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Karkkila vs Kipina Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 96-95
26-5 23-32 16-34 31-24
Position#3
Record21-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game80.8
Karkkila 🏆
Finland
vs
Kipina
Finland
Position#2
Record22-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game83.9
FinlandI Divisioona AI Divisioona A - Semi-finals· Karkkila sports hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Karkkila v Kipina
12 Apr 2026
KARK96
KIPI95
06 Apr 2026
KARK96
KIPI90
25 Jan 2026
KARK84
KIPI95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karkkila winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kipina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarkkilaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarkkila
Date
Competition
ACO Basket
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
42avg 82
A22/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
107-72
107
72
+35
99avg 82
H01/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 82
H08/03
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
105-78
105
78
+27
102avg 82
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
95-93
95
93
+2
81avg 82
H21/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
83-62
83
62
+21
70avg 82
A25/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
90-83
90
83
+7
80avg 82
H27/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
72avg 82
A03/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
W
96-90
96
90
+6
93avg 82
H06/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
86-101
86
101
-15
78avg 82
A09/04
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
15-15
8-26
18-22
21-14
22-19
32-24
32-15
20-30
26-20
14-15
23-15
31-15
29-17
25-21
20-25
18-24
27-21
28-24
22-24
18-24
29-13
18-13
18-12
19-17
24-29
10-14
37-23
28-22
17-25
27-20
11-25
19-22
23-25
27-19
27-24
12-22
39-24
14-28
21-27
173.0Avg total
89.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)91.780.8172.5+11.075%
Season at home (14)94.680.6175.3+14.086%
Season away (14)88.880.9169.6+7.964%
Last 10 (10)89.283.8173.0+5.470%
Last 5 (5)87.685.6173.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.387.3167.7-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.588.3172.8-3.833%
vs Weaker (21)94.377.2171.5+17.090%
This opponent (Kipina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KipinaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKipina
Date
Competition
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
101-86
101
86
+15
95avg 89
H01/03
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
66avg 89
A07/03
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
102-66
102
66
+36
106avg 89
H15/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
90-82
90
82
+8
87avg 89
H19/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
64avg 89
A22/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
105-88
105
88
+17
104avg 89
H25/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
94-72
94
72
+22
90avg 89
A29/03
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
W
92-83
92
83
+9
82avg 89
H03/04
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
L
90-96
90
96
-6
75avg 89
A06/04
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
W
101-86
101
86
+15
91avg 89
H09/04
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
27-19
23-24
22-23
20-14
17-18
28-23
16-27
27-18
29-19
26-13
20-16
25-20
29-22
19-20
17-20
18-26
23-14
10-16
23-19
26-15
35-37
22-20
22-16
23-22
27-15
21-16
23-19
22-28
25-17
20-27
25-11
22-19
25-23
19-27
24-27
22-12
24-39
28-14
27-21
174.6Avg total
93.0Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)95.283.9179.1+11.376%
Season at home (15)96.986.8183.7+10.180%
Season away (14)93.480.8174.2+12.671%
Last 10 (10)93.081.6174.6+11.470%
Last 5 (5)96.485.0181.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.092.5177.5-7.50%
vs Similar ◀ (5)92.886.4179.2+6.480%
vs Weaker (23)96.082.7178.8+13.378%
This opponent (Karkkila) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
KarkkilaKipina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarkkilaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ACO Basket
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A22/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H01/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H08/03
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
60-32
60
32
+28
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A25/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A03/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H06/04
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A09/04
I Divisioona A
88.2Avg total
46.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.940.187.0+6.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.640.087.6+7.660%-
Last 30 away (15)46.140.386.4+5.960%-
Last 10 (10)46.042.288.2+3.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.690.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.341.083.3+1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.345.388.7-2.033%-
vs Weaker (21)48.538.587.0+10.071%-
This opponent (Kipina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KipinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H01/03
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A07/03
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H15/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H19/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A22/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H25/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A29/03
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H03/04
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A06/04
I Divisioona A
Karkkila
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H09/04
I Divisioona A
91.2Avg total
49.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.741.790.4+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.843.993.7+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)47.639.186.6+8.579%-
Last 10 (10)49.541.791.2+7.890%-
Last 5 (5)50.245.495.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.539.083.5+5.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)47.044.891.8+2.260%-
vs Weaker (23)49.541.290.7+8.374%-
This opponent (Karkkila) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karkkilatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karkkila: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.823.0
53.7%
51.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.6
32.3%
30.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.014.4
68.6%
67.7%14.4
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kipinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kipina: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.524.3
55.9%
51.5%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.6
32.1%
30.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.115.6
86.2%
67.7%15.6
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karkkila
LWLWWWWWWL
Kipina
WLWWWLWWLW
#3
League position
#2
+5.9
Net rating
+12.4
93.8
Offensive rating
98.9
87.9
Defensive rating
86.5
51.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
14.0%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.3%
3-point %
32.1%
45.7%
Assist %
53.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 98.9Defence87.9 · 86.5Shooting51.6% · 52.7%3-point %32.3% · 32.1%Ball care14.0% · 12.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Karkkila   ■ Kipina
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Karkkila wins
4
Kipina wins
DateGameScore
09/04/26Kipina v Karkkila101-86
06/04/26Karkkila v Kipina96-90
03/04/26Kipina v Karkkila92-83
25/01/26Karkkila v Kipina84-95
12/10/25Kipina v Karkkila86-83
Karkkilalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/26AKipina86-101
06/04/26HKipina96-90
03/04/26AKipina83-92
27/03/26HHelsingin NMKY90-83
25/03/26AHelsingin NMKY83-62
21/03/26HHelsingin NMKY95-93
15/03/26ARaholan Pyrkiva105-78
08/03/26HToPo Helsinki83-80
01/03/26HPyrinto Akatemia107-72
22/02/26AACO Basket64-87
Kipinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/26HKarkkila101-86
06/04/26AKarkkila90-96
03/04/26HKarkkila92-83
29/03/26AToPo Helsinki94-72
25/03/26HToPo Helsinki105-88
22/03/26AToPo Helsinki74-75
19/03/26HToPo Helsinki90-82
15/03/26HPyrinto Akatemia102-66
07/03/26AACO Basket81-82
01/03/26HHelsingin NMKY101-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karkkila
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL75%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %75%86%64%
Points / game91.794.688.8
Allowed / game80.880.680.9
Point differential+11.0+14.0+7.9
Avg total172.5175.3169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kipina
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWLLWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %76%80%71%
Points / game95.296.993.4
Allowed / game83.986.880.8
Point differential+11.3+10.1+12.6
Avg total179.1183.7174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%53%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 ACO Basket2827196%90.769.1+21.6
2 Kipina2922776%95.283.9+11.3
3 Karkkila2821775%91.780.8+11.0
4 Jyvaskyla30181260%82.378.0+4.3
5 Raholan Pyrkiva27141352%75.577.1-1.6
6 Helsingin NMKY25111444%80.286.5-6.3
7 ToPo Helsinki26111542%79.581.5-2.0
8 HBA-Marsky Helsinki25101540%79.380.2-0.9
9 Pyrinto Akatemia2271532%75.686.5-10.9
10 Huima2261627%77.485.7-8.3
11 Lappeenranta2241818%71.885.7-13.9
12 Raiders Basket222209%72.489.0-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karkkila2623163196
Kipina532342495
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