PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Karsiyaka vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 May 2026
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 84-82
16-14 15-34 31-18 22-16
Position#15
Record8-21
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Position#12
Record10-19
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game88.5
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 30· Mustafa Kemal Ataturk Sport Hall
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Karsiyaka v Bursaspor
05 Mar 2027
KAR v BUR
upcoming
10 May 2026
KAR84
BUR82
29 Mar 2025
KAR82
BUR78
05 Nov 2023
KAR95
BUR75
26 May 2023
KAR91
BUR83
24 Dec 2022
KAR81
BUR80
16 Oct 2021
KAR76
BUR62
27 Mar 2021
KAR84
BUR85
01 Feb 2020
KAR76
BUR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karsiyaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#7
L
72-82
72
82
-10
70avg 74
H15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
72avg 74
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
66avg 74
H14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
78-92
78
92
-14
62avg 74
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 74
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 74
A06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
96-87
96
87
+9
91avg 74
H11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
88-74
88
74
+14
91avg 74
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
68-67
68
67
+1
58avg 74
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 74
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
28-18
9-22
24-20
17-21
15-23
17-26
30-19
13-32
17-10
19-32
26-11
18-29
21-23
18-23
21-17
21-31
34-11
19-30
18-15
27-28
19-23
19-20
21-21
21-23
28-30
18-13
29-21
20-14
26-21
20-20
22-19
11-13
20-18
21-19
16-17
20-23
26-24
11-14
21-26
165.4Avg total
81.2Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.187.8167.9-7.628%
Season at home (14)79.584.7164.2-5.243%
Season away (15)80.790.6171.3-9.913%
Last 10 (10)81.284.2165.4-3.040%
Last 5 (5)83.281.4164.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)77.689.5167.1-11.916%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.285.0169.2-0.845%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#2
L
61-88
61
88
-27
50avg 72
H14/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
61-100
61
100
-39
52avg 72
A07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
113-115 OT
113
115
-2
107avg 72
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
82-91
82
91
-9
78avg 72
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
74avg 72
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
70-92
70
92
-22
55avg 72
A05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
92-94
92
94
-2
50avg 72
H12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 72
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-72
91
72
+19
88avg 72
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 72
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
11-18
15-25
20-20
17-20
12-30
19-27
13-23
26-26
24-29
28-21
25-27
18-19
21-28
18-22
25-22
16-19
23-13
26-24
10-19
17-26
22-21
18-21
13-24
28-28
25-25
15-22
24-19
18-29
20-18
21-19
27-18
24-27
25-10
18-19
24-16
23-24
26-25
16-19
18-14
172.9Avg total
82.8Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.388.5169.9-7.234%
Season at home (15)85.787.9173.6-2.347%
Season away (14)76.789.1165.9-12.421%
Last 10 (10)82.890.1172.9-7.340%
Last 5 (5)84.484.8169.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)77.792.0169.7-14.316%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.786.0172.7+0.755%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
KarsiyakaBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.0Avg total
41.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.345.385.5-5.017%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.642.682.2-2.921%-
Last 30 away (16)40.847.688.4-6.812%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.785.0-2.420%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.487.0+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.645.384.9-5.711%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.445.286.5-3.827%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#2
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H14/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
87.1Avg total
41.1Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.445.885.2-6.420%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.644.586.1-2.931%-
Last 30 away (14)36.947.284.1-10.37%-
Last 10 (10)41.146.087.1-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)45.646.692.2-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.846.985.7-8.216%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.543.784.2-3.327%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.3
54.2%
54.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.6
33.0%
35.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws26.019.3
74.2%
76.0%19.3
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.8
52.0%
54.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.3
34.9%
35.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.714.9
79.7%
76.0%14.9
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karsiyaka
LWWWLWLLLL
Bursaspor
WWWLLWLLLL
#15
League position
#12
-2.4
Net rating
-13.6
98.4
Offensive rating
94.1
100.8
Defensive rating
107.6
52.4%
Effective FG%
52.1%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.0%
3-point %
34.9%
59.9%
Assist %
66.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 94.1Defence100.8 · 107.6Shooting52.4% · 52.1%3-point %33.0% · 34.9%Ball care14.5% · 14.8%Free throws0.44 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Karsiyaka   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Karsiyaka wins
3
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Bursaspor v Karsiyaka86-84
29/03/25Karsiyaka v Bursaspor82-78
30/11/24Bursaspor v Karsiyaka70-76
01/03/24Bursaspor v Karsiyaka68-102
05/11/23Karsiyaka v Bursaspor95-75
30/05/23Bursaspor v Karsiyaka76-92
26/05/23Karsiyaka v Bursaspor91-83 OT
30/04/23Bursaspor v Karsiyaka106-99
24/12/22Karsiyaka v Bursaspor81-80
13/04/22Bursaspor v Karsiyaka84-77
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/26ATofas78-87
26/04/26HEsenler Erokspor68-67
18/04/26ABahcesehir Kol.88-74
11/04/26HBuyukcekmece96-87
06/04/26ABesiktas86-92
29/03/26HMersin SK92-87
22/03/26AManisa78-92
14/03/26HTurk Telekom75-85
08/03/26ATrabzonspor79-89
15/02/26HGalatasaray72-82
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26AEsenler Erokspor83-82
26/04/26HBuyukcekmece91-72
18/04/26AMersin SK86-84
12/04/26HTurk Telekom92-94
05/04/26AGalatasaray70-92
29/03/26HFenerbahce89-83 OT
23/03/26APetkim Spor82-91
15/03/26HTofas113-115 OT
07/03/26ABahcesehir Kol.61-100
14/02/26HBesiktas61-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL28%
HomeLLWWW43%
AwayLLLWL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %28%43%13%
Points / game80.179.580.7
Allowed / game87.884.790.6
Point differential-7.6-5.2-9.9
Avg total167.9164.2171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW34%
HomeLLWLW47%
AwayLLLWW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %34%47%21%
Points / game81.385.776.7
Allowed / game88.587.989.1
Point differential-7.2-2.3-12.4
Avg total169.9173.6165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)43% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %14%27%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas2824486%87.076.5+10.4
2 Fenerbahce2824486%88.479.4+9.1
3 Bahcesehir Kol.2921872%83.177.7+5.4
4 Turk Telekom2920969%87.481.1+6.2
5 Anadolu Efes30201067%88.381.5+6.8
6 Trabzonspor29181162%86.082.0+4.0
7 Esenler Erokspor30171357%81.378.3+3.0
8 Galatasaray29161355%85.883.9+1.9
9 Merkezefendi30121840%81.686.4-4.8
10 Tofas29111838%84.385.8-1.5
11 Manisa29101934%81.886.3-4.5
12 Bursaspor29101934%81.388.5-7.2
13 Mersin SK2992031%84.788.3-3.6
14 Petkim Spor2992031%80.387.6-7.3
15 Karsiyaka2982128%80.187.8-7.6
16 Buyukcekmece3042613%80.790.3-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karsiyaka1615312284
Bursaspor1434181682
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.