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Karkkila vs Lappeenranta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 107-66
22-15 32-17 28-17 25-17
Position#3
Record0-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game86.0
Karkkila 🏆
Finland
vs
Lappeenranta
Finland
Position#11
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game95.0
FinlandI Divisioona A
Other2025-26
Meetings · Karkkila v Lappeenranta
19 Oct 2025
KARK107
LAPP66
28 Mar 2009
KARK74
LAPP100
28 Dec 2008
KARK68
LAPP77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karkkila winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lappeenranta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarkkilaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarkkila
Date
Competition
Porvoon Tarmo
#12
W
74-65
74
65
+9
no box
H16/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#6
L
58-70
58
70
-12
no box
A18/03
Korisliiga
Honka
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
H21/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
68-105
68
105
-37
no box
A25/03
Korisliiga
Lappeenranta
#10
L
74-100
74
100
-26
no box
H28/03
Korisliiga
Namika Lahti
#2
L
71-108
71
108
-37
no box
A04/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#5
L
56-96
56
96
-40
no box
H08/04
Korisliiga
Forssan Koripojat
#9
L
85-87
85
87
-2
no box
H11/04
Korisliiga
ToPo Helsinki
#8
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
A13/04
Korisliiga
Kipina
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
74avg 74
A12/10
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
16-17
18-11
21-23
13-23
18-17
19-10
8-20
18-20
12-22
18-18
17-19
14-26
20-24
18-27
16-28
22-23
19-29
15-21
18-27
16-30
19-14
15-32
21-32
8-21
22-18
11-30
15-27
18-22
21-22
20-24
26-19
18-23
18-14
22-14
17-15
20-14
21-21
26-26
16-25
157.1Avg total
70.9Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.086.0169.0-3.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)83.086.0169.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)70.986.2157.1-15.320%
Last 5 (5)74.088.6162.6-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)70.984.6155.5-13.717%
vs Similar (6)71.871.3143.2+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LappeenrantaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLappeenranta
Date
Competition
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
W
93-68
93
68
+25
85avg 68
H16/01
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#8
W
82-68
82
68
+14
65avg 68
A25/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
L
77-91
77
91
-14
66avg 68
H30/01
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
65-70
65
70
-5
57avg 68
A07/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
L
84-92
84
92
-8
75avg 68
A13/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
84avg 68
H20/02
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
L
53-83
53
83
-30
30avg 68
A01/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
56avg 68
H06/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
86-102
86
102
-16
77avg 68
A16/03
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
L
89-95
89
95
-6
85avg 68
H09/10
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
16-11
22-19
26-17
17-16
26-19
17-19
22-14
18-29
18-20
20-16
21-26
16-22
12-21
18-12
19-15
24-24
22-25
15-27
23-16
20-6
21-26
23-18
14-28
18-19
7-24
15-17
13-23
19-20
12-24
20-14
23-23
15-27
19-21
26-27
26-27
18-31
26-25
23-23
22-16
163.9Avg total
79.9Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.095.0184.0-6.00%
Season at home (1)89.095.0184.0-6.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.984.0163.9-4.130%
Last 5 (5)79.690.2169.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.987.6163.6-11.77%
vs Similar (11)84.581.8166.3+2.655%
vs Weaker (5)81.278.8160.0+2.460%
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
KarkkilaLappeenranta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarkkilaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Porvoon Tarmo
#12
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H16/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A18/03
Korisliiga
Honka
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H21/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A25/03
Korisliiga
Lappeenranta
#10
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H28/03
Korisliiga
Namika Lahti
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A04/04
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#5
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H08/04
Korisliiga
Forssan Koripojat
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H11/04
Korisliiga
ToPo Helsinki
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A13/04
Korisliiga
Kipina
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/10
I Divisioona A
76.6Avg total
35.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.139.574.6-4.334%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.340.775.0-6.429%-
Last 30 away (15)35.938.374.3-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)35.241.476.6-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.876.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)34.740.875.5-6.226%-
vs Similar (6)37.034.371.3+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Lappeenranta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LappeenrantaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H16/01
I Divisioona A
Oulu
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A25/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#6
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H30/01
I Divisioona A
Lahti Basketball
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A07/02
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A13/02
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#11
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H20/02
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#9
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A01/03
I Divisioona A
ToPo Helsinki
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H06/03
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A16/03
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Akatemia
#9
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H09/10
I Divisioona A
80.4Avg total
37.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.843.181.9-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.240.278.4-2.040%-
Last 30 away (15)39.546.085.5-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)37.343.180.4-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.044.679.6-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.645.482.0-8.77%-
vs Similar (11)41.042.083.0-1.045%-
vs Weaker (5)40.239.279.4+1.060%-
This opponent (Karkkila) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karkkilatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karkkila: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.019.0
45.2%
51.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.0
33.3%
30.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.012.0
80.0%
67.7%12.0
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lappeenrantatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lappeenranta: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.2 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.3
48.2%
51.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.610.7
31.8%
30.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws11.68.2
70.7%
67.7%8.2
They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karkkila
LWLLLLLLLW
Lappeenranta
LLLLWLLLWW
#3
League position
#11
-4.9
Net rating
-5.6
101.4
Offensive rating
102.2
106.3
Defensive rating
107.8
47.3%
Effective FG%
48.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
19.9%
Turnover %
15.2%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.16
33.3%
3-point %
31.8%
56.7%
Assist %
55.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 102.2Defence106.3 · 107.8Shooting47.3% · 48.0%3-point %33.3% · 31.8%Ball care19.9% · 15.2%Off. rebounds36.2% · 29.2%Free throws0.20 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Karkkila   ■ Lappeenranta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Karkkila wins
3
Lappeenranta wins
DateGameScore
28/03/09Karkkila v Lappeenranta74-100
04/02/09Lappeenranta v Karkkila69-57
28/12/08Karkkila v Lappeenranta68-77
25/10/08Lappeenranta v Karkkila79-84
Karkkilalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25AKipina83-86
13/04/09AToPo Helsinki75-66
11/04/09HForssan Koripojat85-87
08/04/09HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki56-96
04/04/09ANamika Lahti71-108
28/03/09HLappeenranta74-100
25/03/09AKouvot Kouvola68-105
21/03/09HHonka65-79
18/03/09APyrinto Tampere58-70
16/03/09HPorvoon Tarmo74-65
Lappeenrantalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25HPyrinto Akatemia89-95
16/03/25AKipina86-102
06/03/25HToPo Helsinki74-81
01/03/25ARaholan Pyrkiva53-83
20/02/25HHelsingin NMKY96-90 OT
13/02/25APyrinto Tampere 284-92
07/02/25ALahti Basketball65-70
30/01/25HHuima77-91
25/01/25AOulu82-68
16/01/25HHBA-Marsky Helsinki93-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karkkila
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game83.0-83.0
Allowed / game86.0-86.0
Point differential-3.0--3.0
Avg total169.0-169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Lappeenranta
I Divisioona A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game95.095.0-
Point differential-6.0-6.0-
Avg total184.0184.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsingin NMKY110100%94.058.0+36.0
2 ACO Basket220100%82.061.5+20.5
3 Jyvaskyla110100%88.078.0+10.0
4 Kipina220100%89.582.0+7.5
5 HBA-Marsky Helsinki21150%72.567.0+5.5
6 Raholan Pyrkiva21150%82.586.5-4.0
7 Pyrinto Akatemia21150%77.084.5-7.5
8 Karkkila1010%83.086.0-3.0
9 ToPo Helsinki1010%80.084.0-4.0
10 Lappeenranta1010%89.095.0-6.0
11 Huima1010%78.088.0-10.0
12 Raiders Basket2020%58.091.5-33.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karkkila22322825107
Lappeenranta1517171766
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