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Kahramanmaras vs OGM Ormanspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Projected 86-79
Projected total 165.0
Final 81-75
22-20 14-19 17-20 28-16
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game74.4
Vs
71%
29%
■ KAHR 71%■ OOR 29%
Pythia win probability
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game83.0
TurkeyTBLRound 10· Kahramanmara
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kahramanmaras v OGM Ormanspor
07 Nov 2026
KAHR81
OOR75
21 Dec 2025
KAHR65
OOR96
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Kahramanmaras will host OGM Ormanspor on 7 November 2026 in the TBL, with the model favouring Kahramanmaras at 71% to 29% for the visitors; the projected score is 86-79 and the projected total 165.0 points, with a 5% chance of overtime. Kahramanmaras, 7-2 overall, averages 83.2 points scored and 74.4 allowed per game, sits fourth in the league, and has a 3-1 home record with 88.8 points per game and 77.8 allowed; their last five games were 4-1, including a 78-70 away win over Buyukcekmece, a 73-85 home loss to Mersin SK, and a 74-69 away win over Harem Spor. OGM Ormanspor, 4-4 overall, averages 84.2 points scored and 83.0 allowed, occupies eighth place, and has a 1-3 road record with 81.8 points per game and 84.2 allowed; their last five games were 4-1, featuring a 92-90 home win over Darussafaka, a 77-70 away win over Fenerbahce, and an 89-85 home win over Gaziantep. Historically, the teams have met twice, both times won by OGM Ormanspor, the last meeting on 13 April 2026 ending 100-83 in favour of the visitors.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kahramanmaras winWon
71.2%fair 1.41
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
OGM Ormanspor winLost
28.8%fair 3.47
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KahramanmarasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKahramanmaras
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#3
L
78-90
78
90
-12
68avg 75
A06/05
TBL
Goztepe
#4
L
72-73
72
73
-1
64avg 75
A12/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
W
83-72
83
72
+11
78avg 75
H19/09
TBL
Balikesir
#14
W
79-69
79
69
+10
76avg 75
A27/09
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
85-72
85
72
+13
73avg 75
H03/10
TBL
Final Spor
#6
W
91-78
91
78
+13
91avg 75
A07/10
TBL
CO Basket
#11
W
114-82
114
82
+32
120avg 75
H10/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#2
W
74-69
74
69
+5
62avg 75
A17/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
65avg 75
H24/10
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#7
W
78-70
78
70
+8
76avg 75
A01/11
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
21-22
17-19
19-26
20-20
12-18
19-13
21-22
27-17
20-17
23-16
13-22
23-13
18-23
16-8
22-25
27-17
17-16
20-18
21-21
33-12
22-23
15-21
21-22
32-16
28-19
36-22
18-25
20-23
12-20
24-10
18-16
18-28
20-14
22-24
13-19
21-25
20-13
16-23
21-9
158.7Avg total
82.7Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.274.4157.7+8.878%
Season at home (4)88.877.8166.5+11.075%
Season away (5)78.871.8150.6+7.080%
Last 10 (10)82.776.0158.7+6.770%
Last 5 (5)86.076.8162.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.990.4170.2-10.525%
vs Similar (15)83.381.6164.9+1.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)78.663.3141.9+15.3100%
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OGM OrmansporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrmanspor
Date
Competition
Goztepe
#5
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
78avg 82
H29/04
TBL
Goztepe
#5
L
119-121 OT
119
121
-2
109avg 82
A02/05
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
69avg 82
A13/09
TBL
Goztepe
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
67avg 82
H19/09
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#13
L
84-91
84
91
-7
80avg 82
A03/10
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
93-67
93
67
+26
94avg 82
H07/10
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#8
L
91-93
91
93
-2
84avg 82
A10/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
91avg 82
H17/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
77-70
77
70
+7
70avg 82
A23/10
TBL
Darussafaka
#12
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
88avg 82
H31/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
12-15
15-15
22-17
12-34
31-13
28-23
14-15
16-25
26-13
17-22
16-23
14-14
19-22
17-27
23-22
17-27
14-20
28-22
25-22
21-17
24-22
27-26
21-2
16-23
37-26
11-20
27-24
20-20
21-24
19-22
29-19
29-16
17-19
11-19
20-16
16-26
22-14
22-22
21-19
176.0Avg total
88.3Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.283.0167.2+1.250%
Season at home (4)86.881.8168.5+5.075%
Season away (4)81.884.2166.0-2.525%
Last 10 (10)88.387.7176.0+0.640%
Last 5 (5)88.481.0169.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.283.8158.0-9.525%
vs Similar (9)87.092.3179.3-5.322%
vs Weaker (17)83.171.9155.0+11.288%
This opponent (Kahramanmaras) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 155Actual: Over 155
Over 155
72.7%
Under 155
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 160Actual: Under 160
Over 160
61.4%
Under 160
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165Actual: Under 165
Over 165
49.1%
Under 165
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Kahramanmaras total 77.5Actual: Kahramanmaras over 77.5
Over 77.5
78.8%
Under 77.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kahramanmaras total 81.5Actual: Kahramanmaras under 81.5
Over 81.5
65.8%
Under 81.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kahramanmaras total 85.5Actual: Kahramanmaras under 85.5
Over 85.5
50.5%
Under 85.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OGM Ormanspor total 74.5Actual: OGM Ormanspor over 74.5
Over 74.5
67.5%
Under 74.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OGM Ormanspor total 78.5Actual: OGM Ormanspor under 78.5
Over 78.5
52.6%
Under 78.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OGM Ormanspor total 82.5Actual: OGM Ormanspor under 82.5
Over 82.5
37.4%
Under 82.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Kahramanmaras -3Actual: Kahramanmaras -3
KAHR -3
63.4%
OOR +3
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
KAHR
No market prices yet.
OOR
No market prices yet.
Spread Kahramanmaras 0Actual: Kahramanmaras 0
KAHR 0
71.2%
OOR 0
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
KAHR
No market prices yet.
OOR
No market prices yet.
Spread Kahramanmaras +3Actual: Kahramanmaras +3
KAHR +3
78.6%
OOR -3
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
KAHR
No market prices yet.
OOR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.9+3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.9+3.9
KahramanmarasOGM Ormanspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KahramanmarasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A06/05
TBL
Goztepe
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#15
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H19/09
TBL
Balikesir
#14
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A27/09
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H03/10
TBL
Final Spor
#6
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A07/10
TBL
CO Basket
#11
W
60-35
60
35
+25
H10/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A17/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H24/10
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A01/11
TBL
81.1Avg total
43.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.441.583.9+1.045%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.441.786.1+2.650%-
Last 30 away (15)40.741.381.9-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)43.237.981.1+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.238.683.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.946.689.5-3.812%-
vs Similar (15)40.041.381.3-1.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)48.035.283.2+12.8100%-
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OGM OrmansporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goztepe
#5
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H29/04
TBL
Goztepe
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A02/05
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A13/09
TBL
Goztepe
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H19/09
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#13
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A03/10
TBL
Konya BBSK
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H07/10
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#8
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A10/10
TBL
Gaziantep
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H17/10
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A23/10
TBL
Darussafaka
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H31/10
TBL
81.6Avg total
40.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.839.882.6+3.048%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.638.279.8+3.443%-
Last 30 away (15)43.941.385.1+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.281.6-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.641.486.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.240.277.5-3.025%-
vs Similar (9)42.845.087.8-2.222%-
vs Weaker (16)44.136.880.9+7.469%-
This opponent (Kahramanmaras) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kahramanmarastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kahramanmaras: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.9
56.0%
53.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.7
31.3%
33.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.012.8
71.1%
71.2%12.8
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
OGM Ormansportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

OGM Ormanspor: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.823.0
57.8%
53.0%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.9
29.2%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.518.5
78.7%
71.2%18.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kahramanmaras
WLWWWWWWLL
OGM Ormanspor
WWWLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#9
+9.2
Net rating
-7.5
98.0
Offensive rating
86.6
88.8
Defensive rating
94.2
52.2%
Effective FG%
52.1%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
13.2%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.3%
3-point %
29.2%
62.7%
Assist %
64.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 86.6Defence88.8 · 94.2Shooting52.2% · 52.1%3-point %31.3% · 29.2%Ball care13.2% · 15.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Kahramanmaras   ■ OGM Ormanspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kahramanmaras wins
2
OGM Ormanspor wins
DateGameScore
13/04/26OGM Ormanspor v Kahramanmaras100-83
21/12/25Kahramanmaras v OGM Ormanspor65-96
Kahramanmaraslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ABuyukcekmece78-70
24/10/26HMersin SK73-85
17/10/26AHarem Spor74-69
10/10/26HCO Basket114-82
07/10/26AFinal Spor91-78
03/10/26HKecioren Baglum85-72
27/09/26ABalikesir79-69
19/09/26HAnkara Kolejliler83-72
12/09/26AGoztepe72-73
06/05/26AGaziantep78-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HDarussafaka92-90 OT
23/10/26AFenerbahce 277-70
17/10/26HGaziantep89-85
10/10/26AiLab Basketbol91-93
07/10/26HKonya BBSK93-67
03/10/26AMKE Ankaragucu84-91
19/09/26HGoztepe73-85
13/09/26ABuyukcekmece75-83
02/05/26AGoztepe119-121 OT
29/04/26HGoztepe90-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kahramanmaras
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game83.288.878.8
Allowed / game74.477.871.8
Point differential+8.8+11.0+7.0
Avg total157.7166.5150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
OGM Ormanspor
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game84.286.881.8
Allowed / game83.081.884.2
Point differential+1.2+5.0-2.5
Avg total167.2168.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mersin SK880100%90.674.6+16.0
2 Goztepe87188%85.977.2+8.6
3 Harem Spor97278%80.467.2+13.2
4 Kahramanmaras97278%83.274.4+8.8
5 Gaziantep85362%78.676.6+2.0
6 Buyukcekmece95456%79.777.6+2.1
7 Final Spor95456%80.179.3+0.8
8 OGM Ormanspor84450%84.283.0+1.2
9 iLab Basketbol84450%85.086.2-1.2
10 CO Basket94544%74.481.8-7.3
11 Fenerbahce 283538%72.978.8-5.9
12 MKE Ankaragucu83538%79.490.8-11.4
13 Darussafaka93633%76.083.4-7.4
14 Ankara Kolejliler103730%74.980.4-5.5
15 Konya BBSK82625%81.083.9-2.9
16 Balikesir92722%73.278.3-5.1
17 Kecioren Baglum91811%82.887.4-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kahramanmaras2214172881
OGM Ormanspor2019201675
← all games of the day
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