Omega-Tauras will host Jurbarkas on 5 November 2026 in the NKL, with the model favouring the visitors who sit in second place after an 8-1 season, scoring 88.1 points per game and allowing 74.1, while Omega-Tauras sits eighth with a 6-4 record, averaging 87.0 points and conceding 82.4; the home side has struggled at home, going 1-3 with 88.8 points for and 85.5 against, and has lost three of its last five, including a 72-75 defeat to Kretinga, a 93-82 win over Zalgiris Kaunas, and a 74-85 loss to Alytaus Patriotai; Jurbarkas, unbeaten on the road at 5-0, has posted 91.2 points and 74.0 allowed in those games and won three of its last five, with a recent 91-77 victory over Taurage and a 86-79 win over Kretinga, though it also fell 72-79 to Silute; in head-to-head history Jurbarkas leads 4-2, most recently beating Omega-Tauras 98-94 on 7 March 2026; Pythia projects a 84-81 score, a 165.7 total, a 39% chance for the home team and 61% for the visitors, with a 4.5-point line favouring the home side and a 53% probability that they will cover, while the 168.25 over line has a 42% chance of hitting and the game has a 5% overtime probability, ending with Jurbarkas winning 84-81.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 87.0 | 82.4 | 169.4 | +4.6 | 60% |
| Season at home (4) | 88.8 | 85.5 | 174.2 | +3.2 | 25% |
| Season away (6) | 85.8 | 80.3 | 166.2 | +5.5 | 83% |
| Last 10 (10) | 87.0 | 82.4 | 169.4 | +4.6 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.8 | 81.2 | 161.0 | -1.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 78.7 | 87.4 | 166.1 | -8.7 | 40% |
| vs Similar (12) | 83.2 | 87.0 | 170.2 | -3.8 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 88.0 | 83.5 | 171.5 | +4.5 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 88.1 | 74.1 | 162.2 | +14.0 | 89% |
| Season at home (4) | 84.2 | 74.2 | 158.5 | +10.0 | 75% |
| Season away (5) | 91.2 | 74.0 | 165.2 | +17.2 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.0 | 77.0 | 160.0 | +6.0 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.2 | 81.4 | 163.6 | +0.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 76.5 | 95.2 | 171.7 | -18.7 | 17% |
| vs Similar (9) | 87.4 | 77.1 | 164.6 | +10.3 | 78% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 91.1 | 80.3 | 171.3 | +10.8 | 87% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.9 | 43.5 | 86.3 | -0.6 | 53% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 42.9 | 42.6 | 85.5 | +0.2 | 64% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.9 | 44.2 | 87.1 | -1.3 | 44% | 69% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.7 | 42.1 | 87.8 | +3.6 | 60% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.2 | 39.4 | 82.6 | +3.8 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 40.4 | 44.8 | 85.2 | -4.4 | 40% | 50% |
| vs Similar (12) | 43.0 | 43.0 | 86.0 | +0.0 | 58% | 58% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 45.8 | 42.5 | 88.2 | +3.2 | 62% | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.3 | 38.7 | 82.1 | +4.6 | 63% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 44.0 | 37.6 | 81.6 | +6.4 | 67% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 42.7 | 39.9 | 82.5 | +2.8 | 60% | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.0 | 37.9 | 78.9 | +3.1 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.2 | 41.8 | 83.0 | -0.6 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 38.5 | 47.5 | 86.0 | -9.0 | 17% | 50% |
| vs Similar (9) | 45.4 | 35.9 | 81.3 | +9.6 | 89% | 44% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 44.0 | 36.9 | 80.9 | +7.1 | 67% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 174 | 70.2% | 1.61 | 1.61 | - | - | - | - | +13.3pp | Lost |
| Jurbarkas under 91.5 | 75.6% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Lost |
| Jurbarkas under 90.5 | 72.4% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Lost |
| Omega-Tauras under 88.5 | 75.8% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Omega-Tauras under 87.5 | 72.8% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | - |
| Omega-Tauras +9.5 | 71.1% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.8 | 23.0 | 54.5% | 46.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.4 | 8.5 | 31.3% | 25.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.9 | 14.4 | 67.1% | 14.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.4 | 20.7 | 54.5% | 41.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.7 | 9.2 | 31.3% | 27.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.3 | 14.7 | 67.1% | 14.7 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | Omega-Tauras v Jurbarkas | 94-98 |
| 05/02/26 | Jurbarkas v Omega-Tauras | 84-95 |
| 27/11/25 | Omega-Tauras v Jurbarkas | 80-89 |
| 13/02/25 | Omega-Tauras v Jurbarkas | 88-79 |
| 14/12/24 | Jurbarkas v Omega-Tauras | 104-91 |
| 19/10/24 | Omega-Tauras v Jurbarkas | 77-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Kretinga | 72-75 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 93-82 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Alytaus Patriotai | 74-85 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Vilkaviskis | 73-82 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Suduva-Mantinga | 87-82 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Ukmerges Stekas | 87-73 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Plunges Olimpas | 82-93 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Rytas 2 | 99-91 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Neptunas 2 | 76-72 |
| 30/09/26 | H | Kedainiai BC | 127-89 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | H | Taurage | 91-77 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Silute | 72-79 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Kretinga | 86-79 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 93-79 |
| 20/10/26 | H | Nevezis | 69-93 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Kedainiai BC | 81-72 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Rytas 2 | 84-72 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Mazeikiai | 91-62 |
| 08/10/26 | H | BC Olimpas Palanga | 88-78 |
| 06/10/26 | A | Gargzdai | 75-79 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 60% |
| Home | WLLL | 25% |
| Away | WWWLW | 83% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 4 | 6 |
| Win % | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Points / game | 87.0 | 88.8 | 85.8 |
| Allowed / game | 82.4 | 85.5 | 80.3 |
| Point differential | +4.6 | +3.2 | +5.5 |
| Avg total | 169.4 | 174.2 | 166.2 |
| Over 171.25 | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 0% (1) | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 89% |
| Home | WWWL | 75% |
| Away | WWWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Win % | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Points / game | 88.1 | 84.2 | 91.2 |
| Allowed / game | 74.1 | 74.2 | 74.0 |
| Point differential | +14.0 | +10.0 | +17.2 |
| Avg total | 162.2 | 158.5 | 165.2 |
| Over 171.25 | 22% | 0% | 40% |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 50% | 80% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 100% | 89.5 | 71.6 | +17.9 | |
| 2 | Jurbarkas | 9 | 8 | 1 | 89% | 88.1 | 74.1 | +14.0 |
| 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 82% | 93.6 | 81.1 | +12.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 92.9 | 79.4 | +13.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 82.2 | 80.5 | +1.7 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 96.2 | 89.6 | +6.7 | |
| 7 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 77.7 | 75.1 | +2.6 | |
| 8 | Omega-Tauras | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 87.0 | 82.4 | +4.6 |
| 9 | Plunges Olimpas | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 80.9 | 78.9 | +2.0 |
| 10 | Alytaus Patriotai | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 86.2 | 87.1 | -0.9 |
| 11 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 95.6 | 96.5 | -0.8 | |
| 12 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 82.8 | 85.7 | -2.9 | |
| 13 | Kedainiai BC | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 75.8 | 83.5 | -7.6 |
| 14 | Ukmerges Stekas | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 79.5 | 91.0 | -11.5 |
| 15 | Kretinga | 11 | 2 | 9 | 18% | 80.3 | 89.2 | -8.9 |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 18% | 76.5 | 87.8 | -11.3 | |
| 17 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 10% | 77.6 | 93.6 | -16.0 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0% | 76.5 | 88.0 | -11.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omega-Tauras | 15 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 86 |
| Jurbarkas | 38 | 18 | 16 | 25 | 97 |
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