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Liege vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 95-84
28-23 29-22 13-25 25-14
Position#9
Record4-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game83.9
Liege 🏆
vs
Position#2
Record6-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game76.6
EuropeENBLENBL - Quarter-finals· Country Hall
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 75
H10/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
71avg 75
A12/01
BNXT League
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
92-100
92
100
-8
92avg 75
A23/01
ENBL
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
83-92
83
92
-9
79avg 75
H26/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 75
A02/02
BNXT League
Siauliai
#4
L
74-97
74
97
-23
63avg 75
H06/02
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 75
H09/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
68avg 75
A14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
79avg 75
H17/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
75-81
75
81
-6
64avg 75
A06/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
23-19
18-26
23-16
26-23
20-26
27-18
13-27
19-23
21-22
24-35
28-20
20-23
17-14
18-28
28-27
21-30
25-13
32-18
16-22
21-28
21-27
18-18
14-24
27-15
27-22
13-16
19-27
19-24
19-22
19-21
19-27
15-14
26-21
19-20
24-19
17-21
14-15
19-22
25-23
169.7Avg total
82.7Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.183.9173.0+5.357%
Season at home (3)91.081.3172.3+9.767%
Season away (4)87.885.8173.5+2.050%
Last 10 (10)82.787.0169.7-4.340%
Last 5 (5)79.085.2164.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.687.6165.1-10.029%
vs Similar (16)78.980.4159.3-1.456%
vs Weaker (7)89.974.9164.7+15.086%
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
91-78
91
78
+13
93avg 83
A07/01
LKL
Zwolle
#6
W
84-56
84
56
+28
95avg 83
H10/01
ENBL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
73-72
73
72
+1
68avg 83
A13/01
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
67-104
67
104
-37
57avg 83
A20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#8
W
88-63
88
63
+25
87avg 83
H24/01
ENBL
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-95
87
95
-8
86avg 83
H26/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-101
63
101
-38
52avg 83
A05/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
86-88
86
88
-2
67avg 83
A10/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
74avg 83
A02/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
119-78
119
78
+41
119avg 83
H10/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
28-18
22-17
21-19
24-21
23-11
22-11
15-13
19-16
11-23
24-15
19-18
11-19
23-27
18-29
15-29
17-14
29-17
20-16
22-16
20-24
28-22
19-17
20-32
14-22
12-34
26-17
11-28
25-22
13-18
16-13
32-35
24-30
19-18
18-24
27-21
26-17
37-25
29-14
27-22
167.4Avg total
84.6Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.476.6168.0+14.986%
Season at home (4)92.276.5168.8+15.875%
Season away (3)90.376.7167.0+13.7100%
Last 10 (10)84.682.8167.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)88.691.0179.6-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.099.8179.8-19.80%
vs Similar (6)92.386.8179.2+5.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.475.9166.4+14.579%
This opponent (Liege) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
LiegeJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#11
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H10/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A12/01
BNXT League
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A23/01
ENBL
Spirou Charleroi
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H26/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A02/02
BNXT League
Siauliai
#4
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H06/02
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H09/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H17/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/03
BNXT League
82.7Avg total
41.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.840.280.9+0.638%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.238.579.7+2.757%-
Last 30 away (15)40.341.782.1-1.420%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.682.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.883.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.442.683.0-2.129%-
vs Similar (15)39.040.179.1-1.133%-
vs Weaker (7)44.938.082.9+6.957%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A07/01
LKL
Zwolle
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H10/01
ENBL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A13/01
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#8
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H24/01
ENBL
Bakken Bears
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H26/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A05/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A02/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H10/03
LKL
84.5Avg total
42.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.284.9+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.140.388.4+7.971%-
Last 30 away (16)39.942.081.9-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)42.342.284.5+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.646.490.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.249.488.6-10.220%-
vs Similar (6)44.246.390.5-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.837.482.2+7.474%-
This opponent (Liege) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.8
50.9%
53.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.6
31.8%
33.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.217.5
72.3%
72.2%17.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.8
54.8%
53.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.58.0
39.0%
33.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.613.8
74.2%
72.2%13.8
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege
LWLWLWLLLW
Juventus
WLLLLWLWWW
#9
League position
#2
-5.6
Net rating
+1.9
106.1
Offensive rating
110.7
111.7
Defensive rating
108.8
49.7%
Effective FG%
56.0%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
20.8%
Turnover %
18.8%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.8%
3-point %
39.0%
62.7%
Assist %
64.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 110.7Defence111.7 · 108.8Shooting49.7% · 56.0%3-point %31.8% · 39.0%Ball care20.8% · 18.8%Off. rebounds36.7% · 27.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Liege   ■ Juventus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liege wins
0
Juventus wins
No previous meetings.
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24ADonar Groningen75-81
17/02/24HMechelen84-74
14/02/24AOostende76-94
09/02/24HAntwerp Giants86-80
06/02/24HSiauliai74-97
02/02/24AKortrijk94-83
26/01/24HSpirou Charleroi83-92
23/01/24ANewcastle Eagles92-100
12/01/24ACircus Brussels86-94
10/01/24HLeuven Bears77-75
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HPieno Zvaigzdes119-78
02/03/24ARytas88-93
10/02/24AMazeikiai86-88
05/02/24AZalgiris Kaunas63-101
26/01/24HBakken Bears87-95
24/01/24HTartu Ulikool88-63
20/01/24ARytas67-104
13/01/24ALietkabelis73-72
10/01/24HZwolle84-56
07/01/24ANeptunas91-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game89.191.087.8
Allowed / game83.981.385.8
Point differential+5.3+9.7+2.0
Avg total173.0172.3173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Juventus
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game91.492.290.3
Allowed / game76.676.576.7
Point differential+14.9+15.8+13.7
Avg total168.0168.8167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siauliai87188%92.881.8+11.0
2 Juventus76186%91.476.6+14.9
3 Bakken Bears97278%88.680.3+8.2
4 Voluntari86275%84.074.0+10.0
5 Tartu Ulikool85362%79.275.6+3.6
6 Liege74357%89.183.9+5.3
7 Zielona Gora74357%90.390.4-0.1
8 Zwolle74357%71.776.3-4.6
9 Newcastle Eagles95456%89.186.3+2.8
10 Bristol Flyers84450%82.175.4+6.8
11 Lublin73443%89.990.3-0.4
12 Keila KK72529%84.190.9-6.7
13 Spartak Pleven71614%79.188.0-8.9
14 Brno71614%74.685.4-10.9
15 Svendborg71614%68.991.1-22.3
16 Valmiera Glass Via7070%80.396.6-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liege2829132595
Juventus2322251484
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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