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Karpos vs Partizan Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-84
20-22 21-20 20-20 16-22
Position#11
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game66.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 4
Domestic2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karpos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Partizan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarposLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feni Industries
#4
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H20/04
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#1
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A24/04
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H06/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A08/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H10/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A13/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H15/05
Superleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A01/10
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H05/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
59-83
59
83
-24
A07/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
21-15
22-18
29-15
28-21
14-23
24-12
17-12
17-23
28-21
28-18
24-29
15-16
17-23
16-18
15-9
23-16
24-12
12-16
15-21
15-24
19-16
11-15
12-18
20-31
21-16
12-12
20-25
16-28
14-26
20-13
14-14
18-26
14-21
22-20
25-17
10-24
22-18
19-14
8-27
150.6Avg total
74.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.382.7150.0-15.30%
Season at home (1)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
Season away (2)61.582.0143.5-20.50%
Last 10 (10)74.176.5150.6-2.440%
Last 5 (5)66.481.0147.4-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)59.083.0142.0-24.00%
vs Similar (5)70.475.2145.6-4.820%
vs Weaker (24)86.274.2160.5+12.071%
This opponent (Partizan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#4
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H28/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A30/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H01/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
53-84
53
84
-31
A03/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H05/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A07/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H09/06
Super League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A01/10
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#13
W
93-62
93
62
+31
A04/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H07/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-16
25-11
26-14
19-22
20-19
16-24
14-18
24-18
24-10
17-16
28-28
18-24
15-21
12-21
12-22
14-20
25-21
29-16
18-25
14-25
5-13
22-16
26-18
22-25
22-18
17-23
9-15
17-14
10-18
17-10
15-15
16-14
29-16
19-9
22-21
23-16
25-21
23-21
22-15
17-24
149.3Avg total
76.0Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.366.7146.0+12.7100%
Season at home (1)87.081.0168.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)75.559.5135.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.073.3149.3+2.760%
Last 5 (5)75.668.4144.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.375.3148.7-2.044%
vs Similar (8)85.683.9169.5+1.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.872.0155.8+11.883%
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
KarposPartizan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarposLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feni Industries
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H20/04
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A24/04
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A08/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H10/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H15/05
Superleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A01/10
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H05/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A07/10
ABA League
79.8Avg total
37.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.979.2+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.637.578.1+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.040.380.3-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)37.642.279.8-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.846.079.8-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)32.042.074.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (5)33.444.077.4-10.60%-
vs Weaker (24)42.137.779.8+4.471%-
This opponent (Partizan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#4
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H28/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A30/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#4
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H01/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A03/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H05/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A07/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/06
Super League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A01/10
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#13
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A04/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H07/10
ABA League
72.4Avg total
38.4Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.436.676.9+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.336.781.0+7.671%-
Last 30 away (16)36.936.473.4+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)38.434.072.4+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.070.8+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.137.876.9+1.344%-
vs Similar (8)40.837.878.5+3.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.334.674.9+5.867%-
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karpostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karpos: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.715.0
44.6%
51.9%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.06.3
24.4%
34.3%19.0
🏀 Free throws21.017.0
81.0%
73.3%17.0
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Partizantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Partizan: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.316.3
53.8%
51.9%32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.3
39.7%
34.3%31.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.0
75.0%
73.3%15.0
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karpos
LLLLLWLWWW
Partizan
WWWLWLLWLW
#11
League position
#2
-21.2
Net rating
+16.9
87.3
Offensive rating
105.0
108.4
Defensive rating
88.1
41.1%
Effective FG%
56.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
40.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
20.4%
19.8%
Off. rebound %
19.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
24.4%
3-point %
39.7%
65.6%
Assist %
68.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence87.3 · 105.0Defence108.4 · 88.1Shooting41.1% · 56.5%3-point %24.4% · 39.7%Ball care17.6% · 20.4%Off. rebounds19.8% · 19.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Karpos   ■ Partizan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karpos wins
0
Partizan wins
No previous meetings.
Karposlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/16AMornar Bar59-83
05/10/16HIgokea79-84
01/10/16AKK Krka Novo mesto64-81
15/05/16HKumanovo73-84
13/05/16AKumanovo57-73
10/05/16HKumanovo74-65
08/05/16AKumanovo63-66
06/05/16HKumanovo97-91
24/04/16AMZT Skopje83-68
20/04/16HFeni Industries92-70
Partizanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/16HCibona87-81
04/10/16AMZT Skopje93-62
01/10/16AMornar Bar58-57
09/06/16HCrvena zvezda65-70
07/06/16ACrvena zvezda75-72
05/06/16HCrvena zvezda86-87
03/06/16ACrvena zvezda53-84
01/06/16HFMP Beograd87-78
30/05/16AFMP Beograd74-79
28/05/16HFMP Beograd82-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karpos
ABA League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.379.061.5
Allowed / game82.784.082.0
Point differential-15.3-5.0-20.5
Avg total150.0163.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Partizan
ABA League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.387.075.5
Allowed / game66.781.059.5
Point differential+12.7+6.0+16.0
Avg total146.0168.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda440100%94.568.8+25.8
2 Buducnost440100%90.275.5+14.8
3 Partizan330100%79.366.7+12.7
4 Cibona43175%83.080.5+2.5
5 FMP Beograd32167%81.374.3+7.0
6 Igokea32167%72.774.0-1.3
7 Cedevita42250%84.072.8+11.2
8 Petrol Olimpija31233%79.377.0+2.3
9 KK Krka Novo mesto31233%68.075.0-7.0
10 Mornar Bar41325%75.272.2+3.0
11 Mega Bemax41325%81.891.0-9.2
12 Zadar41325%73.8101.0-27.2
13 Karpos3030%67.382.7-15.3
14 MZT Skopje4040%69.288.8-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karpos2021201677
Partizan2220202284
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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