Karaganda vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Nov 2025

Tip-off: 05:00

Final 90-97

20-24 27-27 26-27 17-19

Position#7

Record2-3

FormLLLWW

Points / game71.8

Allowed / game74.4

Karaganda

Shymkent 🏆

Position#2

Record8-2

FormWWWWL

Points / game97.0

Allowed / game71.5

Higher League

Other2025-26

Meetings · Karaganda v Shymkent

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karaganda winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Shymkent winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karaganda

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKaraganda

Date

Competition

Bars Petropavlovsk

48-64

-16

35avg 51

H06/03

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

0-20

-20

no box

A06/04

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

0-20

-20

no box

H08/04

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

0-20

-20

no box

A09/04

Higher League

Shymkent

0-20

-20

no box

H10/04

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

56-81

-25

43avg 51

A14/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

81-83

-2

69avg 51

H15/11

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

59-84

-25

46avg 51

A16/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

83-64

+19

72avg 51

H17/11

Higher League

Pavlodar

#14

80-60

+20

62avg 51

A18/11

Higher League

12-24

9-14

10-20

17-6

–

18-10

10-22

13-28

15-21

21-19

20-28

29-14

11-22

15-29

12-18

13-30

19-7

34-10

14-15

13-14

22-25

16-23

18-18

21-13

25-6

92.3Avg total

40.7Scored

51.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	71.8	74.4	146.2	-2.6	40%
Season at home (2)	82.0	73.5	155.5	+8.5	50%
Season away (3)	65.0	75.0	140.0	-10.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	40.7	51.6	92.3	-10.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	74.4	146.2	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	50.6	75.3	125.9	-24.8	9%
vs Similar (4)	49.8	56.5	106.2	-6.8	25%
vs Weaker (3)	81.3	69.0	150.3	+12.3	67%

This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Shymkent

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormShymkent

Date

Competition

CHAMP1ON

104-70

104

+34

100avg 80

A22/10

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

96-64

+32

no box

H23/10

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

102-55

102

+47

107avg 80

A24/10

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

93-66

+27

81avg 80

H25/10

Higher League

Turan

68-80

-12

58avg 80

H26/10

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

112-68

112

+44

106avg 80

H11/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

108-73

108

+35

97avg 80

A12/11

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

112-79

112

+33

106avg 80

H13/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

102-72

102

+30

97avg 80

A14/11

Higher League

Turan

73-88

-15

52avg 80

H15/11

Higher League

30-16

19-17

32-12

23-25

28-17

28-12

24-21

16-14

34-15

21-14

29-11

18-15

27-22

22-20

27-11

17-13

21-19

15-27

15-13

17-21

26-17

31-18

32-22

23-11

32-15

28-12

20-23

28-23

36-24

28-22

26-14

22-19

29-17

29-16

29-23

15-16

21-28

17-15

11-23

24-22

168.5Avg total

97.0Scored

71.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	97.0	71.5	168.5	+25.5	80%
Season at home (6)	92.3	74.2	166.5	+18.2	67%
Season away (4)	104.0	67.5	171.5	+36.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	97.0	71.5	168.5	+25.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	101.4	76.0	177.4	+25.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	71.0	76.3	147.3	-5.3	67%
vs Similar (5)	72.0	79.6	151.6	-7.6	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	91.8	61.9	153.7	+29.9	100%

This opponent (Karaganda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KaragandaShymkent

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	15.7	20.5	36.2	-4.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.4	20.9	36.3	-5.5	23%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.9	20.1	36.0	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (6)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	14.3	21.9	36.2	-7.5	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.3	14.7	31.0	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	17.3	41.0	+6.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	25.8	18.3	44.1	+7.4	76%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.8	19.1	44.9	+6.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (13)	25.8	17.4	43.2	+8.4	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.4	19.0	47.4	+9.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	20.2	49.0	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.6	23.6	45.2	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	27.9	16.8	44.6	+11.1	90%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	13.8	20.7	34.5	-6.9	15%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	13.8	20.8	34.7	-7.0	23%	-
Last 30 away (13)	13.8	20.6	34.4	-6.8	8%	-
Last 10 (6)	13.8	19.2	33.0	-5.3	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	20.2	35.0	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	12.9	21.7	34.6	-8.8	10%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.3	14.7	31.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.3	20.3	37.7	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.1	14.8	37.9	+8.3	90%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	15.3	38.0	+7.4	94%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.5	14.2	37.7	+9.4	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	17.3	41.1	+6.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	16.6	43.2	+10.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	15.3	36.7	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.2	18.6	34.8	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	25.0	13.8	38.8	+11.1	100%	-

KaragandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bars Petropavlovsk

21-38

-17

H06/03

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

28-32

-4

A14/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

41-47

-6

H15/11

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

27-47

-20

A16/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

48-25

+23

H17/11

Higher League

Pavlodar

#14

34-41

-7

A18/11

Higher League

71.5Avg total

33.2Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	29.5	41.2	70.7	-11.8	12%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	29.2	41.8	71.0	-12.5	23%	-
Last 30 away (13)	29.7	40.7	70.4	-11.0	0%	-
Last 10 (6)	33.2	38.3	71.5	-5.2	17%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	38.4	74.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	27.2	43.5	70.8	-16.3	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	32.7	29.3	62.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	37.7	78.7	+3.3	33%	-

This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CHAMP1ON

49-33

+16

A22/10

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

56-29

+27

H23/10

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

55-29

+26

A24/10

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

49-42

H25/10

Higher League

Turan

36-46

-10

H26/10

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

57-35

+22

H11/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

60-27

+33

A12/11

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

64-46

+18

H13/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

58-33

+25

A14/11

Higher League

Turan

38-43

-5

H15/11

Higher League

88.5Avg total

52.2Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	48.8	33.1	82.0	+15.7	79%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.4	34.4	82.9	+14.0	81%	-
Last 30 away (13)	49.3	31.5	80.8	+17.8	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.2	36.3	88.5	+15.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.4	36.8	92.2	+18.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.3	36.0	75.3	+3.3	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.8	42.2	80.0	-4.4	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	52.8	30.6	83.4	+22.2	100%	-

This opponent (Karaganda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	16.3	20.8	37.2	-4.5	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.5	20.3	37.8	-2.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.2	21.4	36.6	-6.2	31%	-
Last 10 (6)	16.5	19.8	36.3	-3.3	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.8	37.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	15.2	22.2	37.4	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	13.7	34.7	+7.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	18.2	39.1	+2.8	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.8	19.8	42.6	+2.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	17.3	41.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.0	44.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	7.7	19.7	27.3	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	17.0	34.4	+0.4	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.7	18.2	41.9	+5.4	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	15.8	17.9	33.8	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	14.1	19.5	33.5	-5.4	23%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.6	16.4	34.0	+1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (6)	18.2	14.5	32.7	+3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.2	34.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	15.7	17.9	33.6	-2.2	45%	-
vs Similar (3)	13.3	18.3	31.7	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	17.3	36.2	+1.7	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	16.5	35.4	+2.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.0	20.7	44.7	+3.3	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.8	20.4	37.2	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	18.8	16.0	34.8	+2.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	32.2	38.8	71.0	-6.6	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	31.5	39.8	71.3	-8.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	32.8	37.8	70.6	-4.9	23%	-
Last 10 (6)	34.7	34.3	69.0	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	36.0	72.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	30.9	40.1	71.0	-9.2	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	32.7	37.3	70.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	31.3	71.7	+9.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.9	35.4	75.3	+4.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.4	33.3	71.7	+5.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.8	38.1	79.8	+3.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	35.2	80.0	+9.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	39.2	85.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	31.7	40.3	72.0	-8.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	34.2	37.4	71.6	-3.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	42.4	34.3	76.7	+8.1	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Karaganda wins

Shymkent wins

Date	Game	Score
10/04/25	Karaganda v Shymkent	0-20
04/03/25	Karaganda v Shymkent	55-90
29/01/25	Karaganda v Shymkent	73-91
13/12/24	Karaganda v Shymkent	67-115
08/11/24	Karaganda v Shymkent	63-79
09/04/24	Shymkent v Karaganda	75-60
15/12/23	Karaganda v Shymkent	74-116
12/12/23	Shymkent v Karaganda	101-56
13/10/23	Shymkent v Karaganda	78-69
12/03/23	Karaganda v Shymkent	68-78

Karagandalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/25	A	Pavlodar	80-60
17/11/25	H	Tigers-KazATU	83-64
16/11/25	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	59-84
15/11/25	H	Tigers-KazATU	81-83
14/11/25	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	56-81
10/04/25	H	Shymkent	0-20
09/04/25	A	Tigers-KazATU	0-20
08/04/25	H	CHAMP1ON	0-20
06/04/25	A	ChelSU Kostanay	0-20
06/03/25	H	Bars Petropavlovsk	48-64

Shymkentlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/25	H	Turan	73-88
14/11/25	A	ChelSU Kostanay	102-72
13/11/25	H	Tobol Kostanay 2	112-79
12/11/25	A	ChelSU Kostanay	108-73
11/11/25	H	Tobol Kostanay 2	112-68
26/10/25	H	Turan	68-80
25/10/25	H	BC Almaty 2	93-66
24/10/25	A	CHAMP1ON	102-55
23/10/25	H	BC Almaty 2	96-64
22/10/25	A	CHAMP1ON	104-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karaganda

Higher League 2025-26

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	40%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Points / game	71.8	82.0	65.0
Allowed / game	74.4	73.5	75.0
Point differential	-2.6	+8.5	-10.0
Avg total	146.2	155.5	140.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Shymkent

Higher League 2025-26

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	80%
Home	WLWWL	67%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	80%	67%	100%
Points / game	97.0	92.3	104.0
Allowed / game	71.5	74.2	67.5
Point differential	+25.5	+18.2	+36.5
Avg total	168.5	166.5	171.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	80%	67%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bars Petropavlovsk	10	10	0	100%	93.0	54.0	+39.0
2	Aktobe	4	4	0	100%	95.2	66.8	+28.5
3	Turan	10	10	0	100%	85.7	61.6	+24.1
4	Shymkent	10	8	2	80%	97.0	71.5	+25.5
5	Atyrau 2	14	10	4	71%	75.1	71.3	+3.9
6	Arlans	7	4	3	57%	75.0	71.6	+3.4
7	ChelSU Kostanay	14	8	6	57%	76.4	78.7	-2.3
8	Tigers-KazATU	10	5	5	50%	70.6	77.0	-6.4
9	BC Almaty 2	10	4	6	40%	71.3	73.7	-2.4
10	Karaganda	5	2	3	40%	71.8	74.4	-2.6
11	CHAMP1ON	10	3	7	30%	68.1	75.9	-7.8
12	Tobol Kostanay 2	14	2	12	14%	70.1	84.9	-14.8
13	AiRom	7	1	6	14%	66.4	83.9	-17.4
14	Kaspiy Aktau 2	14	1	13	7%	55.2	82.9	-27.6
15	Pavlodar	5	0	5	0%	49.0	79.2	-30.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Karaganda	20	27	26	17	90
Shymkent	24	27	27	19	97

← all games of the day

Karaganda vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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