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Karkkila vs Helsingin NMKY Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 90-83
19-17 24-29 10-14 37-23
Position#3
Record19-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#6
Record11-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game86.3
FinlandI Divisioona AI Divisioona A - Quarter-finals· Karkkila sports hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Karkkila v Helsingin NMKY
27 Mar 2026
KARK90
HELS83
21 Mar 2026
KARK95
HELS93
15 Feb 2026
KARK111
HELS92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karkkila winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Helsingin NMKY winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarkkilaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarkkila
Date
Competition
Kipina
#2
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 82
H25/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 82
H31/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 82
A07/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
111-92
111
92
+19
103avg 82
H15/02
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
42avg 82
A22/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
107-72
107
72
+35
99avg 82
H01/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 82
H08/03
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
105-78
105
78
+27
102avg 82
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
95-93
95
93
+2
81avg 82
H21/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
83-62
83
62
+21
70avg 82
A25/03
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
21-34
18-17
21-18
24-13
16-23
19-25
19-24
30-20
29-20
20-24
19-18
35-23
31-18
24-29
21-22
23-24
15-15
8-26
18-22
21-14
22-19
32-24
32-15
20-30
26-20
14-15
23-15
31-15
29-17
25-21
20-25
18-24
27-21
28-24
22-24
18-24
29-13
18-13
18-12
173.4Avg total
90.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)92.279.0171.2+13.279%
Season at home (12)94.979.7174.6+15.283%
Season away (12)89.578.2167.8+11.275%
Last 10 (10)90.882.6173.4+8.270%
Last 5 (5)94.677.0171.6+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.995.9168.7-23.014%
vs Similar (3)80.782.3163.0-1.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.577.0171.4+17.590%
This opponent (Helsingin NMKY) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helsingin NMKYFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNMKY
Date
Competition
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
68-67
68
67
+1
56avg 67
A23/01
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
47avg 67
A01/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
74-69
74
69
+5
70avg 67
H08/02
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
L
92-111
92
111
-19
88avg 67
A15/02
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
66-80
66
80
-14
56avg 67
H22/02
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
86-101
86
101
-15
74avg 67
A01/03
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
101-76
101
76
+25
102avg 67
H08/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
L
71-108
71
108
-37
60avg 67
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
L
93-95
93
95
-2
76avg 67
A21/03
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
L
62-83
62
83
-21
50avg 67
H25/03
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
25-17
14-14
15-20
17-19
18-17
20-30
16-28
15-13
18-21
19-19
22-16
23-35
18-31
29-24
22-21
20-19
23-17
14-26
9-18
20-29
19-27
24-23
23-22
22-18
34-12
17-22
28-24
17-36
18-28
15-23
21-21
24-18
21-27
24-28
24-22
24-18
13-29
13-18
12-18
166.8Avg total
78.4Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.086.3166.4-6.346%
Season at home (12)77.885.8163.5-8.050%
Season away (12)82.386.9169.2-4.642%
Last 10 (10)78.488.4166.8-10.030%
Last 5 (5)82.692.6175.2-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.989.3166.3-12.426%
vs Similar (4)89.090.5179.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (7)86.773.3160.0+13.4100%
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
KarkkilaHelsingin NMKY
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarkkilaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kipina
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H25/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H31/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A07/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H15/02
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A22/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H01/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H08/03
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
60-32
60
32
+28
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A25/03
I Divisioona A
90.2Avg total
48.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.540.185.6+5.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.739.986.5+6.860%-
Last 30 away (15)44.340.384.7+4.053%-
Last 10 (10)48.941.390.2+7.660%-
Last 5 (5)48.239.487.6+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.144.082.1-5.914%-
vs Similar (3)40.744.084.7-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.838.186.9+10.675%-
This opponent (Helsingin NMKY) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helsingin NMKYLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A23/01
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A01/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H08/02
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
L
41-66
41
66
-25
A15/02
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H22/02
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A01/03
I Divisioona A
Lappeenranta
#11
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H08/03
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#8
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/03
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H25/03
I Divisioona A
85.0Avg total
40.3Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.880.6-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.641.178.7-3.540%-
Last 30 away (15)40.142.582.5-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)40.344.785.0-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.448.490.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.845.883.6-8.032%-
vs Similar (4)40.236.877.0+3.550%-
vs Weaker (7)40.933.774.6+7.157%-
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karkkilatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karkkila: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.324.7
54.5%
51.5%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.7
32.7%
30.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.212.3
64.1%
67.7%12.3
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helsingin NMKYtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helsingin NMKY: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.3
46.8%
51.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.4
30.2%
30.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.511.3
64.6%
67.7%11.3
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karkkila
WWWWWLWWLL
Helsingin NMKY
LLLWLLLWLW
#3
League position
#6
+8.6
Net rating
-10.7
95.3
Offensive rating
81.1
86.7
Defensive rating
91.8
52.3%
Effective FG%
46.2%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
13.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.7%
3-point %
30.2%
45.1%
Assist %
56.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 81.1Defence86.7 · 91.8Shooting52.3% · 46.2%3-point %32.7% · 30.2%Ball care13.0% · 17.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Karkkila   ■ Helsingin NMKY
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Karkkila wins
1
Helsingin NMKY wins
Karkkilalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26AHelsingin NMKY83-62
21/03/26HHelsingin NMKY95-93
15/03/26ARaholan Pyrkiva105-78
08/03/26HToPo Helsinki83-80
01/03/26HPyrinto Akatemia107-72
22/02/26AACO Basket64-87
15/02/26HHelsingin NMKY111-92
07/02/26AHuima98-82
31/01/26HJyvaskyla78-85
25/01/26HKipina84-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26HKarkkila62-83
21/03/26AKarkkila93-95
15/03/26AHBA-Marsky Helsinki71-108
08/03/26HLappeenranta101-76
01/03/26AKipina86-101
22/02/26HRaholan Pyrkiva66-80
15/02/26AKarkkila92-111
08/02/26HPyrinto Akatemia74-69
01/02/26AACO Basket71-94
23/01/26AToPo Helsinki68-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karkkila
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %79%83%75%
Points / game92.294.989.5
Allowed / game79.079.778.2
Point differential+13.2+15.2+11.2
Avg total171.2174.6167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%58%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Helsingin NMKY
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL46%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%50%42%
Points / game80.077.882.3
Allowed / game86.385.886.9
Point differential-6.3-8.0-4.6
Avg total166.4163.5169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 ACO Basket2524196%91.268.2+23.0
2 Karkkila2419579%92.279.0+13.2
3 Kipina2519676%95.483.8+11.6
4 Jyvaskyla2516964%83.578.2+5.3
5 Raholan Pyrkiva25141156%76.577.3-0.8
6 Helsingin NMKY24111346%80.086.3-6.3
7 ToPo Helsinki25111444%79.881.0-1.2
8 HBA-Marsky Helsinki25101540%79.380.2-0.9
9 Pyrinto Akatemia2271532%75.686.5-10.9
10 Huima2261627%77.485.7-8.3
11 Lappeenranta2241818%71.885.7-13.9
12 Raiders Basket222209%72.489.0-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karkkila1924103790
Helsingin NMKY1729142383
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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