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Karhu Basket vs Helsinki Seagulls Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Projected 79-75
Projected total 154.5
Scheduled
Position#4
Record2-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game82.3
Vs
62%
38%
■ KAH 62%■ HELS 38%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game80.3
FinlandSuomen CupSuomen Cup - Quarter-finals· IKH Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Karhu Basket v Helsinki Seagulls
19 Dec 2026
KAH v HELS
upcoming
17 Nov 2026
KAH v HELS
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
KAH91
HELS76
14 Feb 2026
KAH82
HELS79
24 Jan 2026
KAH79
HELS74
06 May 2025
KAH56
HELS68
29 Apr 2025
KAH80
HELS89
05 Mar 2025
KAH90
HELS71
09 Oct 2024
KAH80
HELS78
02 May 2024
KAH78
HELS73
27 Apr 2024
KAH50
HELS67
22 Apr 2024
KAH73
HELS80
10 Feb 2024
KAH90
HELS77
28 Oct 2023
KAH75
HELS76
13 May 2023
KAH79
HELS76
08 May 2023
KAH96
HELS72
02 May 2023
KAH54
HELS70
22 Mar 2023
KAH86
HELS84
13 Jan 2023
KAH64
HELS78
07 Dec 2022
KAH85
HELS73
24 Apr 2022
KAH116
HELS78
19 Apr 2022
KAH86
HELS94
14 Apr 2022
KAH79
HELS65
16 Feb 2022
KAH101
HELS98
30 Jan 2022
KAH96
HELS76
27 Jan 2021
KAH107
HELS88
29 Jan 2020
KAH91
HELS71
20 Oct 2019
KAH93
HELS100
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Karhu Basket host Helsinki Seagulls on 17 November 2026 in the Suomen Cup, with the model designating Karhu Basket as the favourite and forecasting a 62% chance of a home win against a 38% chance for the visitors, projecting a 79-75 score and 154.5 total points; the 5% probability of overtime suggests a tightly contested match. Karhu Basket have played three games this season, winning two and losing one, averaging 85.3 points scored and 82.3 points allowed, and sit in fourth place; at home they are 0-1, having scored 88.0 and allowed 95.0 in their sole outing, and their last five games record is 3-2. Their recent results include a 77-72 home win over Pyrinto Tampere, a 76-68 away win over Helsinki Seagulls, and a 119-78 home victory over Honka. Helsinki Seagulls also record 2-1 over three games, scoring 82.0 and allowing 80.3, and are 1-0 on the road, with 93.0 points scored and 85.0 allowed; their last five games are 3-2 as well. Their recent outcomes feature a 98-83 home win over Kipina, a 68-76 loss to Karhu Basket at home, and a 98-80 home win over Kouvot Kouvola. Historically the teams have met ten times, with Karhu Basket winning six and Helsinki Seagulls four, the most recent encounter ending 76-68 in favour of Karhu Basket on 10 November 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket win
62.4%fair 1.60
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Helsinki Seagulls win
37.6%fair 2.66
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 07:37 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 71
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
90avg 71
A10/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
91-76
91
76
+15
91avg 71
H17/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
95avg 71
A21/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
73-68
73
68
+5
65avg 71
H23/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
80-101
80
101
-21
67avg 71
A31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
A04/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
W
119-78
119
78
+41
no box
H07/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#5
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A10/11
Suomen Cup
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
no box
H14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
20-19
12-14
16-22
13-15
29-26
26-16
12-23
18-24
28-17
17-19
28-16
18-22
19-19
24-26
34-28
29-11
19-13
10-26
15-18
16-28
24-23
20-30
20-20
22-19
27-23
13-19
17-26
44-18
25-15
29-32
21-13
17-17
23-18
23-16
13-17
24-20
18-16
20-16
15-20
169.3Avg total
86.4Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.382.3167.7+3.067%
Season at home (1)88.095.0183.0-7.00%
Season away (2)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.482.9169.3+3.550%
Last 5 (5)86.281.2167.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.590.5165.0-16.18%
vs Similar ◀ (11)88.581.7170.2+6.773%
vs Weaker (6)82.582.3164.8+0.250%
This opponent (Helsinki Seagulls) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helsinki SeagullsFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSeagulls
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
L
67-88
67
88
-21
60avg 71
A06/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
84-56
84
56
+28
42avg 71
H09/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
L
76-91
76
91
-15
61avg 71
A17/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
64-79
64
79
-15
53avg 71
A24/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 71
H27/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
90avg 71
H30/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
91-94
91
94
-3
no box
A03/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
98-80
98
80
+18
no box
H06/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#4
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
H10/11
Suomen Cup
Kipina
#1
W
98-83
98
83
+15
no box
H13/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
15-16
11-26
18-25
15-11
22-21
20-9
27-15
24-18
17-28
19-17
16-28
15-16
23-24
12-17
14-22
26-13
18-25
23-19
19-22
22-20
24-31
25-15
23-26
25-28
31-21
23-22
12-23
21-24
24-15
21-15
32-26
17-17
18-23
16-23
17-13
26-23
35-19
19-28
18-13
164.4Avg total
82.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.080.3162.3+1.767%
Season at home (2)76.578.0154.5-1.550%
Season away (1)93.085.0178.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.681.8164.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)89.885.0174.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.488.2168.6-7.840%
vs Similar ◀ (21)80.383.1163.4-2.843%
vs Weaker (4)85.871.5157.2+14.2100%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 154
Over 154
50.5%
Under 154
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159
Over 159
38.3%
Under 159
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164
Over 164
27.4%
Under 164
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Karhu Basket total 77
Over 77
58.1%
Under 77
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karhu Basket total 81
Over 81
42.0%
Under 81
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karhu Basket total 85
Over 85
27.1%
Under 85
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsinki Seagulls total 74
Over 74
55.5%
Under 74
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsinki Seagulls total 78
Over 78
39.6%
Under 78
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsinki Seagulls total 82
Over 82
25.5%
Under 82
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Karhu Basket -3
KAH -3
53.6%
HELS +3
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
KAH
No market prices yet.
HELS
No market prices yet.
Spread Karhu Basket 0
KAH 0
62.4%
HELS 0
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
KAH
No market prices yet.
HELS
No market prices yet.
Spread Karhu Basket +3
KAH +3
70.9%
HELS -3
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
KAH
No market prices yet.
HELS
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
Karhu BasketHelsinki Seagulls
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A10/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H17/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A21/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H23/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A04/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
W
69-33
69
33
+36
H07/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A10/11
Suomen Cup
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/11
Korisliiga
83.8Avg total
45.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.285.8-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.642.184.7+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)40.746.386.9-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)45.738.183.8+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)48.039.487.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.750.088.7-11.38%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.140.484.5+3.764%-
vs Weaker (6)43.538.782.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Helsinki Seagulls) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helsinki SeagullsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A06/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H09/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A17/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A24/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H27/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H30/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A03/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H06/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H10/11
Suomen Cup
Kipina
#1
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H13/11
Korisliiga
85.5Avg total
44.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.986.5-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.541.582.9+0.047%-
Last 30 away (15)43.846.390.1-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.485.5+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.292.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)46.645.692.2+1.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)41.944.786.5-2.838%-
vs Weaker (4)41.837.579.2+4.275%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.3
51.4%
-36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.4
32.7%
-31.2
🏀 Free throws18.813.6
72.3%
-13.6
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helsinki Seagullstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helsinki Seagulls: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
-37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.9
28.2%
-23.7
🏀 Free throws16.010.8
67.5%
-10.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
WWWLLWLWLL
Helsinki Seagulls
WLWLWWLLWL
#4
League position
#5
-5.2
Net rating
-9.6
91.4
Offensive rating
84.9
96.6
Defensive rating
94.5
50.3%
Effective FG%
47.3%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.7%
3-point %
28.2%
57.1%
Assist %
70.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ Helsinki Seagulls
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPyrinto Tampere77-72
10/11/26AHelsinki Seagulls76-68
07/11/26HHonka119-78
04/11/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki79-87
31/10/26AKataja80-101
23/10/26HLahti Basketball73-68
21/10/26ALahti Basketball102-108 OT
17/10/26HHelsinki Seagulls91-76
10/10/26AKipina95-98 OT
06/10/26HBisons Loimaa72-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HKipina98-83
10/11/26HKarhu Basket68-76
06/11/26HKouvot Kouvola98-80
03/11/26AHonka91-94
30/10/26HPyrinto Tampere94-92
27/10/26HSalon Vilpas86-79
24/10/26ASalon Vilpas64-79
17/10/26AKarhu Basket76-91
09/10/26HBisons Loimaa84-56
06/10/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki67-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Suomen Cup 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game85.388.084.0
Allowed / game82.395.076.0
Point differential+3.0-7.0+8.0
Avg total167.7183.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Helsinki Seagulls
Suomen Cup 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game82.076.593.0
Allowed / game80.378.085.0
Point differential+1.7-1.5+8.0
Avg total162.3154.5178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Salon Vilpas330100%99.778.7+21.0
2 KTP Kotka Basket330100%95.780.0+15.7
3 Kouvot Kouvola32167%85.779.0+6.7
4 Karhu Basket32167%85.382.3+3.0
5 Helsinki Seagulls32167%82.080.3+1.7
6 Kataja32167%80.780.7+0.0
7 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki31233%85.087.7-2.7
8 Bisons Loimaa31233%74.091.7-17.7
9 Lahti Basketball2020%76.581.0-4.5
10 Kipina2020%81.089.0-8.0
11 Pyrinto Tampere2020%70.582.0-11.5
12 Honka2020%77.094.5-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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