Kataja vs Karhu Basket Result & Analysis

Kataja host Karhu Basket in the Korisliiga. Pythia makes Kataja the favourite at 60% and projects 84-81, about 165 points in all (over 168.5: 40%). On the market's main spread (Kataja -1) Pythia gives Kataja 59% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Kataja are 2-5 this season (84.1 scored, 87.4 allowed a game), form LLLLL; Karhu Basket are 3-4 this season (84.0 scored, 83.0 allowed a game), form LLWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon

60.3%fair 1.66

Best odds1.88

Implied50.8%

Edge+9.5pp

Karhu Basket winLost

39.7%fair 2.52

Best odds2.16

Implied49.2%

Edge-9.5pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kataja

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKataja

Date

Competition

Salon Vilpas

69-100

100

-31

56avg 76

A19/05

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

85-93

-8

no box

H09/09

Suomen Cup

Lahti Basketball

77-73

no box

A19/09

Suomen Cup

Helsinki Seagulls

102-83

102

+19

94avg 76

H29/09

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

#12

86-71

+15

79avg 76

A03/10

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

#10

85-91

-6

77avg 76

A07/10

Korisliiga

Honka

99-108

108

-9

91avg 76

H10/10

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

#11

76-95

-19

67avg 76

A16/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

62-80

-18

44avg 76

A21/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

79-84

-5

69avg 76

H24/10

Korisliiga

29-20

17-31

9-23

14-26

23-15

32-28

18-26

12-24

23-20

19-28

17-10

18-15

25-26

31-24

23-16

23-17

20-18

16-23

29-14

21-16

23-27

22-21

23-19

17-24

29-22

20-30

20-28

30-28

15-23

23-27

24-19

14-26

12-20

15-22

23-21

12-17

30-20

19-23

16-19

14-22

169.8Avg total

82.0Scored

87.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	84.1	87.4	171.6	-3.3	29%
Season at home (3)	93.3	91.7	185.0	+1.7	33%
Season away (4)	77.2	84.2	161.5	-7.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	87.8	169.8	-5.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	91.6	171.8	-11.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	72.6	80.3	152.9	-7.7	43%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	81.9	80.1	162.0	+1.8	56%
vs Weaker (14)	87.3	80.1	167.4	+7.2	64%

This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Karhu Basket Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBasket

Date

Competition

Kataja

71-92

-21

58avg 72

A02/04

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

88-95

-7

no box

H09/09

Suomen Cup

Kipina

#10

92-84

no box

A23/09

Suomen Cup

Kouvot Kouvola

#11

77-74

64avg 72

A30/09

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

78-84

-6

63avg 72

H03/10

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

#12

72-73

-1

68avg 72

H06/10

Korisliiga

Kipina

95-98 OT

-3

90avg 72

A10/10

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

91-76

+15

91avg 72

H17/10

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

#10

102-108 OT

102

108

-6

95avg 72

A21/10

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

#10

73-68

65avg 72

H23/10

Korisliiga

16-32

22-17

12-24

21-19

33-30

11-24

25-24

19-17

24-23

28-17

23-23

17-21

12-25

19-23

28-13

18-13

15-27

20-19

19-18

24-20

24-18

20-19

12-14

16-22

13-15

29-26

26-16

12-23

18-24

28-17

17-19

28-16

18-22

19-19

24-26

34-28

29-11

19-13

10-26

15-18

169.1Avg total

83.9Scored

85.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	84.0	83.0	167.0	+1.0	43%
Season at home (4)	78.5	75.2	153.8	+3.2	50%
Season away (3)	91.3	93.3	184.7	-2.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	83.9	85.2	169.1	-1.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	84.6	171.2	+2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	76.3	89.4	165.7	-13.1	20%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	89.8	83.6	173.4	+6.1	75%
vs Weaker (7)	82.6	78.1	160.7	+4.4	71%

This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 163.5Actual: Over 163.5

Over 163.5

51.6%

@ 1.69-4.9pp

Under 163.5

48.4%

@ 2.22+4.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.69

1xBet

1.62

Bet365

1.62

Betano

1.57

Marathon Be

1.52

Under

Betano

2.22

Pinnacle

2.19

Bet365

2.15

1xBet

1.90

Over/Under 168.5 · main lineActual: Over 168.5

Over 168.5

39.7%

@ 2.05-10.6pp

Under 168.5

60.3%

@ 1.92+10.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.05

Betano

1.93

Pinnacle

1.90

Marathon Be

1.87

1xBet

1.77

Under

Pinnacle

1.92

Marathon Be

1.82

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.72

Bet365

1.68

Over/Under 173.5Actual: Over 173.5

Over 173.5

28.8%

@ 2.50-7.9pp

Under 173.5

71.2%

@ 1.45+7.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.50

Under

Betano

1.45

📊 3. Team Totals

Kataja total 80.5Actual: Kataja over 80.5

Over 80.5

62.2%

@ 1.47-0.1pp

Under 80.5

37.8%

@ 2.42+0.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.40

Under

Betano

2.42

1xBet

2.32

Kataja total 84.5 · main lineActual: Kataja over 84.5

Over 84.5

46.8%

@ 1.91-2.7pp

Under 84.5

53.2%

@ 1.86+2.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.91

Marathon Be

1.86

Bet365

1.80

1xBet

1.75

Under

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.84

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.70

Kataja total 88.5Actual: Kataja over 88.5

Over 88.5

31.9%

@ 2.65-3.5pp

Under 88.5

68.1%

@ 1.40+3.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.41

Under

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.37

Karhu Basket total 77.5Actual: Karhu Basket over 77.5

Over 77.5

62.0%

@ 1.42-5.8pp

Under 77.5

38.0%

@ 3.00+5.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.24

Under

1xBet

3.00

Betano

2.62

Karhu Basket total 81.5 · main lineActual: Karhu Basket under 81.5

Over 81.5

46.8%

@ 1.83-7.3pp

Under 81.5

53.2%

@ 2.15+7.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

Betano

1.60

1xBet

1.50

Under

Betano

2.15

1xBet

2.05

Marathon Be

1.87

Bet365

1.83

Karhu Basket total 85.5Actual: Karhu Basket under 85.5

Over 85.5

32.2%

@ 2.12-11.7pp

Under 85.5

67.8%

@ 1.62+11.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.12

1xBet

1.95

Under

Betano

1.62

1xBet

1.56

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Kataja -4Actual: Kataja -4

KAT -4

47.6%

@ 2.25-0.8pp

KAH +4

52.4%

@ 1.85+0.8pp

Best 5 market prices

KAT

Bet365

2.25

Marathon Be

2.01

Pinnacle

1.97

SBO

1.89

1xBet

1.88

KAH

Pinnacle

1.85

1xBet

1.83

SBO

1.77

Bet365

1.60

Marathon Be

1.50

Spread Kataja -1 · main lineActual: Kataja -1

KAT -1

59.1%

@ 1.91+9.1pp

KAH +1

40.9%

@ 1.91-9.1pp

Best 5 market prices

KAT

Pinnacle

1.91

Marathon Be

1.86

Bet365

1.80

KAH

Pinnacle

1.91

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.85

Spread Kataja +2Actual: Kataja +2

KAT +2

65.6%

@ 1.70+9.9pp

KAH -2

34.4%

@ 2.22-9.9pp

Best 5 market prices

KAT

Pinnacle

1.70

Marathon Be

1.60

Bet365

1.58

KAH

Bet365

2.22

Pinnacle

2.14

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KatajaKarhu Basket

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.3	60%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	24.2	21.1	45.4	+3.1	57%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	62%	25%
Last 10 (10)	22.9	21.1	44.0	+1.8	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.4	44.2	-0.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.6	43%	29%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.7	78%	22%
vs Weaker (14)	23.9	21.1	45.0	+2.9	57%	64%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	57%	63%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	20.8	42.8	+1.1	69%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	23.4	44.6	-2.1	43%	64%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.7	42.9	-2.5	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.5	24.4	44.9	-3.9	47%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	23.1	20.5	43.6	+2.6	62%	75%
vs Weaker (7)	22.3	18.6	40.9	+3.7	71%	43%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.3	57%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	20.9	44.4	+2.5	71%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.8	44%	56%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	25.7	47.1	-4.3	30%	80%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	24.6	44.4	-4.8	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.7	22.4	41.1	-3.7	43%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	24.1	19.9	44.0	+4.2	78%	56%
vs Weaker (14)	21.0	22.5	43.5	-1.5	50%	57%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	40%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.3	38%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	22.1	41.6	-2.6	43%	50%
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.8	41.8	+4.2	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.1	24.4	42.5	-6.3	27%	47%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.2	20.6	39.9	-1.4	50%	38%
vs Weaker (7)	19.9	17.6	37.4	+2.3	57%	29%

KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Salon Vilpas

46-51

-5

A19/05

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

55-43

+12

H09/09

Suomen Cup

Lahti Basketball

42-48

-6

A19/09

Suomen Cup

Helsinki Seagulls

56-50

H29/09

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

#12

36-41

-5

A03/10

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

#10

45-48

-3

A07/10

Korisliiga

Honka

49-52

-3

H10/10

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

#11

38-50

-12

A16/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

27-42

-15

A21/10

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

49-43

H24/10

Korisliiga

91.1Avg total

44.3Scored

46.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.25
Last 30 (30)	43.7	41.7	85.4	+2.0	53%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	47.6	42.1	89.7	+5.6	71%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	40.2	41.4	81.6	-1.2	38%	50%
Last 10 (10)	44.3	46.8	91.1	-2.5	30%	80%
Last 5 (5)	41.6	47.0	88.6	-5.4	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.1	41.3	79.4	-3.1	29%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	46.0	39.1	85.1	+6.9	89%	56%
vs Weaker (14)	44.9	43.6	88.5	+1.4	43%	64%

This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kataja

38-49

-11

A02/04

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

44-54

-10

H09/09

Suomen Cup

Kipina

#10

52-40

+12

A23/09

Suomen Cup

Kouvot Kouvola

#11

31-48

-17

A30/09

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

35-46

-11

H03/10

Korisliiga

Bisons Loimaa

#12

44-37

H06/10

Korisliiga

Kipina

42-41

A10/10

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

46-41

H17/10

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

#10

37-41

-4

A21/10

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

#10

48-24

+24

H23/10

Korisliiga

83.8Avg total

41.7Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.25
Last 30 (30)	40.4	43.8	84.2	-3.4	37%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	42.4	82.6	-2.2	38%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	40.7	45.4	86.1	-4.7	36%	57%
Last 10 (10)	41.7	42.1	83.8	-0.4	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	43.4	36.8	80.2	+6.6	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.6	48.8	87.4	-10.2	7%	60%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	42.4	41.1	83.5	+1.2	62%	62%
vs Weaker (7)	42.1	36.1	78.3	+6.0	71%	14%

This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Kataja win

KAT win

no forecast

@ 1.86

KAH win

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half Spread Kataja -0.5 · main lineActual: Kataja -0.5

KAT -0.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

KAH +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 83.25 · main lineActual: Over 83.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

Kataja 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Kataja over 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.89

Karhu Basket 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Karhu Basket under 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.90

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half: KAT + total 83.5

KAT & over

no forecast

@ 3.50

KAT & under

no forecast

@ 3.55

1st half: Draw + total 83.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: KAH + total 83.5

KAH & over

no forecast

@ 3.90

KAH & under

no forecast

@ 3.90

1st half Over/Under 82Actual: Over 82

Over

no forecast

@ 1.89

Under

no forecast

@ 2.19

1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Over 84.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.07

Under

no forecast

@ 1.81

1st half Spread Kataja -1.5Actual: Kataja -1.5

KAT -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.12

KAH +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Spread Kataja +0.5Actual: Kataja +0.5

KAT +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.58

KAH -0.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half Over/Under 80.75Actual: Over 80.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Spread Kataja -2.5Actual: Kataja -2.5

KAT -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

KAH +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.81

1st half Spread Kataja +1.5Actual: Kataja +1.5

KAT +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.66

KAH -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Kataja (regulation)

KAT

no forecast

@ 1.91

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

KAH

no forecast

@ 2.00

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	57%	33%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	18.6	38.3	+1.0	43%	29%
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	17.4	37.9	+3.0	69%	38%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.1	17.7	36.9	+1.4	43%	14%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.4	44%	33%
vs Weaker (14)	21.8	17.8	39.6	+4.0	71%	43%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.5	40%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.4	44%	25%
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.4	36%	64%
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	40%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	50%	62%
vs Weaker (7)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-2.0	29%	43%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.4	38.9	-1.9	40%	30%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.6	50%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	20.7	38.2	-3.1	31%	25%
Last 10 (10)	17.5	21.5	39.0	-4.0	40%	10%
Last 5 (5)	17.4	23.4	40.8	-6.0	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.3	21.3	36.6	-6.0	29%	29%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.8	22.4	40.2	-4.7	11%	44%
vs Weaker (14)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.9	64%	21%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	50%	37%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	44%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.4	39.2	+0.5	57%	29%
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-2.1	33%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	23.2	20.2	43.5	+3.0	75%	62%
vs Weaker (7)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	57%	14%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.75
Last 30 (30)	38.6	38.4	77.0	+0.1	53%	23%
Last 30 at home (14)	39.2	38.8	78.0	+0.4	57%	21%
Last 30 away (16)	38.0	38.1	76.1	-0.1	50%	25%
Last 10 (10)	37.7	41.0	78.7	-3.3	30%	10%
Last 5 (5)	38.6	44.6	83.2	-6.0	0%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	34.4	39.0	73.4	-4.6	57%	14%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	35.9	41.0	76.9	-5.1	33%	33%
vs Weaker (14)	42.4	36.5	78.9	+5.9	64%	21%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.75
Last 30 (30)	39.6	40.1	79.7	-0.5	53%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	38.0	39.7	77.7	-1.7	56%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	40.5	81.9	+0.9	50%	43%
Last 10 (10)	40.0	40.0	80.0	+0.0	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	38.8	41.6	80.4	-2.8	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	36.5	39.9	76.5	-3.4	40%	27%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	45.5	40.2	85.8	+5.2	88%	62%
vs Weaker (7)	39.4	40.1	79.6	-0.7	43%	43%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

KAT win + total 167.5

🔒 Pro

KAH win + total 167.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: KAT leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: KAH leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (KAT:KAH): KAT wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Karhu Basket under 89.5	80.0%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Karhu Basket under 87.5	74.3%	1.42	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.41	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Won
Karhu Basket under 86.5	71.2%	1.47	Betano 1.53	1xBet 1.48	Bet365 1.40	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Kataja +7.5	81.3%	1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Karhu Basket under 88.5	77.2%	1.32	1xBet 1.35	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Kataja +4.5	73.1%	1.40	Betano 1.45	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Kataja +5.5	76.1%	1.34	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Kataja under 95.5	87.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Lost
Under 173.5	71.2%	1.45	Betano 1.45	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Lost
Under 174.5	73.2%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Lost
Kataja under 94.5	85.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Lost
Kataja under 91.5	77.6%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Lost
Kataja under 93.5	83.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Lost
Kataja +6.5	78.8%	1.28	Betano 1.33	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Kataja under 101.5	95.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Kataja under 105.5	98.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Kataja under 97.5	90.9%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Lost
Kataja under 104.5	97.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Kataja under 99.5	93.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Lost
Kataja under 89.5	71.4%	1.39	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+6.5pp	Lost
Kataja under 103.5	97.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Karhu Basket +23.5	95.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Karhu Basket +13.5	82.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Lost
Karhu Basket under 91.5	84.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Karhu Basket +28.5	98.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Karhu Basket under 101.5	97.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Karhu Basket +11.5	77.4%	1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Lost
Karhu Basket under 100.5	96.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Karhu Basket under 102.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Karhu Basket under 98.5	95.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Kataja +16.5	94.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Under 176.5	76.9%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Lost
Kataja +21.5	97.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Karhu Basket +18.5	91.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Lost
Karhu Basket under 92.5	86.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Kataja over 64.5	96.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Karhu Basket +10.5	74.7%	1.32	Betano 1.32	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Lost
Under 181.5	84.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Karhu Basket under 96.5	93.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Under 191.5	94.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Karhu Basket under 94.5	90.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Kataja under 90.5	74.6%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Lost
Kataja over 63.5	97.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Karhu Basket under 90.5	82.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Karhu Basket over 62.5	96.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Kataja over 65.5	96.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Under 186.5	90.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Karhu Basket over 61.5	96.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Kataja +11.5	89.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Karhu Basket over 64.5	94.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Kataja over 67.5	94.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Kataja over 72.5	86.2%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Karhu Basket over 60.5	97.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.7%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Karhu Basket over 66.5	91.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Kataja over 69.5	91.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Kataja over 71.5	88.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Karhu Basket over 68.5	88.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Kataja over 73.5	84.0%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Karhu Basket over 70.5	83.9%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Over 141.5	91.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Kataja over 75.5	78.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Kataja over 74.5	81.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Karhu Basket over 72.5	78.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Karhu Basket over 69.5	86.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Karhu Basket +9.5	71.7%	1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	-	-0.0pp	Lost
Karhu Basket over 74.5	72.5%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Over 146.5	86.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
Kataja over 77.5	72.7%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
Karhu Basket over 71.5	81.4%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Won
Over 151.5	78.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 81.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	17.2	47.9%	54.2%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	10.4	33.8%	32.9%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	20.0	15.5	77.5%	75.8%	15.5

They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 79.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	18.0	49.9%	54.2%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.7	9.9	32.2%	32.9%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	19.1	13.9	72.8%	75.8%	13.9

They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	22.0	54.5%	54.2%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	8.6	31.7%	32.9%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	21.7	16.3	75.1%	75.8%	16.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.1	21.9	50.8%	54.2%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	9.0	35.3%	32.9%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.1	13.6	75.1%	75.8%	13.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	19.3	51.5%	54.2%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	9.6	32.2%	32.9%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	19.5	15.3	78.5%	75.8%	15.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	17.9	50.2%	54.2%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.6	10.1	31.1%	32.9%	30.4
🏀 Free throws	19.2	13.8	71.8%	75.8%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	19.3	49.9%	54.2%	38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	9.0	32.5%	32.9%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.1	75.9%	75.8%	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.4	22.3	52.6%	54.2%	44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	8.6	33.9%	32.9%	25.7
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.8	72.5%	75.8%	13.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Kataja

LLLLLWWWLL

Karhu Basket

WLWLLLWWLL

League position

-5.7

Net rating

-5.4

92.2

Offensive rating

89.1

97.9

Defensive rating

94.5

49.2%

Effective FG%

49.2%

51.7%

Opp. effective FG%

51.6%

13.8%

Turnover %

16.2%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.29

33.8%

3-point %

32.2%

53.6%

Assist %

56.3%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Kataja ■ Karhu Basket

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kataja wins

Karhu Basket wins

Date	Game	Score
02/04/26	Kataja v Karhu Basket	92-71
30/03/26	Karhu Basket v Kataja	78-94
27/03/26	Kataja v Karhu Basket	85-60
24/03/26	Karhu Basket v Kataja	68-98
21/01/26	Kataja v Karhu Basket	76-62
15/11/25	Karhu Basket v Kataja	106-99
15/04/25	Kataja v Karhu Basket	87-99
12/04/25	Karhu Basket v Kataja	87-79
09/04/25	Kataja v Karhu Basket	82-96
05/04/25	Karhu Basket v Kataja	93-79

Katajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/10/26	H	Pyrinto Tampere	79-84
21/10/26	A	Pyrinto Tampere	62-80
16/10/26	A	Kouvot Kouvola	76-95
10/10/26	H	Honka	99-108
07/10/26	A	Lahti Basketball	85-91
03/10/26	A	Bisons Loimaa	86-71
29/09/26	H	Helsinki Seagulls	102-83
19/09/26	A	Lahti Basketball	77-73
09/09/26	H	Helsinki Seagulls	85-93
19/05/26	A	Salon Vilpas	69-100

Karhu Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/10/26	H	Lahti Basketball	73-68
21/10/26	A	Lahti Basketball	102-108 OT
17/10/26	H	Helsinki Seagulls	91-76
10/10/26	A	Kipina	95-98 OT
06/10/26	H	Bisons Loimaa	72-73
03/10/26	H	KTP Kotka Basket	78-84
30/09/26	A	Kouvot Kouvola	77-74
23/09/26	A	Kipina	92-84
09/09/26	H	KTP Kotka Basket	88-95
02/04/26	A	Kataja	71-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja

Korisliiga 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	29%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	WLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	29%	33%	25%
Points / game	84.1	93.3	77.2
Allowed / game	87.4	91.7	84.2
Point differential	-3.3	+1.7	-7.0
Avg total	171.6	185.0	161.5
Over 168.5	57%	67%	50%
Win by 10+	29%	33%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Karhu Basket

Korisliiga 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	43%
Home	LLWW	50%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	43%	50%	33%
Points / game	84.0	78.5	91.3
Allowed / game	83.0	75.2	93.3
Point differential	+1.0	+3.2	-2.0
Avg total	167.0	153.8	184.7
Over 168.5	29%	0%	67%
Win by 10+	14%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	29%	0%	67%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KTP Kotka Basket	8	7	1	88%	95.0	83.4	+11.6
2	Kipina	8	7	1	88%	97.2	87.6	+9.6
3	Honka	8	6	2	75%	103.0	98.2	+4.8
4	Salon Vilpas	8	5	3	62%	87.0	79.1	+7.9
5	Pyrinto Tampere	8	4	4	50%	86.8	87.1	-0.4
6	Helsinki Seagulls	8	4	4	50%	78.8	82.1	-3.4
7	Karhu Basket	7	3	4	43%	84.0	83.0	+1.0
8	Lahti Basketball	8	3	5	38%	80.5	86.1	-5.6
9	Kataja	7	2	5	29%	84.1	87.4	-3.3
10	Kouvot Kouvola	8	2	6	25%	86.5	90.8	-4.2
11	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	8	2	6	25%	87.8	93.6	-5.9
12	Bisons Loimaa	8	2	6	25%	73.1	85.5	-12.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kataja	28	23	30	20	101
Karhu Basket	16	24	20	20	80

← all games of the day

Kataja vs Karhu Basket Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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