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Tofas vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 87-78
23-20 24-26 14-11 26-21
Position#9
Record10-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game86.1
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#15
Record8-20
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game87.8
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 29· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Tofas v Karsiyaka
23 Apr 2027
TOF v KAR
upcoming
03 May 2026
TOF87
KAR78
17 May 2025
TOF90
KAR76
21 Apr 2024
TOF111
KAR91
05 Mar 2023
TOF81
KAR86
12 Dec 2021
TOF69
KAR71
30 Mar 2021
TOF90
KAR79
17 Oct 2020
TOF78
KAR88
07 Dec 2019
TOF94
KAR88
26 Jan 2019
TOF93
KAR91
15 Apr 2018
TOF94
KAR75
21 Jan 2017
TOF80
KAR86
06 Nov 2012
TOF63
KAR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#1
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A11/03
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
W
115-113 OT
115
113
+2
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H18/03
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
71-91
71
91
-20
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
96-100
96
100
-4
A12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
H17/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A25/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
23-20
21-28
18-19
18-19
33-30
17-23
20-24
26-26
29-24
21-28
27-25
26-19
21-30
14-30
29-19
24-21
23-27
18-17
23-28
21-21
22-30
27-16
12-25
20-28
10-25
22-13
19-25
30-23
17-26
23-20
26-31
25-29
14-22
30-20
15-27
14-19
20-21
14-17
28-21
182.1Avg total
87.1Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.286.1170.3-1.936%
Season at home (13)83.382.0165.3+1.354%
Season away (15)85.089.6174.6-4.620%
Last 10 (10)87.195.0182.1-7.910%
Last 5 (5)81.891.8173.6-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.487.3169.6-4.921%
vs Similar (10)84.488.3172.7-3.920%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)95.392.3187.7+3.067%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
81-98
81
98
-17
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
19-28
22-25
21-23
11-22
28-18
9-22
24-20
17-21
15-23
17-26
30-19
13-32
17-10
19-32
26-11
18-29
21-23
18-23
21-17
21-31
34-11
19-30
18-15
27-28
19-23
19-20
21-21
21-23
28-30
18-13
29-21
20-14
26-21
20-20
22-19
11-13
20-18
21-19
16-17
166.8Avg total
81.5Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.287.8168.0-7.629%
Season at home (14)79.584.7164.2-5.243%
Season away (14)80.990.9171.8-9.914%
Last 10 (10)81.585.3166.8-3.840%
Last 5 (5)86.081.4167.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.589.9167.4-12.416%
vs Similar (11)84.285.0169.2-0.845%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +4.5+4.5
TofasKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#1
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A11/03
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H18/03
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H17/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
91.9Avg total
43.5Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.985.5-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.144.484.4-4.329%-
Last 30 away (16)42.943.486.4-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)43.548.491.9-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)38.648.887.4-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.642.182.8-1.550%-
vs Similar (10)39.746.586.2-6.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.043.590.5+3.583%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.5Avg total
40.5Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.845.585.3-5.717%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.143.482.5-4.320%-
Last 30 away (15)40.547.788.1-7.213%-
Last 10 (10)40.544.084.5-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.487.8+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.945.784.6-6.811%-
vs Similar (11)41.445.286.5-3.827%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.022.2
60.0%
54.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.4
31.9%
35.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws25.419.8
78.0%
76.0%19.8
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.6
54.6%
54.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.7
33.8%
35.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws24.818.7
75.4%
76.0%18.7
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLLLLLLWLL
Karsiyaka
WWWLWLLLLL
#9
League position
#15
-9.4
Net rating
-3.4
100.8
Offensive rating
98.7
110.2
Defensive rating
102.2
55.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
14.4%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.42
31.9%
3-point %
33.8%
70.6%
Assist %
59.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 98.7Defence110.2 · 102.2Shooting55.3% · 53.1%3-point %31.9% · 33.8%Ball care14.4% · 14.5%Free throws0.42 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Tofas   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tofas wins
5
Karsiyaka wins
DateGameScore
02/01/26Karsiyaka v Tofas107-101 OT
17/05/25Tofas v Karsiyaka90-76
19/01/25Karsiyaka v Tofas81-93
21/04/24Tofas v Karsiyaka111-91
24/12/23Karsiyaka v Tofas98-71
05/03/23Tofas v Karsiyaka81-86
21/10/22Karsiyaka v Tofas72-83
09/04/22Karsiyaka v Tofas79-78
12/12/21Tofas v Karsiyaka69-71
30/03/21Tofas v Karsiyaka90-79
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26ABahcesehir Kol.76-78
17/04/26HBesiktas84-98
12/04/26AManisa96-100
04/04/26HTrabzonspor71-91
29/03/26AAnadolu Efes82-92
21/03/26HMerkezefendi88-93
18/03/26HAS Karditsas90-98
15/03/26ABursaspor115-113 OT
11/03/26AAEK Athens88-96
08/03/26HEsenler Erokspor81-91
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26HEsenler Erokspor68-67
18/04/26ABahcesehir Kol.88-74
11/04/26HBuyukcekmece96-87
06/04/26ABesiktas86-92
29/03/26HMersin SK92-87
22/03/26AManisa78-92
14/03/26HTurk Telekom75-85
08/03/26ATrabzonspor79-89
15/02/26HGalatasaray72-82
08/02/26AAnadolu Efes81-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeLLLLL54%
AwayWWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %36%54%20%
Points / game84.283.385.0
Allowed / game86.182.089.6
Point differential-1.9+1.3-4.6
Avg total170.3165.3174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)33% (3)14% (7)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW29%
HomeLLWWW43%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game80.279.580.9
Allowed / game87.884.790.9
Point differential-7.6-5.2-9.9
Avg total168.0164.2171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2824486%88.479.4+9.1
2 Besiktas2723485%87.276.8+10.4
3 Bahcesehir Kol.2921872%83.177.7+5.4
4 Turk Telekom2920969%87.481.1+6.2
5 Anadolu Efes29191066%87.581.6+5.9
6 Trabzonspor29181162%86.082.0+4.0
7 Esenler Erokspor29161355%81.778.6+3.1
8 Galatasaray29161355%85.883.9+1.9
9 Merkezefendi29121741%82.187.0-4.9
10 Tofas28101836%84.286.1-1.9
11 Manisa29101934%81.886.3-4.5
12 Bursaspor29101934%81.388.5-7.2
13 Petkim Spor2891932%80.787.9-7.2
14 Mersin SK2992031%84.788.3-3.6
15 Karsiyaka2882029%80.287.8-7.6
16 Buyukcekmece2942514%80.889.5-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2324142687
Karsiyaka2026112178
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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