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Karaganda vs Atyrau 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 95-97 (OT)
18-26 27-17 24-11 19-34 7-9
Position#7
Record4-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#6
Record13-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game68.2
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Karaganda v Atyrau 2
18 Dec 2025
KARA95
ATYR97
16 Dec 2025
KARA72
ATYR80
08 Apr 2024
KARA20
ATYR0
11 Dec 2023
KARA62
ATYR86
12 Oct 2023
KARA72
ATYR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karaganda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atyrau 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KaragandaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaraganda
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
59-84
59
84
-25
46avg 55
A16/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
83-64
83
64
+19
72avg 55
H17/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
80-60
80
60
+20
62avg 55
A18/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
90-97
90
97
-7
79avg 55
H27/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
60-101
60
101
-41
39avg 55
A28/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
69avg 55
H29/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
59-84
59
84
-25
45avg 55
A30/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
112-72
112
72
+40
112avg 55
A15/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
55avg 55
H16/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
86-63
86
63
+23
84avg 55
A17/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
12-18
13-30
19-7
34-10
14-15
13-14
22-25
16-23
18-18
21-13
25-6
20-24
27-27
26-27
17-19
12-30
19-27
15-27
14-17
20-23
17-24
26-33
15-14
19-25
12-25
19-20
9-14
25-12
31-19
33-22
23-19
20-23
25-9
13-26
14-22
15-12
35-21
14-17
22-13
157.8Avg total
77.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.380.2156.6-3.933%
Season at home (5)80.883.6164.4-2.820%
Season away (7)73.177.9151.0-4.743%
Last 10 (10)77.979.9157.8-2.040%
Last 5 (5)81.478.6160.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)51.676.4128.0-24.85%
vs Similar ◀ (4)52.260.2112.5-8.025%
vs Weaker (5)88.468.4156.8+20.080%
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atyrau 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
56-78
56
78
-22
46avg 73
H10/11
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
71-60
71
60
+11
63avg 73
A11/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
92-51
92
51
+41
84avg 73
A12/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
57-99
57
99
-42
no box
A22/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
72-71
72
71
+1
59avg 73
H23/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
72-95
72
95
-23
62avg 73
A24/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
69-63
69
63
+6
no box
H25/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
92-35
92
35
+57
97avg 73
H15/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 73
A16/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
86-55
86
55
+31
79avg 73
H17/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
16-16
15-27
8-20
22-11
14-13
16-17
19-19
27-11
23-11
18-20
24-9
15-25
15-27
14-31
13-16
20-15
20-25
17-17
15-14
15-22
29-26
17-19
11-28
17-18
13-15
18-21
21-9
27-11
23-11
20-8
22-5
23-20
9-25
26-13
22-14
27-7
20-17
20-14
19-17
142.6Avg total
74.7Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.168.2145.3+8.876%
Season at home (8)76.461.5137.9+14.988%
Season away (9)77.774.2151.9+3.467%
Last 10 (10)74.767.9142.6+6.870%
Last 5 (5)79.864.0143.8+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)55.561.5116.9-6.031%
vs Similar ◀ (3)48.056.0104.0-8.033%
vs Weaker (14)79.268.4147.6+10.879%
This opponent (Karaganda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
KaragandaAtyrau 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KaragandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A16/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H17/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A18/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H27/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A28/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H29/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A30/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A15/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H16/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A17/12
Higher League
82.0Avg total
40.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)33.440.874.2-7.423%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.440.975.3-6.533%-
Last 30 away (14)32.540.773.2-8.214%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.482.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.682.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)28.844.172.8-15.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.330.370.7+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (5)45.835.481.2+10.460%-
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atyrau 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H10/11
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A11/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
50-22
50
22
+28
A12/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A22/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H23/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A24/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H25/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H15/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/12
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H17/12
Higher League
73.3Avg total
39.2Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)37.134.871.9+2.352%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.930.168.0+7.869%-
Last 30 away (14)36.439.275.6-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)39.234.173.3+5.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.475.0+6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.636.670.3-3.045%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)32.541.073.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (14)40.532.573.0+8.064%-
This opponent (Karaganda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Karaganda wins
4
Atyrau 2 wins
DateGameScore
16/12/25Karaganda v Atyrau 272-80
08/04/24Karaganda v Atyrau 220-0
14/12/23Atyrau 2 v Karaganda64-76
11/12/23Karaganda v Atyrau 262-86
12/10/23Karaganda v Atyrau 272-74
09/04/23Atyrau 2 v Karaganda59-55
18/11/22Atyrau 2 v Karaganda61-66
23/10/22Atyrau 2 v Karaganda61-77
24/03/21Atyrau 2 v Karaganda64-83
03/02/21Atyrau 2 v Karaganda56-85
Karagandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25AKaspiy Aktau 286-63
16/12/25HAtyrau 272-80
15/12/25AKaspiy Aktau 2112-72
30/11/25ATuran59-84
29/11/25HShymkent78-94
28/11/25ATuran60-101
27/11/25HShymkent90-97
18/11/25APavlodar80-60
17/11/25HTigers-KazATU83-64
16/11/25ABars Petropavlovsk59-84
Atyrau 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HPavlodar86-55
16/12/25AKaraganda80-72
15/12/25HPavlodar92-35
25/11/25HTobol Kostanay 269-63
24/11/25AChelSU Kostanay72-95
23/11/25HTobol Kostanay 272-71
22/11/25AChelSU Kostanay57-99
12/11/25AKaspiy Aktau 292-51
11/11/25ACHAMP1ON71-60
10/11/25HBC Almaty 256-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karaganda
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %33%20%43%
Points / game76.380.873.1
Allowed / game80.283.677.9
Point differential-3.9-2.8-4.7
Avg total156.6164.4151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Atyrau 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %76%88%67%
Points / game77.176.477.7
Allowed / game68.261.574.2
Point differential+8.8+14.9+3.4
Avg total145.3137.9151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan18180100%89.660.4+29.2
2 Aktobe1211192%84.668.8+15.8
3 Shymkent1816289%97.669.8+27.7
4 Atyrau 21713476%77.168.2+8.8
5 Bars Petropavlovsk1611569%83.463.9+19.6
6 Arlans74357%75.071.6+3.4
7 ChelSU Kostanay148657%76.478.7-2.3
8 BC Almaty 2124833%73.876.9-3.1
9 Karaganda124833%76.380.2-3.9
10 Tigers-KazATU1651131%67.181.5-14.4
11 CHAMP1ON123925%67.676.3-8.8
12 Pavlodar1321115%53.787.3-33.6
13 Tobol Kostanay 21421214%70.184.9-14.8
14 AiRom71614%66.483.9-17.4
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2181176%57.283.9-26.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Karaganda18272419795
Atyrau 226171134997
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