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Kansas State vs Arizona State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 71-66
38-31 33-35
Position#216
Record15-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game69.7
Kansas State 🏆
USA
vs
Arizona State
USA
Position#285
Record13-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game76.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kansas State v Arizona State
11 Mar 2025
KANS71
ARIZ66
23 Feb 2025
KANS54
ARIZ66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#285
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A05/02
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H12/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A16/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H23/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
36-38
44-36
37-37
35-29
38-41
22-40
43-40
32-32
37-42
28-34
26-32
34-41
42-39
33-22
32-34
22-25
32-24
26-34
31-39
135.6Avg total
66.5Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)71.369.7141.0+1.648%
Season at home (19)73.467.3140.7+6.163%
Season away (12)67.973.5141.4-5.625%
Last 10 (10)66.569.1135.6-2.650%
Last 5 (5)61.264.8126.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.473.0142.4-3.636%
vs Similar ◀ (12)67.067.4134.4-0.450%
vs Weaker (4)86.266.2152.5+20.075%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#216
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H05/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A09/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
106-111 OT
106
111
-5
A13/02
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H16/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H19/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A23/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H27/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
L
73-99
73
99
-26
A02/03
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
100-113
100
113
-13
A05/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
57-85
57
85
-28
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-35
38-36
33-43
40-43
45-44
45-46
31-38
39-36
31-47
34-33
34-28
32-26
37-47
44-44
43-41
30-58
47-55
53-58
32-36
25-49
162.5Avg total
76.1Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.276.6150.8-2.542%
Season at home (18)75.075.4150.4-0.444%
Season away (13)73.178.4151.5-5.338%
Last 10 (10)76.186.4162.5-10.310%
Last 5 (5)75.488.4163.8-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)73.280.8154.0-7.530%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.773.3150.0+3.356%
vs Weaker (1)90.053.0143.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -4.9-4.9
Kansas StateArizona State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#285
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Arizona
#88
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A16/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H23/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A27/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H08/03
NCAA
63.6Avg total
31.1Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.432.065.4+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.730.966.6+4.867%-
Last 30 away (12)30.133.763.8-3.642%-
Last 10 (10)31.132.563.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)28.631.259.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.633.666.2-0.957%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.430.763.1+1.750%-
vs Weaker (4)39.230.569.8+8.875%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#216
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A09/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A13/02
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H16/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H19/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A23/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H27/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A02/03
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A05/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H09/03
NCAA
77.9Avg total
36.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.436.672.0-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.037.173.1-1.141%-
Last 30 away (13)34.636.070.6-1.446%-
Last 10 (10)36.541.477.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.480.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)34.837.572.2-2.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.335.271.6+1.144%-
vs Weaker (1)40.033.073.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kansas State wins
1
Arizona State wins
DateGameScore
23/02/25Kansas State v Arizona State54-66
05/02/25Arizona State v Kansas State70-71
Kansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HIowa State57-73
06/03/25ACincinnati54-49
02/03/25HColorado65-56
27/02/25AUCF Knights76-80
23/02/25HArizona State54-66
18/02/25AUtah Utes69-74
16/02/25ABrigham Young65-80
12/02/25HArizona73-70
08/02/25HKansas81-73
05/02/25AArizona State71-70
Arizona Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HTexas Tech57-85
05/03/25AArizona100-113
02/03/25AUtah Utes73-99
27/02/25HBrigham Young81-91
23/02/25AKansas State66-54
19/02/25HHouston65-80
16/02/25HTCU70-74
13/02/25ATexas Tech106-111 OT
09/02/25AOklahoma State73-86
05/02/25HKansas State70-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kansas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL48%
HomeWWLWL63%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %48%63%25%
Points / game71.373.467.9
Allowed / game69.767.373.5
Point differential+1.6+6.1-5.6
Avg total141.0140.7141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)40% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Arizona State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL42%
HomeLLLLL44%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %42%44%38%
Points / game74.275.073.1
Allowed / game76.675.478.4
Point differential-2.5-0.4-5.3
Avg total150.8150.4151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %6%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3127487%74.258.1+16.1
2 Texas Tech3124777%81.166.8+14.3
3 Iowa State3123874%80.167.5+12.6
4 Brigham Young3123874%81.470.1+11.3
5 Arizona31201165%82.072.1+9.9
6 Kansas31201165%75.567.9+7.6
7 West Virginia31191261%68.464.7+3.7
8 Baylor31181358%76.769.4+7.4
9 Cincinnati32181456%71.065.4+5.6
10 Utah Utes31161552%75.471.7+3.7
11 UCF Knights31161552%78.679.8-1.2
12 TCU32161650%67.668.7-1.2
13 Kansas State31151648%71.369.7+1.6
14 Oklahoma State32151747%72.676.5-3.9
15 Arizona State31131842%74.276.6-2.5
16 Colorado32131941%70.171.7-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kansas State383371
Arizona State313566
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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