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Kipina vs Karkkila Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 92-83
22-28 25-17 20-27 25-11
Position#2
Record20-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game95.3
Allowed / game83.4
Kipina 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#3
Record20-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game79.1
FinlandI Divisioona AI Divisioona A - Semi-finals· Aanekosken liikuntatalo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kipina v Karkkila
15 Apr 2026
KIPI102
KARK91
09 Apr 2026
KIPI101
KARK86
03 Apr 2026
KIPI92
KARK83
12 Oct 2025
KIPI86
KARK83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kipina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karkkila winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Kipina
4.6out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 94.0
93.0▼ 1.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.2
76.6▼ 6.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
59%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.2
21.4▲ 3.2
🔥 Form · Karkkila
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 92.1
91.2▼ 0.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.1
79.2▲ 0.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
55%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.7
14.0▼ 2.7
KipinaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Raiders Basket
#12
W
96-62
96
62
+34
A06/02
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
114-89
114
89
+25
H14/02
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
101-62
101
62
+39
A18/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
101-86
101
86
+15
H01/03
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A07/03
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
102-66
102
66
+36
H15/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H19/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A22/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
105-88
105
88
+17
H25/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
94-72
94
72
+22
A29/03
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-9
18-16
37-20
16-17
21-34
31-21
31-13
31-21
28-15
22-14
24-22
27-11
29-20
27-19
23-24
22-23
20-14
17-18
28-23
16-27
27-18
29-19
26-13
20-16
25-20
29-22
19-20
17-20
18-26
23-14
10-16
23-19
26-15
35-37
22-20
22-16
23-22
27-15
21-16
23-19
172.2Avg total
95.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)95.383.4178.7+12.077%
Season at home (13)97.087.2184.2+9.877%
Season away (13)93.779.6173.3+14.177%
Last 10 (10)95.876.4172.2+19.480%
Last 5 (5)93.076.6169.6+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.092.5177.5-7.50%
vs Similar ◀ (2)90.583.5174.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker (26)95.083.4178.4+11.673%
This opponent (Karkkila) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarkkilaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H31/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A07/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
111-92
111
92
+19
H15/02
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A22/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
107-72
107
72
+35
H01/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H08/03
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
105-78
105
78
+27
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H21/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
83-62
83
62
+21
A25/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H27/03
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
16-23
19-25
19-24
30-20
29-20
20-24
19-18
35-23
31-18
24-29
21-22
23-24
15-15
8-26
18-22
21-14
22-19
32-24
32-15
20-30
26-20
14-15
23-15
31-15
29-17
25-21
20-25
18-24
27-21
28-24
22-24
18-24
29-13
18-13
18-12
19-17
24-29
10-14
37-23
172.8Avg total
91.4Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)92.179.1171.2+13.080%
Season at home (13)94.579.9174.5+14.685%
Season away (12)89.578.2167.8+11.275%
Last 10 (10)91.481.4172.8+10.080%
Last 5 (5)91.279.2170.4+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.794.3168.0-20.717%
vs Similar ◀ (3)80.782.3163.0-1.733%
vs Weaker (21)94.377.2171.5+17.090%
This opponent (Kipina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.9+2.9
KipinaKarkkila
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KipinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Raiders Basket
#12
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A06/02
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H14/02
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A18/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H01/03
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A07/03
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H15/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H19/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A22/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H25/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A29/03
I Divisioona A
88.8Avg total
50.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.841.790.5+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.844.594.3+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)47.938.886.7+9.180%-
Last 10 (10)50.038.888.8+11.290%-
Last 5 (5)52.441.694.0+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.539.083.5+5.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)47.543.090.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (26)49.341.891.0+7.573%-
This opponent (Karkkila) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarkkilaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jyvaskyla
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H31/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#10
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A07/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H15/02
I Divisioona A
ACO Basket
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A22/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H01/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#7
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H08/03
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
60-32
60
32
+28
A15/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A25/03
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/03
I Divisioona A
88.6Avg total
48.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.840.085.8+5.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.440.286.7+6.256%-
Last 30 away (14)45.139.684.7+5.457%-
Last 10 (10)48.739.988.6+8.860%-
Last 5 (5)48.242.090.2+6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.843.081.8-4.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.744.084.7-3.333%-
vs Weaker (21)48.538.587.0+10.071%-
This opponent (Kipina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kipinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kipina: 95.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.024.0
57.1%
51.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.7
35.4%
30.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.315.7
85.8%
67.7%15.7
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karkkilatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karkkila: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.024.3
55.2%
51.5%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.7
32.4%
30.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.313.7
67.5%
67.7%13.7
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kipina
WWLWWLWWWW
Karkkila
WWWWWWLWWL
#2
League position
#3
+20.7
Net rating
+10.7
100.8
Offensive rating
96.0
80.1
Defensive rating
85.3
55.5%
Effective FG%
52.6%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.4%
3-point %
32.4%
55.9%
Assist %
45.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 96.0Defence80.1 · 85.3Shooting55.5% · 52.6%3-point %35.4% · 32.4%Ball care14.5% · 13.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Kipina   ■ Karkkila
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kipina wins
0
Karkkila wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26Karkkila v Kipina84-95
12/10/25Kipina v Karkkila86-83
Kipinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26AToPo Helsinki94-72
25/03/26HToPo Helsinki105-88
22/03/26AToPo Helsinki74-75
19/03/26HToPo Helsinki90-82
15/03/26HPyrinto Akatemia102-66
07/03/26AACO Basket81-82
01/03/26HHelsingin NMKY101-86
18/02/26AHuima101-62
14/02/26HJyvaskyla114-89
06/02/26ARaiders Basket96-62
Karkkilalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26HHelsingin NMKY90-83
25/03/26AHelsingin NMKY83-62
21/03/26HHelsingin NMKY95-93
15/03/26ARaholan Pyrkiva105-78
08/03/26HToPo Helsinki83-80
01/03/26HPyrinto Akatemia107-72
22/02/26AACO Basket64-87
15/02/26HHelsingin NMKY111-92
07/02/26AHuima98-82
31/01/26HJyvaskyla78-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kipina
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayWWLLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %77%77%77%
Points / game95.397.093.7
Allowed / game83.487.279.6
Point differential+12.0+9.8+14.1
Avg total178.7184.2173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%54%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karkkila
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %80%85%75%
Points / game92.194.589.5
Allowed / game79.179.978.2
Point differential+13.0+14.6+11.2
Avg total171.2174.5167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%54%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 ACO Basket2524196%91.268.2+23.0
2 Karkkila2520580%92.179.1+13.0
3 Kipina2620677%95.383.4+12.0
4 Jyvaskyla2718967%82.977.0+5.8
5 Raholan Pyrkiva27141352%75.577.1-1.6
6 Helsingin NMKY25111444%80.286.5-6.3
7 ToPo Helsinki26111542%79.581.5-2.0
8 HBA-Marsky Helsinki25101540%79.380.2-0.9
9 Pyrinto Akatemia2271532%75.686.5-10.9
10 Huima2261627%77.485.7-8.3
11 Lappeenranta2241818%71.885.7-13.9
12 Raiders Basket222209%72.489.0-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kipina2225202592
Karkkila2817271183
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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