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Karsiyaka vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2015
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 99-85
30-16 23-25 20-19 26-25
Position#7
Record7-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#42
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeEurocupRound 2
European cup2014
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karsiyaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarsiyakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#38
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A22/10
Eurocup
Ventspils
#40
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A29/10
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#36
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H05/11
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A12/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#26
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A19/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#38
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H26/11
Eurocup
Ventspils
#40
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H03/12
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#36
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A10/12
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
H17/12
Eurocup
Besiktas
#12
W
105-77
105
77
+28
A07/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
17-16
20-18
20-18
23-18
24-16
22-16
12-22
26-14
24-13
12-24
21-16
21-20
4-19
20-16
18-20
20-24
21-21
16-20
22-9
22-12
23-20
21-21
20-25
21-12
17-20
16-21
17-14
15-18
13-19
24-14
17-20
25-34
20-20
25-25
15-14
29-16
25-23
30-22
21-16
155.7Avg total
80.4Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.576.4156.8+4.164%
Season at home (5)81.278.4159.6+2.860%
Season away (6)79.874.7154.5+5.267%
Last 10 (10)80.475.3155.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)83.277.2160.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.282.4158.6-6.138%
vs Similar (9)79.381.6160.9-2.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)79.972.7152.6+7.283%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#5
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A05/12
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#4
W
86-70
86
70
+16
A08/12
LKL
Galatasaray
#23
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H10/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#10
W
116-73
116
73
+43
A15/12
LKL
Valencia
#21
L
65-103
65
103
-38
A18/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
A28/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A30/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H04/01
LKL
Levallois
#14
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H07/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
106-78
106
78
+28
H10/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
17-23
17-22
26-20
22-20
24-18
22-15
18-17
22-18
18-19
23-23
19-12
33-29
24-20
23-16
36-8
17-28
14-24
18-23
16-28
20-26
19-10
19-25
23-20
19-19
19-20
21-18
26-22
20-18
25-21
25-22
25-16
16-25
25-11
28-18
13-19
29-12
24-27
27-20
26-19
169.4Avg total
89.0Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.073.0155.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)82.073.0155.0+9.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.080.4169.4+8.680%
Last 5 (5)92.479.4171.8+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.284.4159.6-9.242%
vs Similar (2)75.083.0158.0-8.050%
vs Weaker (16)93.974.4168.3+19.6100%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +4.7+4.7
KarsiyakaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#38
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A22/10
Eurocup
Ventspils
#40
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A29/10
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#36
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H05/11
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#26
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A19/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#38
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H26/11
Eurocup
Ventspils
#40
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H03/12
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#36
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A10/12
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H17/12
Eurocup
Besiktas
#12
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A07/01
Eurocup
79.7Avg total
41.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.876.9+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.735.776.4+5.069%-
Last 30 away (14)37.240.277.4-3.021%-
Last 10 (10)41.538.279.7+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.880.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.942.982.8-3.038%-
vs Similar (9)38.238.476.7-0.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.133.772.8+5.467%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#5
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A05/12
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/12
LKL
Galatasaray
#23
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H10/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#10
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A15/12
LKL
Valencia
#21
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A18/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A28/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A30/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H04/01
LKL
Levallois
#14
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H10/01
LKL
83.8Avg total
42.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.180.2+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.236.182.3+10.187%-
Last 30 away (15)38.140.078.1-1.953%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.283.8+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.881.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.240.176.2-3.950%-
vs Similar (2)36.041.577.5-5.550%-
vs Weaker (16)47.436.183.6+11.388%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karsiyaka wins
0
Neptunas wins
No previous meetings.
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/15ABesiktas105-77
17/12/14HLokomotiv Kuban85-93
10/12/14AZielona Gora69-71
03/12/14HVentspils71-67
26/11/14HBuducnost86-78
19/11/14APAOK79-74
12/11/14ALokomotiv Kuban63-75
05/11/14HZielona Gora83-67
29/10/14AVentspils81-72
22/10/14ABuducnost82-79
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/15HNevezis106-78
07/01/15HLevallois82-73
04/01/15HMazeikiai95-77
30/12/14AJuventus85-79
28/12/14ARytas94-90 OT
18/12/14AValencia65-103
15/12/14ANevezis116-73
10/12/14HGalatasaray82-72
08/12/14APieno Zvaigzdes86-70
05/12/14AOlympiacos79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karsiyaka
Eurocup 2014
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game80.581.279.8
Allowed / game76.478.474.7
Point differential+4.1+2.8+5.2
Avg total156.8159.6154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Neptunas
Eurocup 2014
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game82.082.0-
Allowed / game73.073.0-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban12120100%79.564.5+15.0
2 Gran Canaria11110100%84.470.9+13.5
3 Cedevita220100%83.072.5+10.5
4 Bayern110100%93.084.0+9.0
5 Neptunas110100%82.073.0+9.0
6 Rytas119282%85.378.2+7.1
7 Khimki M.129375%86.677.1+9.5
8 Strasbourg129375%74.770.8+3.9
9 Virtus Roma118373%82.576.3+6.3
10 Bamberg117464%76.367.0+9.3
11 Karsiyaka117464%80.576.4+4.1
12 Oostende117464%78.475.4+3.0
13 Besiktas127558%77.875.2+2.5
14 Banvit127558%78.075.9+2.1
15 Zenit Petersburg127558%81.680.2+1.3
16 PAOK127558%71.972.8-0.9
17 Petrol Olimpija116555%78.677.5+1.1
18 Nancy116555%74.774.5+0.3
19 Dijon116555%72.275.6-3.5
20 Valencia21150%69.560.0+9.5
21 Limoges21150%70.569.0+1.5
22 Levallois126650%76.677.0-0.4
23 Unics Kazan21150%68.069.5-1.5
24 Volgograd126650%74.277.5-3.3
25 Sassari21150%75.582.5-7.0
26 Tecnyconta Zaragoza115645%82.881.4+1.5
27 Real Betis115645%76.377.4-1.1
28 CSU Ploiesti115645%79.483.5-4.1
29 Cantu125742%76.276.5-0.3
30 Nymburk125742%75.878.2-2.4
31 Oldenburg104640%73.773.7+0.0
32 Bonn104640%77.485.1-7.7
33 Partizan103730%73.477.4-4.0
34 Lyon-Villeurbanne103730%74.479.1-4.7
35 Szolnoki Olaj103730%74.882.2-7.4
36 Zielona Gora103730%72.280.9-8.7
37 Spirou Charleroi103730%70.580.2-9.7
38 Buducnost113827%77.579.2-1.7
39 Hapoel M. Jerusalem102820%80.682.7-2.1
40 Ventspils102820%66.572.4-5.9
41 Reggiana102820%73.580.8-7.3
42 Artland101910%72.577.0-4.5
43 VEF Riga101910%70.583.2-12.7
44 Turow Zgorzelec1010%86.098.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karsiyaka3023202699
Neptunas1625192585
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