Juventus vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 79-85

19-19 20-19 18-21 22-26

Position#5

Record13-6

FormWWLWW

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game74.4

Juventus

Neptunas 🏆

Position#3

Record15-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game88.6

Allowed / game75.1

LKL

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Juventus v Neptunas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Neptunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Juventus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

91-89 OT

A23/11

LKL

Siauliai

86-84 OT

H26/11

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

59-57

A29/11

LKL

Neptunas

73-84

-11

A02/12

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

75-76

-1

H07/12

LKL

Rakvere Tarvas

#13

88-82

A09/12

Baltic League

Rapla

#17

79-63

+16

A10/12

Baltic League

Rytas

61-76

-15

A14/12

LKL

Nevezis

#10

112-86

112

+26

A23/12

LKL

Lietkabelis

78-61

+17

H28/12

LKL

25-20

20-19

17-17

10-16

21-20

18-13

14-18

20-22

10-5

19-20

15-14

15-18

16-27

20-19

18-19

19-19

31-14

10-23

16-19

18-20

23-19

19-14

22-29

24-20

18-12

20-20

22-18

19-13

19-14

15-23

7-21

20-18

27-17

27-19

24-24

34-26

21-18

25-8

13-15

19-20

156.0Avg total

80.2Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	78.2	74.4	152.6	+3.7	68%
Season at home (9)	74.8	72.1	146.9	+2.7	67%
Season away (10)	81.2	76.5	157.7	+4.7	70%
Last 10 (10)	80.2	75.8	156.0	+4.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	73.6	157.2	+10.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	72.3	80.8	153.2	-8.5	17%
vs Similar (9)	76.2	79.3	155.6	-3.1	44%
vs Weaker (15)	85.8	68.3	154.1	+17.5	100%

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

#13

80-79

H20/11

Euroleague

Alytaus Dzukija

91-75

+16

A23/11

LKL

Crvena zvezda

#15

62-79

-17

A27/11

Euroleague

Juventus

84-73

+11

H02/12

LKL

Olympiacos

79-89

-10

A05/12

Euroleague

Pieno Zvaigzdes

86-70

+16

A08/12

LKL

Galatasaray

#23

82-72

+10

H10/12

Euroleague

Nevezis

#10

116-73

116

+43

A15/12

LKL

Valencia

#21

65-103

103

-38

A18/12

Euroleague

Rytas

94-90 OT

A28/12

LKL

20-15

21-18

20-21

19-25

24-9

18-24

22-16

27-26

14-22

23-13

10-27

15-17

27-16

19-20

19-18

19-19

19-24

17-23

17-22

26-20

22-20

24-18

22-15

18-17

22-18

18-19

23-23

19-12

33-29

24-20

23-16

36-8

17-28

14-24

18-23

16-28

20-26

19-10

19-25

23-20

164.2Avg total

83.9Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	88.6	75.1	163.7	+13.5	88%
Season at home (8)	91.8	74.5	166.2	+17.2	88%
Season away (9)	85.8	75.7	161.4	+10.1	89%
Last 10 (10)	83.9	80.3	164.2	+3.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.6	81.6	170.2	+7.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	74.9	86.0	160.9	-11.1	36%
vs Similar (2)	75.0	83.0	158.0	-8.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	92.8	73.4	166.2	+19.4	100%

This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

JuventusNeptunas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	17.6	37.8	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.5	18.1	36.5	+0.4	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	16.6	37.7	+4.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.0	37.6	+5.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.6	19.8	36.3	-3.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.3	16.2	36.5	+4.1	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	18.7	42.6	+5.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	21.5	40.9	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.7	42.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	24.2	47.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.3	22.0	40.3	-3.7	29%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	25.1	18.4	43.5	+6.8	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	17.0	36.5	+2.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.8	38.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.8	22.7	41.5	-3.8	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.9	19.6	38.4	-0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.1	17.3	39.3	+4.8	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	18.1	40.3	+4.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	19.8	38.5	-1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.1	43%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.4	17.9	40.2	+4.5	64%	-

JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

45-39

A23/11

LKL

Siauliai

39-33

H26/11

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

29-25

A29/11

LKL

Neptunas

36-46

-10

A02/12

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

41-37

H07/12

LKL

Rakvere Tarvas

#13

42-33

A09/12

Baltic League

Rapla

#17

38-32

A10/12

Baltic League

Rytas

34-37

-3

A14/12

LKL

Nevezis

#10

54-36

+18

A23/12

LKL

Lietkabelis

46-26

+20

H28/12

LKL

74.8Avg total

40.4Scored

34.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	36.9	76.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.6	34.6	74.2	+5.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.7	38.6	78.4	+1.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	34.4	74.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	32.8	75.6	+10.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	39.3	41.8	81.2	-2.5	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.4	39.3	74.8	-3.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.3	33.5	75.8	+8.9	87%	-

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

#13

41-33

H20/11

Euroleague

Alytaus Dzukija

42-33

A23/11

LKL

Crvena zvezda

#15

37-35

A27/11

Euroleague

Juventus

46-36

+10

H02/12

LKL

Olympiacos

36-47

-11

A05/12

Euroleague

Pieno Zvaigzdes

46-38

A08/12

LKL

Galatasaray

#23

40-37

H10/12

Euroleague

Nevezis

#10

57-49

A15/12

LKL

Valencia

#21

31-52

-21

A18/12

Euroleague

Rytas

39-36

A28/12

LKL

81.1Avg total

41.5Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	39.2	81.0	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.1	36.9	82.9	+9.2	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	41.2	79.4	-3.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	39.6	81.1	+1.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	42.4	85.0	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.0	41.9	78.9	-4.9	43%	-
vs Similar (2)	36.0	41.5	77.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	47.5	36.2	83.7	+11.3	86%	-

This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.8	16.7	34.5	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	19.1	39.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.4	39.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	14.7	19.3	34.0	-4.7	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.2	17.9	39.1	+3.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.9	40.2	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	20.6	39.1	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.4	20.8	38.2	-3.4	21%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	27.0	44.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.7	17.9	41.6	+5.8	93%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.2	38.6	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.5	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.4	42.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.4	19.4	37.9	-1.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.3	16.9	39.2	+5.3	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.3	40.7	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.0	39.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.2	22.1	41.3	-2.9	29%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.5	14.5	36.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	36.3	75.8	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.2	35.5	73.6	+2.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.5	36.9	77.4	+3.6	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	38.6	75.2	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.8	81.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	33.0	39.0	72.0	-6.0	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.2	36.9	74.1	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (15)	43.5	34.8	78.3	+8.7	87%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	40.1	81.0	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.2	40.1	82.3	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	40.2	79.8	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	39.8	80.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	37.4	80.8	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	36.6	42.9	79.5	-6.2	14%	-
vs Similar (2)	39.0	41.5	80.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	45.3	37.2	82.5	+8.1	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Juventus wins

Neptunas wins

Date	Game	Score
02/12/14	Neptunas v Juventus	84-73
09/02/14	Neptunas v Juventus	87-85
21/12/13	Juventus v Neptunas	76-79 OT
03/01/13	Neptunas v Juventus	96-83
29/09/12	Juventus v Neptunas	93-88
24/03/12	Neptunas v Juventus	88-69
19/11/11	Juventus v Neptunas	85-71

Juventuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/14	H	Lietkabelis	78-61
23/12/14	A	Nevezis	112-86
14/12/14	A	Rytas	61-76
10/12/14	A	Rapla	79-63
09/12/14	A	Rakvere Tarvas	88-82
07/12/14	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	75-76
02/12/14	A	Neptunas	73-84
29/11/14	A	Alytaus Dzukija	59-57
26/11/14	H	Siauliai	86-84 OT
23/11/14	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	91-89 OT

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/14	A	Rytas	94-90 OT
18/12/14	A	Valencia	65-103
15/12/14	A	Nevezis	116-73
10/12/14	H	Galatasaray	82-72
08/12/14	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	86-70
05/12/14	A	Olympiacos	79-89
02/12/14	H	Juventus	84-73
27/11/14	A	Crvena zvezda	62-79
23/11/14	A	Alytaus Dzukija	91-75
20/11/14	H	Baskonia	80-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus

LKL 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	68%
Home	LWWLW	67%
Away	WWLLW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	68%	67%	70%
Points / game	78.2	74.8	81.2
Allowed / game	74.4	72.1	76.5
Point differential	+3.7	+2.7	+4.7
Avg total	152.6	146.9	157.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	22%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	50% (2)	100% (4)
Overtime %	11%	11%	10%

Neptunas

LKL 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	88%
Home	WLWWW	88%
Away	WWWWW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	88%	88%	89%
Points / game	88.6	91.8	85.8
Allowed / game	75.1	74.5	75.7
Point differential	+13.5	+17.2	+10.1
Avg total	163.7	166.2	161.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	76%	75%	78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	17	16	1	94%	85.8	68.3	+17.5
2	Neptunas	17	15	2	88%	88.6	75.1	+13.5
3	Rytas	18	15	3	83%	87.9	70.8	+17.1
4	Juventus	19	13	6	68%	78.2	74.4	+3.7
5	Siauliai	18	9	9	50%	84.8	83.2	+1.6
6	Pieno Zvaigzdes	20	10	10	50%	84.1	83.5	+0.7
7	Alytaus Dzukija	19	9	10	47%	77.3	76.4	+0.9
8	Skycop	18	6	12	33%	72.4	82.3	-9.9
9	Lietkabelis	19	6	13	32%	78.8	82.6	-3.8
10	Nevezis	20	3	17	15%	69.8	90.8	-21.1
11	Mazeikiai	19	0	19	0%	68.5	84.0	-15.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Juventus	19	20	18	22	79
Neptunas	19	19	21	26	85

← all games of the day

Juventus vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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