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Omega-Tauras vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 81-84
Projected total 165.7
Final 86-97
15-38 24-18 22-16 25-25
Position#8
Record6-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game82.4
Vs
39%
61%
■ OMEG 39%■ JURB 61%
Pythia win probability
Position#2
Record8-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game74.1
LithuaniaNKLRound 11· Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras
Other2026-27
Meetings · Omega-Tauras v Jurbarkas
05 Nov 2026
OMEG86
JURB97
07 Mar 2026
OMEG94
JURB98
27 Nov 2025
OMEG80
JURB89
13 Feb 2025
OMEG88
JURB79
19 Oct 2024
OMEG77
JURB82
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Omega-Tauras will host Jurbarkas on 5 November 2026 in the NKL, with the model favouring the visitors who sit in second place after an 8-1 season, scoring 88.1 points per game and allowing 74.1, while Omega-Tauras sits eighth with a 6-4 record, averaging 87.0 points and conceding 82.4; the home side has struggled at home, going 1-3 with 88.8 points for and 85.5 against, and has lost three of its last five, including a 72-75 defeat to Kretinga, a 93-82 win over Zalgiris Kaunas, and a 74-85 loss to Alytaus Patriotai; Jurbarkas, unbeaten on the road at 5-0, has posted 91.2 points and 74.0 allowed in those games and won three of its last five, with a recent 91-77 victory over Taurage and a 86-79 win over Kretinga, though it also fell 72-79 to Silute; in head-to-head history Jurbarkas leads 4-2, most recently beating Omega-Tauras 98-94 on 7 March 2026; Pythia projects a 84-81 score, a 165.7 total, a 39% chance for the home team and 61% for the visitors, with a 4.5-point line favouring the home side and a 53% probability that they will cover, while the 168.25 over line has a 42% chance of hitting and the game has a 5% overtime probability, ending with Jurbarkas winning 84-81.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Omega-Tauras winLost
39.0%fair 2.56
Best odds2.50
Implied37.6%
Edge+1.4pp
Jurbarkas winWon
61.0%fair 1.64
Best odds1.57
Implied62.4%
Edge-1.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 04 Nov 06:58 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Omega-TaurasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOmega-Tauras
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
127-89
127
89
+38
128avg 77
H30/09
NKL
Neptunas 2
#7
W
76-72
76
72
+4
70avg 77
A03/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
99-91
99
91
+8
95avg 77
A08/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
62avg 77
H10/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
87-73
87
73
+14
91avg 77
A15/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
W
87-82
87
82
+5
90avg 77
A17/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
73-82
73
82
-9
60avg 77
A22/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 77
H24/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
W
93-82
93
82
+11
93avg 77
A29/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
L
72-75
72
75
-3
60avg 77
H31/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
31-23
26-20
38-24
21-21
19-23
18-16
18-12
26-17
26-26
26-20
21-28
16-23
18-26
21-21
27-23
27-25
25-18
16-14
19-16
21-23
27-21
26-12
13-26
24-20
18-24
16-20
15-18
16-19
17-25
30-16
11-25
25-18
27-15
22-19
19-30
22-18
19-14
14-18
17-25
169.4Avg total
87.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.082.4169.4+4.660%
Season at home (4)88.885.5174.2+3.225%
Season away (6)85.880.3166.2+5.583%
Last 10 (10)87.082.4169.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)79.881.2161.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.787.4166.1-8.740%
vs Similar (12)83.287.0170.2-3.833%
vs Weaker (8)88.083.5171.5+4.550%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
78avg 79
A06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
88-78
88
78
+10
85avg 79
H08/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
91-62
91
62
+29
87avg 79
A10/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
84-72
84
72
+12
83avg 79
A15/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
69avg 79
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#2
L
69-93
69
93
-24
59avg 79
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
88avg 79
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 79
A29/10
NKL
Silute
#5
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 79
H31/10
NKL
Taurage
#3
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
21-29
24-18
10-16
21-16
24-23
28-26
15-13
27-13
12-13
24-21
28-15
20-19
24-11
18-18
22-24
16-13
19-17
20-23
26-19
20-27
25-21
13-24
11-21
26-22
19-23
26-19
22-15
21-23
19-18
27-25
19-13
21-22
12-14
19-21
20-22
28-21
15-18
23-13
25-25
160.0Avg total
83.0Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.174.1162.2+14.089%
Season at home (4)84.274.2158.5+10.075%
Season away (5)91.274.0165.2+17.2100%
Last 10 (10)83.077.0160.0+6.070%
Last 5 (5)82.281.4163.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.595.2171.7-18.717%
vs Similar (9)87.477.1164.6+10.378%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.180.3171.3+10.887%
This opponent (Omega-Tauras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166Actual: Over 166
Over 166
48.4%
@ 1.70-7.1pp
Under 166
51.6%
@ 2.10+7.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Under
Pinnacle
2.10
Over/Under 171.25 · main lineActual: Over 171.25
Over 171.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under 171.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.82
Over/Under 176Actual: Over 176
Over 176
25.8%
Under 176
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Omega-Tauras total 78.5Actual: Omega-Tauras over 78.5
Over 78.5
60.1%
@ 1.39-2.9pp
Under 78.5
39.9%
@ 2.37+2.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.37
Omega-Tauras total 82.5 · main lineActual: Omega-Tauras over 82.5
Over 82.5
44.8%
@ 1.83-5.0pp
Under 82.5
55.2%
@ 1.80+5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.72
Under
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.72
Omega-Tauras total 86.5Actual: Omega-Tauras under 86.5
Over 86.5
30.5%
@ 2.37-6.5pp
Under 86.5
69.5%
@ 1.39+6.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.37
Under
1xBet
1.39
Jurbarkas total 82.5Actual: Jurbarkas over 82.5
Over 82.5
57.3%
@ 1.42-4.0pp
Under 82.5
42.7%
@ 2.25+4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.25
Jurbarkas total 86.5 · main lineActual: Jurbarkas over 86.5
Over 86.5
41.8%
@ 1.83-7.0pp
Under 86.5
58.2%
@ 1.80+7.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Under
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.66
Jurbarkas total 90.5Actual: Jurbarkas over 90.5
Over 90.5
27.6%
@ 2.50-7.5pp
Under 90.5
72.4%
@ 1.35+7.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.35

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Omega-Tauras +1Actual: Jurbarkas -1
OMEG +1
40.1%
JURB -1
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
OMEG
No market prices yet.
JURB
No market prices yet.
Spread Omega-Tauras +4 · main lineActual: Jurbarkas -4
OMEG +4
51.6%
@ 1.91+1.6pp
JURB -4
48.4%
@ 1.87-1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
OMEG
SBO
1.91
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathon Be
1.83
JURB
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathon Be
1.83
SBO
1.75
Spread Omega-Tauras +7Actual: Jurbarkas -7
OMEG +7
63.2%
@ 1.54+4.2pp
JURB -7
36.8%
@ 2.22-4.2pp
Best 5 market prices
OMEG
Pinnacle
1.54
JURB
Pinnacle
2.22

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
Omega-TaurasJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Omega-TaurasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H30/09
NKL
Neptunas 2
#7
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A03/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A08/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H10/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A15/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A17/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A22/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H24/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A29/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H31/10
NKL
87.8Avg total
45.7Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 83.5
Last 30 (30)42.943.586.3-0.653%57%
Last 30 at home (14)42.942.685.5+0.264%43%
Last 30 away (16)42.944.287.1-1.344%69%
Last 10 (10)45.742.187.8+3.660%70%
Last 5 (5)43.239.482.6+3.860%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.444.885.2-4.440%50%
vs Similar (12)43.043.086.0+0.058%58%
vs Weaker (8)45.842.588.2+3.262%62%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H08/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#16
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A10/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A15/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/10
NKL
Silute
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H31/10
NKL
Taurage
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
78.9Avg total
41.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 83.5
Last 30 (30)43.338.782.1+4.663%40%
Last 30 at home (15)44.037.681.6+6.467%47%
Last 30 away (15)42.739.982.5+2.860%33%
Last 10 (10)41.037.978.9+3.150%40%
Last 5 (5)41.241.883.0-0.620%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.547.586.0-9.017%50%
vs Similar (9)45.435.981.3+9.689%44%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.036.980.9+7.167%33%
This opponent (Omega-Tauras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Jurbarkas win
OMEG win
no forecast
@ 2.22
JURB win
no forecast
@ 1.64
1st half Spread Omega-Tauras +1.5 · main lineActual: Jurbarkas -1.5
OMEG +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
JURB -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 83.5 · main lineActual: Over 83.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 2.00
Omega-Tauras 1st half total 41 · main lineActual: Omega-Tauras under 41
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
Jurbarkas 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Jurbarkas over 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Spread Omega-Tauras +2.5Actual: Jurbarkas -2.5
OMEG +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
JURB -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Spread Omega-Tauras +3.5Actual: Jurbarkas -3.5
OMEG +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
JURB -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Jurbarkas (regulation)
OMEG
no forecast
@ 2.30
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
JURB
no forecast
@ 1.69

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
OMEG win + total 169.5
🔒 Pro
JURB win + total 169.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: OMEG leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 17470.2%1.61
Pinnacle
1.61
----+13.3ppLost
Jurbarkas under 91.575.6%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+7.6ppLost
Jurbarkas under 90.572.4%1.35
1xBet
1.35
----+7.5ppLost
Omega-Tauras under 88.575.8%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+6.7ppWon
Omega-Tauras under 87.572.8%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+6.6ppWon
Overtime: no94.8%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+3.5pp-
Omega-Tauras +9.571.1%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+0.4ppLost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Omega-Taurastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Omega-Tauras: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.0
56.4%
54.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.5
37.9%
31.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.914.4
72.4%
67.1%14.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.7
51.2%
54.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.2
30.0%
31.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.314.7
69.0%
67.1%14.7
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Omega-Tauras
LWLLWWLWWW
Jurbarkas
WLWWLWWWWL
#8
League position
#2
+6.5
Net rating
+8.7
98.0
Offensive rating
90.6
91.5
Defensive rating
81.9
56.6%
Effective FG%
48.5%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.9%
3-point %
30.0%
61.0%
Assist %
69.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 90.6Defence91.5 · 81.9Shooting56.6% · 48.5%3-point %37.9% · 30.0%Ball care17.6% · 14.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Omega-Tauras   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Omega-Tauras wins
4
Jurbarkas wins
Omega-Tauraslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HKretinga72-75
29/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 293-82
24/10/26HAlytaus Patriotai74-85
22/10/26AVilkaviskis73-82
17/10/26ASuduva-Mantinga87-82
15/10/26AUkmerges Stekas87-73
10/10/26HPlunges Olimpas82-93
08/10/26ARytas 299-91
03/10/26ANeptunas 276-72
30/09/26HKedainiai BC127-89
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HTaurage91-77
31/10/26HSilute72-79
29/10/26AKretinga86-79
22/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 293-79
20/10/26HNevezis69-93
17/10/26HKedainiai BC81-72
15/10/26ARytas 284-72
10/10/26AMazeikiai91-62
08/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga88-78
06/10/26AGargzdai75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Omega-Tauras
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL60%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%25%83%
Points / game87.088.885.8
Allowed / game82.485.580.3
Point differential+4.6+3.2+5.5
Avg total169.4174.2166.2
Over 171.2540%50%33%
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%75%100%
Points / game88.184.291.2
Allowed / game74.174.274.0
Point differential+14.0+10.0+17.2
Avg total162.2158.5165.2
Over 171.2522%0%40%
Win by 10+67%50%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai11110100%89.571.6+17.9
2 Jurbarkas98189%88.174.1+14.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga119282%93.681.1+12.5
4 Suduva-Mantinga107370%92.979.4+13.5
5 Silute107370%82.280.5+1.7
6 Vytis VDU96367%96.289.6+6.7
7 Neptunas 2117464%77.775.1+2.6
8 Omega-Tauras106460%87.082.4+4.6
9 Plunges Olimpas116555%80.978.9+2.0
10 Alytaus Patriotai116555%86.287.1-0.9
11 Zalgiris Kaunas 2115645%95.696.5-0.8
12 Vilkaviskis115645%82.885.7-2.9
13 Kedainiai BC114736%75.883.5-7.6
14 Ukmerges Stekas113827%79.591.0-11.5
15 Kretinga112918%80.389.2-8.9
16 Mazeikiai112918%76.587.8-11.3
17 Kauno Atletas101910%77.693.6-16.0
18 Rytas 2110110%76.588.0-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Omega-Tauras1524222586
Jurbarkas3818162597
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