PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Juventus vs Liege Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 96-87
19-17 25-26 26-15 26-29
Position#2
Record6-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#9
Record5-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game83.9
EuropeENBLENBL - Quarter-finals· Utenos arena
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liege winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
73-72
73
72
+1
68avg 83
A13/01
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
67-104
67
104
-37
57avg 83
A20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#8
W
88-63
88
63
+25
87avg 83
H24/01
ENBL
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-95
87
95
-8
86avg 83
H26/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-101
63
101
-38
52avg 83
A05/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
86-88
86
88
-2
67avg 83
A10/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
74avg 83
A02/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
119-78
119
78
+41
119avg 83
H10/03
LKL
Liege
#9
L
84-95
84
95
-11
67avg 83
A13/03
ENBL
Nevezis
#9
W
93-88
93
88
+5
82avg 83
A18/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
11-23
24-15
19-18
11-19
23-27
18-29
15-29
17-14
29-17
20-16
22-16
20-24
28-22
19-17
20-32
14-22
12-34
26-17
11-28
25-22
13-18
16-13
32-35
24-30
19-18
18-24
27-21
26-17
37-25
29-14
27-22
23-28
22-29
25-13
14-25
22-22
28-23
21-21
22-22
172.5Avg total
84.8Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.578.9169.4+11.675%
Season at home (4)92.276.5168.8+15.875%
Season away (4)88.881.2170.0+7.575%
Last 10 (10)84.887.7172.5-2.940%
Last 5 (5)94.088.4182.4+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.099.8179.8-19.80%
vs Similar (6)92.386.8179.2+5.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.777.7168.4+13.174%
This opponent (Liege) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
92-100
92
100
-8
92avg 77
A23/01
ENBL
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
83-92
83
92
-9
79avg 77
H26/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 77
A02/02
BNXT League
Siauliai
#4
L
74-97
74
97
-23
63avg 77
H06/02
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 77
H09/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
68avg 77
A14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
79avg 77
H17/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
75-81
75
81
-6
64avg 77
A06/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
W
95-84
95
84
+11
99avg 77
H13/03
ENBL
Zwolle
#12
W
90-70
90
70
+20
99avg 77
H15/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
21-22
24-35
28-20
20-23
17-14
18-28
28-27
21-30
25-13
32-18
16-22
21-28
21-27
18-18
14-24
27-15
27-22
13-16
19-27
19-24
19-22
19-21
19-27
15-14
26-21
19-20
24-19
17-21
14-15
19-22
25-23
28-23
29-22
13-25
25-14
21-18
32-13
25-18
12-21
170.4Avg total
84.9Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.983.9173.8+6.062%
Season at home (4)92.082.0174.0+10.075%
Season away (4)87.885.8173.5+2.050%
Last 10 (10)84.985.5170.4-0.650%
Last 5 (5)84.080.6164.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.887.1166.9-7.438%
vs Similar (15)80.779.5160.2+1.160%
vs Weaker (7)89.974.9164.7+15.086%
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
JuventusLiege
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A13/01
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#8
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H24/01
ENBL
Bakken Bears
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H26/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A05/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A02/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H10/03
LKL
Liege
#9
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A13/03
ENBL
Nevezis
#9
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A18/03
LKL
87.3Avg total
42.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.386.2+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.140.388.4+7.971%-
Last 30 away (16)40.244.184.2-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)42.345.087.3-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)47.846.494.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.249.488.6-10.220%-
vs Similar (6)44.246.390.5-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.139.284.2+5.968%-
This opponent (Liege) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A23/01
ENBL
Spirou Charleroi
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H26/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A02/02
BNXT League
Siauliai
#4
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H06/02
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H09/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H17/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H13/03
ENBL
Zwolle
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H15/03
BNXT League
84.9Avg total
43.9Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.340.082.3+2.345%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.738.181.8+5.567%-
Last 30 away (14)40.942.082.9-1.121%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.084.9+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.682.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.542.985.4-0.438%-
vs Similar (14)41.039.480.4+1.643%-
vs Weaker (7)44.938.082.9+6.957%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.6
52.8%
53.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.3
37.1%
33.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
72.2%15.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.4
53.4%
53.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.4
35.6%
33.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.416.5
77.1%
72.2%16.5
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
WLWLLLLWLW
Liege
WWLWLWLWLL
#2
League position
#9
-4.9
Net rating
+0.0
110.9
Offensive rating
109.1
115.8
Defensive rating
109.1
53.8%
Effective FG%
53.4%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
22.3%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.1%
3-point %
35.6%
59.2%
Assist %
65.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 109.1Defence115.8 · 109.1Shooting53.8% · 53.4%3-point %37.1% · 35.6%Ball care16.5% · 22.3%Off. rebounds27.1% · 36.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Juventus   ■ Liege
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Juventus wins
1
Liege wins
DateGameScore
13/03/24Liege v Juventus95-84
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/24ANevezis93-88
13/03/24ALiege84-95
10/03/24HPieno Zvaigzdes119-78
02/03/24ARytas88-93
10/02/24AMazeikiai86-88
05/02/24AZalgiris Kaunas63-101
26/01/24HBakken Bears87-95
24/01/24HTartu Ulikool88-63
20/01/24ARytas67-104
13/01/24ALietkabelis73-72
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24HZwolle90-70
13/03/24HJuventus95-84
06/03/24ADonar Groningen75-81
17/02/24HMechelen84-74
14/02/24AOostende76-94
09/02/24HAntwerp Giants86-80
06/02/24HSiauliai74-97
02/02/24AKortrijk94-83
26/01/24HSpirou Charleroi83-92
23/01/24ANewcastle Eagles92-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game90.592.288.8
Allowed / game78.976.581.2
Point differential+11.6+15.8+7.5
Avg total169.4168.8170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liege
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game89.992.087.8
Allowed / game83.982.085.8
Point differential+6.0+10.0+2.0
Avg total173.8174.0173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siauliai98189%92.481.4+11.0
2 Bakken Bears97278%88.680.3+8.2
3 Juventus86275%90.578.9+11.6
4 Voluntari86275%84.074.0+10.0
5 Liege85362%89.983.9+6.0
6 Tartu Ulikool85362%79.275.6+3.6
7 Zielona Gora74357%90.390.4-0.1
8 Zwolle74357%71.776.3-4.6
9 Newcastle Eagles95456%89.186.3+2.8
10 Bristol Flyers94544%81.877.0+4.8
11 Lublin73443%89.990.3-0.4
12 Keila KK72529%84.190.9-6.7
13 Spartak Pleven71614%79.188.0-8.9
14 Brno71614%74.685.4-10.9
15 Svendborg71614%68.991.1-22.3
16 Valmiera Glass Via7070%80.396.6-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Juventus1925262696
Liege1726152987
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.