas102-78
01/10/26HAlytaus Patriotai96-68
07/04/26HSuduva-Mantinga64-106
03/04/26ASuduva-Mantinga82-94
01/04/26HSuduva-Mantinga105-98 OT
28/03/26ASuduva-Mantinga64-101
23/03/26HMazeikiai85-72
20/03/26AMazeikiai92-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game72.375.071.0
Allowed / game80.372.084.5
Point differential-8.0+3.0-13.5
Avg total152.7147.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.392.0102.0
Allowed / game74.773.078.0
Point differential+20.7+19.0+24.0
Avg total170.0165.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas330100%95.374.7+20.7
2 Omega-Tauras330100%100.784.0+16.7
3 Telsiai440100%84.270.0+14.2
4 Suduva-Mantinga220100%96.587.0+9.5
5 Vytis VDU220100%89.086.5+2.5
6 BC Olimpas Palanga43175%90.278.5+11.8
7 Vilkaviskis32167%90.782.7+8.0
8 Ukmerges Stekas42250%92.088.0+4.0
9 Neptunas 242250%80.077.5+2.5
10 Silute42250%75.575.8-0.2
11 Zalgiris Kaunas 242250%99.0100.2-1.2
12 Plunges Olimpas31233%84.389.0-4.7
13 Mazeikiai31233%72.380.3-8.0
14 Alytaus Patriotai41325%79.291.5-12.2
15 Kedainiai BC41325%74.588.5-14.0
16 Rytas 24040%80.292.0-11.8
17 Kretinga4040%80.293.0-12.8
18 Kauno Atletas3030%76.390.7-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai1313211562
Jurbarkas2712242891
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