Karhu Basket host Pyrinto Tampere in the Korisliiga on 14 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side and predicting a 65% chance of victory. Karhu's season record stands at 4-6, averaging 86.6 points while conceding 84.7, and they sit eighth in the league; at home they are 3-2, allowing only 75.8 points per game, though their last five games yielded just two wins. Their recent outing was a 119-78 triumph over Honka at home on 7 November, followed by losses to UU-Korihait and Kataja. Pyrinto, meanwhile, is 6-4 overall, scoring 87.3 and giving up 86.7, positioned fourth; on the road they are 2-3, allowing 89.4 points per game, yet their last five games include four wins. Their recent victories over Bisons Loimaa and Kouvot Kouvola were both at home, with a narrow away defeat to Helsinki Seagulls. Historically Karhu has dominated the rivalry, winning eight of ten meetings and last beating Pyrinto 88-72 on 6 December 2025. The model projects a final score of 85-81, with a total of 165.8 points, and a 41% chance that Karhu will cover the -7.0 spread while the over on the 167.5 line has a 45% probability; overtime is expected in 5% of games. Karhu's superior home defence and recent high-scoring win suggest they will likely keep the margin comfortable.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 86.6 | 84.7 | 171.3 | +1.9 | 40% |
| Season at home (5) | 86.6 | 75.8 | 162.4 | +10.8 | 60% |
| Season away (5) | 86.6 | 93.6 | 180.2 | -7.0 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.5 | 84.1 | 170.6 | +2.4 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.4 | 80.4 | 165.8 | +5.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 76.1 | 90.5 | 166.6 | -14.4 | 14% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 89.6 | 82.7 | 172.3 | +6.9 | 70% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 82.5 | 82.3 | 164.8 | +0.2 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 87.3 | 86.7 | 174.0 | +0.6 | 60% |
| Season at home (5) | 86.8 | 84.0 | 170.8 | +2.8 | 80% |
| Season away (5) | 87.8 | 89.4 | 177.2 | -1.6 | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 87.3 | 86.7 | 174.0 | +0.6 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.0 | 81.0 | 168.0 | +6.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 76.8 | 86.2 | 163.0 | -9.4 | 35% |
| vs Similar ◀ (8) | 88.4 | 87.0 | 175.4 | +1.4 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 82.4 | 77.0 | 159.4 | +5.4 | 80% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.6 | 44.4 | 86.0 | -2.8 | 37% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 42.5 | 42.6 | 85.1 | -0.1 | 40% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.7 | 46.3 | 86.9 | -5.6 | 33% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.0 | 39.1 | 84.1 | +5.9 | 70% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 49.2 | 37.0 | 86.2 | +12.2 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 38.9 | 49.5 | 88.4 | -10.6 | 7% | 64% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 44.3 | 40.8 | 85.1 | +3.5 | 60% | 70% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 43.5 | 38.7 | 82.2 | +4.8 | 67% | 33% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.1 | 43.3 | 84.4 | -2.2 | 47% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 42.9 | 41.5 | 84.5 | +1.4 | 60% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 39.3 | 45.1 | 84.4 | -5.9 | 33% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.5 | 45.6 | 89.1 | -2.1 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.6 | 43.2 | 85.8 | -0.6 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 39.5 | 44.1 | 83.6 | -4.6 | 35% | 53% |
| vs Similar ◀ (8) | 45.1 | 44.9 | 90.0 | +0.2 | 62% | 75% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 40.0 | 38.2 | 78.2 | +1.8 | 60% | 20% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyrinto Tampere +13 | 78.3% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +17.8pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere +11 | 72.6% | 1.69 | 1.72 | 1.68 | 1.68 | - | - | +17.5pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere +10.5 | 70.4% | 1.75 | 1.80 | 1.79 | 1.75 | 1.74 | 1.66 | +17.3pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere +12 | 75.5% | 1.60 | 1.62 | 1.60 | 1.57 | - | - | +17.1pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere +11.5 | 73.4% | 1.59 | 1.67 | 1.66 | 1.63 | 1.56 | 1.44 | +16.6pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere +12.5 | 76.2% | 1.50 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.47 | 1.38 | +16.1pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere +13.5 | 78.8% | 1.41 | 1.50 | 1.39 | 1.33 | - | - | +15.1pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere +14.5 | 81.2% | 1.34 | 1.43 | 1.32 | 1.28 | - | - | +14.0pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket under 95.5 | 84.6% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere +19.5 | 90.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +12.6pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket under 98.5 | 90.5% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +11.6pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket under 99.5 | 92.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +11.5pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket under 93.5 | 79.5% | 1.32 | 1.40 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +11.1pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket under 97.5 | 88.7% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +11.0pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere over 73.5 | 75.3% | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +10.2pp | Lost |
| Karhu Basket under 92.5 | 76.7% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket under 90.5 | 70.3% | 1.50 | 1.54 | 1.52 | 1.43 | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket under 94.5 | 82.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket under 91.5 | 73.6% | 1.45 | 1.54 | 1.44 | 1.37 | - | - | +9.7pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere over 71.5 | 81.1% | 1.26 | 1.28 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket under 101.5 | 94.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere +24.5 | 95.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere +16.5 | 85.4% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket under 96.5 | 86.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere over 74.5 | 72.1% | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Lost |
| Pyrinto Tampere over 72.5 | 78.3% | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Lost |
| Under 179.5 | 79.9% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| Under 174.5 | 70.7% | 1.48 | 1.52 | 1.44 | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket under 100.5 | 93.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket under 102.5 | 95.5% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Under 184.5 | 87.0% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere +21.5 | 92.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere over 68.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere over 69.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Under 194.5 | 95.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Under 189.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere over 70.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket +18.5 | 97.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket +13.5 | 93.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Under 175.5 | 72.7% | 1.34 | 1.39 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere under 98.5 | 95.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Under 190.5 | 92.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket +15.5 | 95.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere under 97.5 | 94.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere under 96.5 | 93.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 81.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Lost |
| Over 145.5 | 88.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Under 185.5 | 88.1% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Under 180.5 | 81.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere under 94.5 | 90.5% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere under 95.5 | 91.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket +8.5 | 86.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Over 155.5 | 72.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Lost |
| Pyrinto Tampere under 90.5 | 82.8% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere under 92.5 | 87.1% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 90.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket +2.5 | 71.5% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere under 93.5 | 88.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket +10.5 | 89.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket over 74.5 | 84.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere under 89.5 | 80.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket over 73.5 | 87.1% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket +3.5 | 74.2% | 1.23 | 1.24 | 1.23 | - | - | - | -0.5pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket over 76.5 | 79.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere under 88.5 | 77.6% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -1.2pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere under 91.5 | 85.0% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -1.6pp | Won |
| Pyrinto Tampere under 86.5 | 71.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | -1.8pp | Won |
| Karhu Basket over 75.5 | 82.6% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -2.5pp | Won |
| Over 149.5 | 83.5% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -3.1pp | Lost |
| Karhu Basket over 77.5 | 77.1% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -3.4pp | Lost |
| Pyrinto Tampere under 87.5 | 74.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -4.1pp | Won |
| Over 154.5 | 74.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -4.8pp | Lost |
| Karhu Basket over 78.5 | 74.0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -4.8pp | Lost |
| Karhu Basket over 79.5 | 70.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -5.4pp | Lost |
| Karhu Basket +4.5 | 77.1% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -7.3pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.6 | 18.3 | 54.2% | 36.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.8 | 10.4 | 32.9% | 31.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.8 | 13.6 | 75.8% | 13.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.8 | 21.9 | 54.2% | 43.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.4 | 7.3 | 32.9% | 21.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.6 | 14.9 | 75.8% | 14.9 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 | Pyrinto Tampere v Karhu Basket | 72-88 |
| 04/10/25 | Karhu Basket v Pyrinto Tampere | 78-74 |
| 28/03/25 | Karhu Basket v Pyrinto Tampere | 107-78 |
| 26/03/25 | Pyrinto Tampere v Karhu Basket | 98-103 |
| 23/03/25 | Karhu Basket v Pyrinto Tampere | 87-81 |
| 18/01/25 | Pyrinto Tampere v Karhu Basket | 66-76 |
| 29/11/24 | Karhu Basket v Pyrinto Tampere | 73-78 |
| 03/02/24 | Karhu Basket v Pyrinto Tampere | 84-66 |
| 29/11/23 | Pyrinto Tampere v Karhu Basket | 109-100 |
| 08/04/23 | Karhu Basket v Pyrinto Tampere | 84-77 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | A | Helsinki Seagulls | 76-68 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Honka | 119-78 |
| 04/11/26 | A | UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki | 79-87 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Kataja | 80-101 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Lahti Basketball | 73-68 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Lahti Basketball | 102-108 OT |
| 17/10/26 | H | Helsinki Seagulls | 91-76 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Kipina | 95-98 OT |
| 06/10/26 | H | Bisons Loimaa | 72-73 |
| 03/10/26 | H | KTP Kotka Basket | 78-84 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Bisons Loimaa | 89-84 OT |
| 03/11/26 | H | Kouvot Kouvola | 90-86 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Helsinki Seagulls | 92-94 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Kataja | 84-79 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Kataja | 80-62 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Kipina | 96-91 |
| 09/10/26 | A | KTP Kotka Basket | 72-88 |
| 06/10/26 | A | Honka | 96-97 OT |
| 03/10/26 | H | Salon Vilpas | 79-97 |
| 30/09/26 | A | UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki | 95-89 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLW | 40% |
| Home | LLWWW | 60% |
| Away | WLLLL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Points / game | 86.6 | 86.6 | 86.6 |
| Allowed / game | 84.7 | 75.8 | 93.6 |
| Point differential | +1.9 | +10.8 | -7.0 |
| Avg total | 171.3 | 162.4 | 180.2 |
| Over 165 | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (4) | 50% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWW | 60% |
| Home | LWWWW | 80% |
| Away | WLLWL | 40% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Points / game | 87.3 | 86.8 | 87.8 |
| Allowed / game | 86.7 | 84.0 | 89.4 |
| Point differential | +0.6 | +2.8 | -1.6 |
| Avg total | 174.0 | 170.8 | 177.2 |
| Over 165 | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Win by 10+ | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (6) | 100% (3) | 33% (3) |
| Overtime % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 82% | 95.6 | 89.5 | +6.2 | |
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 92.2 | 85.8 | +6.4 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 98.7 | 100.4 | -1.6 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 87.3 | 86.7 | +0.6 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 83.4 | 83.1 | +0.3 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 87.2 | 81.8 | +5.4 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 86.9 | 82.5 | +4.4 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40% | 86.6 | 84.7 | +1.9 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 87.6 | 91.2 | -3.5 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 82.4 | 88.7 | -6.4 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 86.9 | 91.3 | -4.4 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 78.8 | 86.9 | -8.1 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 18 | 20 | 15 | 77 | |
| 20 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 72 |
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