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Liege vs Zwolle Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 90-70
21-18 32-13 25-18 12-21
Position#6
Record12-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game78.5
Liege 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record12-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game67.8
EuropeBNXT League· Country Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liege v Zwolle
15 Mar 2024
LIE90
ZWO70
12 May 2023
LIE94
ZWO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zwolle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
71avg 76
A12/01
BNXT League
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
92-100
92
100
-8
92avg 76
A23/01
ENBL
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
83-92
83
92
-9
79avg 76
H26/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 76
A02/02
BNXT League
Siauliai
#4
L
74-97
74
97
-23
63avg 76
H06/02
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 76
H09/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
68avg 76
A14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
79avg 76
H17/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
75-81
75
81
-6
64avg 76
A06/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
W
95-84
95
84
+11
99avg 76
H13/03
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
20-26
27-18
13-27
19-23
21-22
24-35
28-20
20-23
17-14
18-28
28-27
21-30
25-13
32-18
16-22
21-28
21-27
18-18
14-24
27-15
27-22
13-16
19-27
19-24
19-22
19-21
19-27
15-14
26-21
19-20
24-19
17-21
14-15
19-22
25-23
28-23
29-22
13-25
25-14
172.4Avg total
84.5Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.478.5156.9-0.057%
Season at home (10)78.978.0156.9+0.960%
Season away (11)78.078.9156.9-0.955%
Last 10 (10)84.587.9172.4-3.440%
Last 5 (5)83.282.6165.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.887.1166.9-7.438%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.380.1160.3+0.260%
vs Weaker (7)89.974.9164.7+15.086%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#6
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H23/01
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#13
W
72-59
72
59
+13
66avg 71
H28/01
BNXT League
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
86avg 71
H30/01
ENBL
Den Helder
#20
W
80-64
80
64
+16
76avg 71
A03/02
BNXT League
Lublin
#11
W
93-91
93
91
+2
94avg 71
A07/02
ENBL
LWD Basket
#17
W
79-71
79
71
+8
69avg 71
H10/02
BNXT League
Bakken Bears
#1
W
56-52
56
52
+4
51avg 71
A13/02
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
L
69-71
69
71
-2
64avg 71
A17/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
64-70
64
70
-6
58avg 71
H03/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 71
H07/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
14-23
20-29
26-12
14-11
22-16
14-15
22-17
22-21
28-19
25-19
11-21
20-16
18-19
23-16
19-13
30-21
19-16
16-32
28-22
21-15
25-24
17-17
16-15
18-11
9-18
17-12
12-11
19-16
11-19
18-15
21-21
8-21
18-24
22-15
16-10
17-17
15-13
21-19
19-20
145.6Avg total
74.7Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.267.8144.1+8.467%
Season at home (10)74.867.5142.3+7.370%
Season away (8)78.068.2146.2+9.862%
Last 10 (10)74.770.9145.6+3.870%
Last 5 (5)68.066.6134.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.675.4143.0-7.838%
vs Similar ◀ (9)69.966.8136.7+3.144%
vs Weaker (12)82.268.3150.5+13.892%
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
LiegeZwolle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A12/01
BNXT League
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A23/01
ENBL
Spirou Charleroi
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H26/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A02/02
BNXT League
Siauliai
#4
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H06/02
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H09/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H17/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H13/03
ENBL
86.0Avg total
43.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.640.281.9+1.441%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.038.681.6+4.464%-
Last 30 away (15)40.341.782.1-1.420%-
Last 10 (10)43.242.886.0+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.884.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.542.985.4-0.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.539.979.4-0.436%-
vs Weaker (7)44.938.082.9+6.957%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H23/01
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#13
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H28/01
BNXT League
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H30/01
ENBL
Den Helder
#20
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A03/02
BNXT League
Lublin
#11
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A07/02
ENBL
LWD Basket
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H10/02
BNXT League
Bakken Bears
#1
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A13/02
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H03/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H07/03
BNXT League
72.2Avg total
36.4Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.272.3+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.836.772.5-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)38.333.772.1+4.660%-
Last 10 (10)36.435.872.2+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)32.235.667.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.136.469.5-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.133.667.7+0.656%-
vs Weaker (12)41.136.978.0+4.267%-
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.5
52.7%
52.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.5
31.2%
33.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.018.2
75.8%
71.4%18.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.9
50.5%
52.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.5
34.6%
33.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.610.1
74.3%
71.4%10.1
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege
WLWLWLWLLL
Zwolle
WLLWWWWWWL
#6
League position
#12
-4.4
Net rating
+5.2
108.1
Offensive rating
102.4
112.5
Defensive rating
97.2
50.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
21.5%
Turnover %
19.0%
38.2%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.2%
3-point %
34.6%
63.1%
Assist %
62.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 102.4Defence112.5 · 97.2Shooting50.5% · 51.0%3-point %31.2% · 34.6%Ball care21.5% · 19.0%Off. rebounds38.2% · 28.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Liege   ■ Zwolle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Liege wins
1
Zwolle wins
DateGameScore
15/05/23Zwolle v Liege100-92
12/05/23Liege v Zwolle94-79
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24HJuventus95-84
06/03/24ADonar Groningen75-81
17/02/24HMechelen84-74
14/02/24AOostende76-94
09/02/24HAntwerp Giants86-80
06/02/24HSiauliai74-97
02/02/24AKortrijk94-83
26/01/24HSpirou Charleroi83-92
23/01/24ANewcastle Eagles92-100
12/01/24ACircus Brussels86-94
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HAntwerp Giants72-69
03/03/24HLimburg64-70
17/02/24ABAL Weert69-71
13/02/24ABakken Bears56-52
10/02/24HLWD Basket79-71
07/02/24ALublin93-91
03/02/24ADen Helder80-64
30/01/24HSpartak Pleven86-80
28/01/24HDonar Groningen72-59
23/01/24HFeyenoord76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayWLWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%60%55%
Points / game78.478.978.0
Allowed / game78.578.078.9
Point differential-0.0+0.9-0.9
Avg total156.9156.9156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zwolle
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeLWWLW70%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %67%70%62%
Points / game76.274.878.0
Allowed / game67.867.568.2
Point differential+8.4+7.3+9.8
Avg total144.1142.3146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2220291%80.971.0+10.0
2 Den Bosch1816289%81.969.1+12.8
3 Leiden1713476%77.969.2+8.8
4 Antwerp Giants2216673%81.872.3+9.5
5 Limburg2115671%77.471.6+5.8
6 Zwolle1812667%76.267.8+8.4
7 Liege2112957%78.478.5-0.0
8 Donar Groningen179853%71.468.3+3.1
9 Spirou Charleroi21111052%72.375.0-2.6
10 Circus Brussels21101148%78.076.9+1.0
11 BAL Weert178947%70.973.2-2.4
12 Mechelen2191243%75.076.1-1.0
13 Kortrijk2291341%77.880.3-2.5
14 Feyenoord1761135%72.280.1-7.9
15 Leuven Bears2161529%74.479.2-4.8
16 Belfius Mons2161529%75.582.1-6.6
17 Den Helder1851328%66.578.8-12.3
18 LWD Basket1741324%76.683.6-7.0
19 QSTA Utd1741324%73.280.6-7.5
20 Okapi Aalst2141719%75.982.6-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liege2132251290
Zwolle1813182170
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